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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Springer, 2023.
Under the general editorship: V. Sadovnichy, Akaev A., I. Ilyin, S. Malkov, Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A.
This series seeks to promote understanding of large-scale and long-term processes of social change, in particular the many facets and implications of globalization. It critically explores the factors that affect the historical formation and current evolution of social systems, on both the regional and global level. Processes and factors that are examined include economies, technologies, geopolitics, institutions, conflicts, demographic trends, climate change, global culture, social movements, global inequalities, etc. Building on world-systems analysis, the series addresses topics such as globalization from historical and comparative perspectives, trends in global inequalities, core-periphery relations and the rise and fall of hegemonic core states, transnational institutions, and the long-term energy transition. This ambitious interdisciplinary and international series presents cutting-edge research by social scientists who study whole human systems and is relevant for all readers interested in systems approaches to the emerging world society, especially historians, political scientists, economists, sociologists, geographers and anthropologists.
Chapters
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 1–14.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 17–33.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 35–50.
This chapter analyzes the current historical situation and the prospects for its further development. It is evident that drastic changes are currently taking place in the world, reflecting a phase transition in historical development, namely, the transition from the late industrial phase to the cybernetic phase, features of which are largely determined by the ongoing ...
Added: September 28, 2023
Akaev A., Davydova O., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 53–70.
Added: September 29, 2023
Korotayev A., Sergey M., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 97–116.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 117–135.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 139–154.
This chapter examines technologies’ current and future development in the framework of the Cybernetic Revolution—the third of the largest production (or technological) revolutions after the Agrarian and Industrial ones. The Cybernetic Revolution is a fundamental transition from industrial production to the production of services and goods based on the widespread implementation of self-regulating systems, that ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 155–168.
The chapter examines the issues of mutual influence of technological and economic growth, the pace of which, after unprecedentedly high rates in the middle of the twentieth century, stabilized and began to slow down. Limited opportunities for extensive growth, a decrease in demand due to the stabilization of demographic growth, a worsening problem of inequality, ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 169–189.
Since the second half of the twentieth century, there have been radical changes in all spheres of life, which qualitatively distinguish the new phase of development from the previous ones. The chapter is devoted to the ongoing transformations in the social and political sphere, which include: the increasing digitalization of all spheres of life together ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 191–206.
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Malkov S., Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 207–224.
The chapter discusses the necessity of choosing different strategies for different groups of countries for a successful movement to the recognized worldwide goals. In this respect, strategies as well as policies depend on different causes and conditions, including demographics, natural resources, historical traditions, etc., but especially on levels of development of countries which are very ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 225–238.
Grinin and Korotayev’s main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most rapidly growing continent, and its growth (demographic, economic, cultural, etc.) will inevitably influence the World System (and the further, the stronger). The growth of African ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 241–251.
Sadovnichy et al. present this chapter as an introductory one to the Mathematical Part which consists of nine chapters, including the present one. In the present chapter, Sadovnichy et al. explain the design of the Mathematical Part, which mathematical apparatus is used, how the chapters and conclusions of this part are connected with those in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Bilyuga S. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 253–307.
Akaev et al. outline their methodological approach to mathematical modeling of social self-organization and historical dynamics, which is used in the study of processes occurring in the world and in forecasting further world development. They describe basic equations (in the demographic, ecological, economic, technological, social, and political spheres) and the order of their use in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Kovaleva N., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 309–335.
This chapter presents the results of applying the set of basic models described in the previous chapter to model the dynamics of an agrarian society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are considered. It is shown that agrarian society is ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Davydova O. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 337–385.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models described in the chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model the dynamics of an industrial society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 387–417.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models outlined in Chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model transitional eras, when, due to technological revolutions, there is a sharp acceleration in the pace of economic (and, after that, demographic) development, a “society of stability/stagnation” is transformed into ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 419–460.
