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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Springer, 2023.
Under the general editorship: V. Sadovnichy, Akaev A., I. Ilyin, S. Malkov, Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A.
This series seeks to promote understanding of large-scale and long-term processes of social change, in particular the many facets and implications of globalization. It critically explores the factors that affect the historical formation and current evolution of social systems, on both the regional and global level. Processes and factors that are examined include economies, technologies, geopolitics, institutions, conflicts, demographic trends, climate change, global culture, social movements, global inequalities, etc. Building on world-systems analysis, the series addresses topics such as globalization from historical and comparative perspectives, trends in global inequalities, core-periphery relations and the rise and fall of hegemonic core states, transnational institutions, and the long-term energy transition. This ambitious interdisciplinary and international series presents cutting-edge research by social scientists who study whole human systems and is relevant for all readers interested in systems approaches to the emerging world society, especially historians, political scientists, economists, sociologists, geographers and anthropologists.
Chapters
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 1–14.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 17–33.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 35–50.
This chapter analyzes the current historical situation and the prospects for its further development. It is evident that drastic changes are currently taking place in the world, reflecting a phase transition in historical development, namely, the transition from the late industrial phase to the cybernetic phase, features of which are largely determined by the ongoing ...
Added: September 28, 2023
Akaev A., Davydova O., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 53–70.
Added: September 29, 2023
Korotayev A., Sergey M., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 97–116.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 117–135.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 139–154.
This chapter examines technologies’ current and future development in the framework of the Cybernetic Revolution—the third of the largest production (or technological) revolutions after the Agrarian and Industrial ones. The Cybernetic Revolution is a fundamental transition from industrial production to the production of services and goods based on the widespread implementation of self-regulating systems, that ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 155–168.
The chapter examines the issues of mutual influence of technological and economic growth, the pace of which, after unprecedentedly high rates in the middle of the twentieth century, stabilized and began to slow down. Limited opportunities for extensive growth, a decrease in demand due to the stabilization of demographic growth, a worsening problem of inequality, ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 169–189.
Since the second half of the twentieth century, there have been radical changes in all spheres of life, which qualitatively distinguish the new phase of development from the previous ones. The chapter is devoted to the ongoing transformations in the social and political sphere, which include: the increasing digitalization of all spheres of life together ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 191–206.
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Malkov S., Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 207–224.
The chapter discusses the necessity of choosing different strategies for different groups of countries for a successful movement to the recognized worldwide goals. In this respect, strategies as well as policies depend on different causes and conditions, including demographics, natural resources, historical traditions, etc., but especially on levels of development of countries which are very ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 225–238.
Grinin and Korotayev’s main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most rapidly growing continent, and its growth (demographic, economic, cultural, etc.) will inevitably influence the World System (and the further, the stronger). The growth of African ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 241–251.
Sadovnichy et al. present this chapter as an introductory one to the Mathematical Part which consists of nine chapters, including the present one. In the present chapter, Sadovnichy et al. explain the design of the Mathematical Part, which mathematical apparatus is used, how the chapters and conclusions of this part are connected with those in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Bilyuga S. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 253–307.
Akaev et al. outline their methodological approach to mathematical modeling of social self-organization and historical dynamics, which is used in the study of processes occurring in the world and in forecasting further world development. They describe basic equations (in the demographic, ecological, economic, technological, social, and political spheres) and the order of their use in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Kovaleva N., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 309–335.
This chapter presents the results of applying the set of basic models described in the previous chapter to model the dynamics of an agrarian society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are considered. It is shown that agrarian society is ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Davydova O. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 337–385.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models described in the chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model the dynamics of an industrial society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 387–417.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models outlined in Chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model transitional eras, when, due to technological revolutions, there is a sharp acceleration in the pace of economic (and, after that, demographic) development, a “society of stability/stagnation” is transformed into ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 419–460.
This chapter presents the results of the application of the set of basic models outlined in chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” (Akaev et al., 2023, this volume) to model the current historical situation and to forecast its further development. Akaev et al. show that the modern historical period is a ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Korotayev A., Shulgin S., Ustyuzhanin V. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 461–490.
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where the likelihood of armed civil conflicts and population impoverishment is the highest in the coming decades. Korotayev et al. apply several advanced mathematical models: (1) to forecast the risks ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Malkov S., Bilyuga S., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 521–530.
It is quite natural that in the current global transition from the “era of growth” to the “era of stability,” the importance of qualitative changes in all spheres of life is increasing. It is indicators of the quality of life in different countries of the world that play an important role among the indicators characterizing ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 531–540.
This concluding chapter provides summary of main ideas expressed in the previous chapters of the present report to the Club of Rome, which are: (1) population growth has ceased to be the main cause of many other global problems; the issue has shifted to other dimensions and requires optimization of demographic processes, rather than general ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Language:
English
Galimullin E. Z., Алексеев Д. В., Вестник МГИМО Университета 2026 Т. 19 № 3 С. 142–163
The return of Donald Trump to the White House has exposed a growing mismatch between the United States’ “America First” policy and its established role as the principal coordinator of transatlantic sanctions. This article examines how US–EU sanctions coordination changed in 2025 and assesses whether these changes represent temporary policy divergence or a more systemic ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Курылев К. П., Degterev D. A., Грачиков Е. Н. et al., Постсоветские исследования 2022 Т. 5 № 7 С. 754–763
This article is based on the understanding of the results of a one-name methodological
seminar organized and conducted by the Department of Theory and History of International Relations
of the Russian Academy of Sciences on September 8, 2022, in which the issues of the nature and
features of the USSR foreign policy for the period from 1971 to ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Амара Д., Degterev D. A., Эгамов Б., Проблемы национальной стратегии 2022 № 2(71) С. 76–101
The article presents an analysis of the UN personnel, engaged in African peacekeeping operations, from the perspective of emerging blocks of the «collective West» and the «collective non-West». The rationale for choosing the UN African peacekeeping missions as the subject for the study is that they are the most numerous, multi-format, expensive, and lethal ones ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Lukin A., Telos 2026 Vol. 2026 No. 215 P. 11–41
The year 2026 marks the sixtieth anniversary of the beginning in China of the “Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution” – an unprecedented political campaign both in its duration and in the tragic nature of its results and consequences. Despite the publication of numerous books and articles devoted to it in various countries around the world, its ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Talking about the [same] revolution? A comparative analysis of main datasets of revolutionary events
Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Defence and peace economics 2026 P. 1–31
We conduct a comparative analysis of the main datasets on revolutionary events, including The Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO, versions 1.3 and 2.1), Cross-National Time-Series (CNTS), Revolutionary Episodes Dataset by Mark Beissinger, Revolutionary Database by HSE University (CSRA), and Historical Regime Data (HRD). To compare these sources systematically, we develop several complementary empirical instruments designed to identify and interpret differences across datasets. We ...
Added: July 17, 2026
Aleshin D., Бирюков Е. С., Булатов А. С. et al., Аспект Пресс, 2025.
Учебное пособие подготовлено коллективом российских экономистов-международников, преимущественно из МГИМО. Оно посвящено анализу особенностей незападных экономических систем, а также участия данных стран в международных экономических отношениях.
Структурно учебное пособие состоит из трех разделов и 23 глав. Первый раздел посвящен различным аспектам методологии анализа незападных экономических систем. Приводятся как современные западные концепции классификации экономических систем, так и критические, а также незападные подходы к развитию (в том числе периферийная ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Степанова В. С., Международное право и международные организации 2025 № 3 С. 93–109
The issues of monetary cooperation between France and the member states of the West African Monetary Union (WAMU) have received wide coverage in academic literature. However, the phenomenon of the CFA franc as the "last colonial currency" of Africa is considered mainly in a journalistic vein, in a political and historical context, less often – ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Кирикова Т. Н., Россия и мир: научный диалог 2025 № 4 С. 37–57
This study focuses on the African policy of the Trump administration during his second term. The authors analyze why the formal framework for strategic planning in Africa proved too restrictive for the new US administration. Particular attention is paid to the consistent decline in international aid as a part of US African strategy. During Trump’s ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Pozanenko A., Социологические исследования 2026 № 6 С. 64–71
Due to persistent territorial socio-economic imbalances, some residents of Russian villages and small towns leave for a long time to work without changing their place of permanent residence. Such internal temporary labor migration is referred to by some researchers as otkhodnichestvo, and migrants as otkhodniks, by analogy with the pre–revolutionary and early Soviet migration of ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Абрамова Е. А., Россия и современный мир 2025 № 1(126) С. 77–99
The process of sovereignization initiated in the Sahel countries with the
formation of the Alliance of Sahel States (ASS) in September 2023, followed by the
establishment of the Confederation of the Sahel Alliance in July 2024, has extended into
the humanitarian sphere, including information sovereignty – and more broadly, value
sovereignty. In this context, the residual yet still significant ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Абрамова Е. А., Degterev D. A., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2025 № 4(128) С. 154–173
In the process of rapid changes in the geopolitical situation in
the Sahel region, it is not only the reconfiguration of the balance of power that
deserves attention, but also the formation of a regional security complex, the core of which is the Alliance of Sahel States (ASS – Mali, Niger and Burkina
Faso). This study proposes a model ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Федоров А. В., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2025 Т. 27 № 4 С. 713–733
In recent years, the agenda of reparations to Africa by Western countries for the crimes of the transatlantic slave trade and colonialism has been gaining increasing popularity in both academic and political discourse. The study analyzes contemporary discourse in both political, legal and economic terms, as well as the representation of this issue in Russian ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Cham: Springer, 2026.