This chapter presents the results of the application of the set of basic models outlined in chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” (Akaev et al., 2023, this volume) to model the current historical situation and to forecast its further development. Akaev et al. show that the modern historical period is a ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Korotayev A., Shulgin S., Ustyuzhanin V. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 461–490.
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where the likelihood of armed civil conflicts and population impoverishment is the highest in the coming decades. Korotayev et al. apply several advanced mathematical models: (1) to forecast the risks ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Malkov S., Bilyuga S., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 521–530.
It is quite natural that in the current global transition from the “era of growth” to the “era of stability,” the importance of qualitative changes in all spheres of life is increasing. It is indicators of the quality of life in different countries of the world that play an important role among the indicators characterizing ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 531–540.
This concluding chapter provides summary of main ideas expressed in the previous chapters of the present report to the Club of Rome, which are: (1) population growth has ceased to be the main cause of many other global problems; the issue has shifted to other dimensions and requires optimization of demographic processes, rather than general ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Language:
English
Ataeva A., Sanina A., Styrin E. M. et al., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2026 Т. 21 № 3 Статья 7
The article is devoted to the analysis of international indicator models used as proxy
measures of a state’s institutional characteristics and the quality of its governance
environment, as well as to the development of a methodology for their comparative
evaluation in terms of methodological robustness and analytical applicability. Based on a
systemic analysis of 23 international and regional indices ...
Added: October 14, 2026
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 3–15
The study examines the impact of digital technologies – primarily the Internet and social media – on the likelihood of revolutionary processes emerging in the 21st century. Based on an analysis of panel data for countries around the world in the 21st century and the use of logistic regression for rare events, it is shown ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Savinykh M., Вестник Томского государственного университета. История 2026 Т. 102 № 17 С. 147–156
This study investigates the evolution of interaction between expert communities and state authorities in Rus-sian foreign policy from the late Soviet period through the post-Soviet era. The aim is to reconstruct the historical trajec-tory of expert-authority relations, identify the critical junctures that shaped contemporary practices, and explain the mechanisms of path-dependency that have produced the ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Коротаев А.В., Бурова А. Н., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 Vol. 122 No. 3 P. 160–178
The article analyzes the course and consequences of the events of the “Arab Spring” in Morocco and provides answers to two main questions: can these events be classified as a revolutionary episode, and, if so, was it successful, and to what extent? After examining the relevant historiography and comparing the approaches, concepts, and definitions of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Diskin E., Прожерин Д. В., Теоретическая и прикладная юриспруденция 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 221–234
Introduction: Drawing on the legal orders of the United States, the European Union, and the Russian
Federation, the article provides a comparative legal analysis of three regulatory models governing the
use of unmanned aircraft (UA; drones, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)) by public authorities for government oversight: the U.S. model, based on a combination of aviation rules and ...