In this ambitious two-volume open access collection of essays, a diverse group of scholars worldwide reflects on the past, present and future of the (comparative) regionalism research program. Volume I provides building blocks for regionalism studies in the coming years by indicating what a pluralistic theoretical and methodological toolbox to study regions could look like, ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Strelnikova I., Агафонов Д. И., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2026 № 1 С. 97–110
Арктический регион, занимавший особое положение в дискурсе международно-политической науки на протяжении более чем 10 лет, поэтапно приобретал различные и зачастую диаметрально противоположные образы на страницах зарубежных и русскоязычных исследований. Долгое время основой исключительно мирного и конструктивного взаимодействия арктических держав в этой части света служило успешное функционирование главного регионального форума – Арктического совета, призванного содействовать международному ...
Added: July 14, 2026
Routledge, 2025.
Negative images of Africa, which define the continent as being riven with poverty, crime, or war, are increasingly being challenged. Examples of soft power, such as Nigeria’s Nollywood, athletic successes in Kenya, Rwanda’s commercial diplomacy, and South Africa’s liberal constitution, are all reasserting African agency and shaping more positive understandings of the continent.
This book considers ...
Added: July 13, 2026
Абрамова И. О., Аду Я. Н., Анише Т. Э. et al., Институт Африки РАН, 2025.
Данная монография посвящена анализу концепции суверенитета африканских государств как в теоретическом, так и практическом ключе. Рассматриваются экономический, ментальный, языковой и культурный, информационный и образовательный аспекты африканского суверенитета. Исследуется роль региональных интеграционных группировок, а также внешних акторов в контексте суверенизации Африки. Особое внимание уделяется роли РФ в укре- плении суверенитета стран континента.
Монография формирует целостное представление по ...
Added: July 13, 2026
Suleymanov I., Science Diplomacy Review 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 3–14
Added: July 9, 2026
Sizova A., Барнаул: Алтайский государственный педагогический университет, 2026.
В сборник включены научные статьи, посвященные различным аспектам социально-экономической и культурной истории Сибири в контексте внутренней и внешней политики России. Сборник посвящен 70-летию со дня рождения известного ученого, педагога, просветителя и общественного деятеля, доктора исторических наук, профессора Александра Владимировича Старцева (1956–2019).
Сборник предназначен для специалистов в области отечественного исторического сибиреведения, а также всех, кто интересуется историей ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Erlikh M., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 2(121) С. 175–201
This study offers an interdisciplinary analysis of two key foreign aid programs — the Marshall Plan and the Washington Consensus — through the prism of the evolution of the political and economic theories. The author documents significant differences in the assessments of these initiatives: while the Marshall Plan is viewed by experts as a predominantly ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Kosov M., Аудиторские ведомости 2024 № 2 С. 75–85
In recent decades, the world monetary system has undergone profound transformations, which are due to changes in the nature of interstate interaction, the ways of doing business by subjects of international economic relations, large-scale internationalization processes against the background of the ongoing globalization of economic relations. In these conditions, there are growing trends towards the ...
Added: October 22, 2025
Авдеева Э. А., Акимов А. В., Алексеева С. А. et al., М.: КноРус, 2025.
The book is devoted to the study of the new economic world order at the stage of combining multidirectional trends in global development. It analyses trends in the development of world commodity markets in conditions of increased turbulence, investment and financial issues of transformation of the global economic system, changes in the multilateral regulatory system, ...
Added: June 16, 2025
LePoire D., Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 1–27.
Not so many would argue with identifying complexity as a central concept in Big History and universal evolutionism. It is partly because, perhaps, today, many of us are convinced that not only our world but Universe itself is in a state of major change, and the awareness that we are living in a period of ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Elyashevich I., Чичин Г. Г., Макаров Е. И., Научные исследования и разработки. Экономика фирмы 2025 Т. 14 № 1 С. 91–102
The article is devoted to the issues of the influence of provision of logistics companies with operational resources on their competitiveness. The influence of geopolitical factors on the provision of logistics companies with operational resources is shown. Conclusions are made about the need to integrate global experience and adapt best practices to improve the competitiveness ...
Added: April 10, 2025