Added: October 6, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Diskin E., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 23–45
Public governance of digital platforms is characterized by a growing tension between security imperatives, such as blocking, throttling, and restricting the activities of foreign platforms, and development imperatives, including the digital economy, innovation, and users’ rights. The article conceptualizes this contradiction as a security—development dilemma: a structural problem of governance that cannot be reduced to ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kaspe S. I., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 138–167
This article examines the stereotypes about China that prevail in the West and Russia and make them perceive it not only as a strategic challenge, but an existential threat. The article demonstrates that the most common fears are overstated and counterfactual, and that they are grounded in the West itself. Modern China cannot be identified ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Мусиева Д. М., Akaev A., Век глобализации 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 3–15
В работе дана кратчайшая история взаимоотношений Китая и США, которые за 40 лет прошли путь от экономического сотрудничества до глобального противостояния. Проведен анализ современного экономико-техно-логического и социально-политического состояния данных стран, показавший, что Китай как восходящая держава и США, находящиеся на нисходящей траектории, сегодня являются примерно равновеликими по совокупной мощи. Делается вывод о том, что нынешнее ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Yenikeyeff S., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 10–41
This article maps the contours of the global energy order that may emerge by 2040. It argues that global energy flows are being transformed from a price-driven commodity trade into instruments of strategic power by four simultaneous processes: an uneven low-carbon transition, the securitization of energy flows, the fragmentation of the international monetary system, and ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 9 С. 4–15
This article, using materials from the Russian Foreign Ministry archive, analyzes the origins, dynamics, and outcomes of the 1956 Suez Crisis. It emphasizes the crucial importance of the Soviet Union's harsh demarche against Great Britain and France, which forced London and Paris to cease their aggression against Egypt. It examines the approaches of various states ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98
The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Balakina Y. V., Коммуникации. Медиа. Дизайн 2026 Т. 11 № 3 С. 24–44
This article explores the role of multimodal media texts (MMT) in political communication. MMT are seen as a blend of cultural and symbolic forms, manifested through various semiotic modes such as text, image, sound, and their combinations in the media space. The goal is to elucidate how these texts construct social reality and their functions ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Korotayev A., Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2026 Vol. 17 No. 2 P. 1–38
This paper examines the striking mathematical correspondence between two independently derived hyperbolic equations describing global evolutionary dynamics: Panov's time series of "biospheric revolutions" spanning 4 billion years of biological and cultural evolution, and von Foerster's famous "Doomsday" equation for world population growth (1960). Both phenomena are governed by equations of the form y = C/(2027 ...
Added: September 29, 2026
Shishkina A., Issaev L., Journal of Globalization Studies 2026 Vol. 17 No. 1 P. 145–156
This article is aimed at discussing the global and regional aspects of Islamic modernization. The study discusses the transformation of ideas about the role of women in the public space by the case study on the North Caucasus. The attitudes of traditional society, the influence of Soviet power, the role of Islamization, both early and ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A., Journal of World-Systems Research 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 P. 391–420
The article analyzes the direction, mechanisms, and causes through which President Trump’s actions contribute to the destruction of the foundations of U.S. influence in the world and to the transformation of the world order. For almost two decades we have been observing such an important phenomenon as the reconfiguration of the WorldSystem, which means that ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Liberal.ru 2026
The Liberal Mission Foundation continues to introduce readers to new concepts of democracy and relevant publications. This discussion focuses on the challenges facing democracy in the era of globalization, as addressed in two recent books: *The Backsliders: Why Leaders Undermine Their Own Democracies* by S.C. Stokes (2025) and *Critical Theories and the Postsocialist Challenge: Race, ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Nisnevich Y. A., Рябов А. В., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2026 № 3 С. 136–152
Th is article explores the transformation of global social space as a transition from a fragmented space
to a holistic one characterized by globality, openness, and inclusiveness, as well as the interconnectedness of the
globalization processes in cultural, economic, socio-communicative, and political spaces. Th e article identifi es the
specifi c features of globalization in each of these ...
Added: August 24, 2026
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Kosov M., Аудиторские ведомости 2024 № 2 С. 75–85
In recent decades, the world monetary system has undergone profound transformations, which are due to changes in the nature of interstate interaction, the ways of doing business by subjects of international economic relations, large-scale internationalization processes against the background of the ongoing globalization of economic relations. In these conditions, there are growing trends towards the ...
Added: October 22, 2025
Авдеева Э. А., Акимов А. В., Алексеева С. А. et al., М.: КноРус, 2025.
The book is devoted to the study of the new economic world order at the stage of combining multidirectional trends in global development. It analyses trends in the development of world commodity markets in conditions of increased turbulence, investment and financial issues of transformation of the global economic system, changes in the multilateral regulatory system, ...
Added: June 16, 2025
LePoire D., Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 1–27.
Not so many would argue with identifying complexity as a central concept in Big History and universal evolutionism. It is partly because, perhaps, today, many of us are convinced that not only our world but Universe itself is in a state of major change, and the awareness that we are living in a period of ...
Added: May 12, 2025