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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Springer, 2023.
Under the general editorship: V. Sadovnichy, Akaev A., I. Ilyin, S. Malkov, Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A.
This series seeks to promote understanding of large-scale and long-term processes of social change, in particular the many facets and implications of globalization. It critically explores the factors that affect the historical formation and current evolution of social systems, on both the regional and global level. Processes and factors that are examined include economies, technologies, geopolitics, institutions, conflicts, demographic trends, climate change, global culture, social movements, global inequalities, etc. Building on world-systems analysis, the series addresses topics such as globalization from historical and comparative perspectives, trends in global inequalities, core-periphery relations and the rise and fall of hegemonic core states, transnational institutions, and the long-term energy transition. This ambitious interdisciplinary and international series presents cutting-edge research by social scientists who study whole human systems and is relevant for all readers interested in systems approaches to the emerging world society, especially historians, political scientists, economists, sociologists, geographers and anthropologists.
Chapters
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 1–14.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 17–33.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 35–50.
This chapter analyzes the current historical situation and the prospects for its further development. It is evident that drastic changes are currently taking place in the world, reflecting a phase transition in historical development, namely, the transition from the late industrial phase to the cybernetic phase, features of which are largely determined by the ongoing ...
Added: September 28, 2023
Akaev A., Davydova O., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 53–70.
Added: September 29, 2023
Korotayev A., Sergey M., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 97–116.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 117–135.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 139–154.
This chapter examines technologies’ current and future development in the framework of the Cybernetic Revolution—the third of the largest production (or technological) revolutions after the Agrarian and Industrial ones. The Cybernetic Revolution is a fundamental transition from industrial production to the production of services and goods based on the widespread implementation of self-regulating systems, that ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 155–168.
The chapter examines the issues of mutual influence of technological and economic growth, the pace of which, after unprecedentedly high rates in the middle of the twentieth century, stabilized and began to slow down. Limited opportunities for extensive growth, a decrease in demand due to the stabilization of demographic growth, a worsening problem of inequality, ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 169–189.
Since the second half of the twentieth century, there have been radical changes in all spheres of life, which qualitatively distinguish the new phase of development from the previous ones. The chapter is devoted to the ongoing transformations in the social and political sphere, which include: the increasing digitalization of all spheres of life together ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 191–206.
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Malkov S., Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 207–224.
The chapter discusses the necessity of choosing different strategies for different groups of countries for a successful movement to the recognized worldwide goals. In this respect, strategies as well as policies depend on different causes and conditions, including demographics, natural resources, historical traditions, etc., but especially on levels of development of countries which are very ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 225–238.
Grinin and Korotayev’s main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most rapidly growing continent, and its growth (demographic, economic, cultural, etc.) will inevitably influence the World System (and the further, the stronger). The growth of African ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 241–251.
Sadovnichy et al. present this chapter as an introductory one to the Mathematical Part which consists of nine chapters, including the present one. In the present chapter, Sadovnichy et al. explain the design of the Mathematical Part, which mathematical apparatus is used, how the chapters and conclusions of this part are connected with those in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Bilyuga S. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 253–307.
Akaev et al. outline their methodological approach to mathematical modeling of social self-organization and historical dynamics, which is used in the study of processes occurring in the world and in forecasting further world development. They describe basic equations (in the demographic, ecological, economic, technological, social, and political spheres) and the order of their use in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Kovaleva N., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 309–335.
This chapter presents the results of applying the set of basic models described in the previous chapter to model the dynamics of an agrarian society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are considered. It is shown that agrarian society is ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Davydova O. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 337–385.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models described in the chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model the dynamics of an industrial society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 387–417.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models outlined in Chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model transitional eras, when, due to technological revolutions, there is a sharp acceleration in the pace of economic (and, after that, demographic) development, a “society of stability/stagnation” is transformed into ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 419–460.
This chapter presents the results of the application of the set of basic models outlined in chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” (Akaev et al., 2023, this volume) to model the current historical situation and to forecast its further development. Akaev et al. show that the modern historical period is a ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Korotayev A., Shulgin S., Ustyuzhanin V. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 461–490.
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where the likelihood of armed civil conflicts and population impoverishment is the highest in the coming decades. Korotayev et al. apply several advanced mathematical models: (1) to forecast the risks ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Malkov S., Bilyuga S., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 521–530.
It is quite natural that in the current global transition from the “era of growth” to the “era of stability,” the importance of qualitative changes in all spheres of life is increasing. It is indicators of the quality of life in different countries of the world that play an important role among the indicators characterizing ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 531–540.
This concluding chapter provides summary of main ideas expressed in the previous chapters of the present report to the Club of Rome, which are: (1) population growth has ceased to be the main cause of many other global problems; the issue has shifted to other dimensions and requires optimization of demographic processes, rather than general ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Language:
English
Borushkina S., Gorodnichev A., Cities 2026 Vol. 179 No. 12 Article 107500
Agglomeration policy has long been a dominant paradigm in spatial development, premised on the assumption that large, integrated city-regions drive national economic growth through productivity, innovation, and global integration. This paper examines how this paradigm is reworked under conditions of polycrisis, a durable state in which economic, geopolitical, and institutional shocks interact and reinforce one ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Киреева А. А., Добринская О. А., Chizhevskaya M. et al., Японские исследования 2026 № 2 С. 157–181
The Middle East (ME) region is vitally important to Japan, as it accounts for
90% of Japan's oil imports. For many years, Japan has sought to build friendly relations
with all countries in the region, often having to balance its own interests with its strategic
alignment with the United States, its only military and political ally. The seminar ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Chizhevskaya M., Russian Japanology Review 2026 Vol. 9 No. 1 P. 101–130
The article examines Japan's policy toward the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in the aftermath of the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. A core dilemma in Japan's approach lies in balancing its loyalty to Arab nations, crucial for securing energy supplies and avoiding a repeat of the 1973 "oil shock", with its alignment to the ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Biryuk D., SSRN Electronic Journal 2023
The article examines the problems of digital transformation of public administration in the field of science and higher education, its regulatory aspects, and suggests new approaches to management for the effective implementation of the goals of digital transformation of public administration. Using the example of educational institutions of higher education, in particular Tomsk Polytechnic University, ...
Added: August 18, 2026
Grishina D., Soloviev A., Международная аналитика 2026 Т. 17 № 2 С. 10–29
This publication analyzes the historical and geopolitical context of the formation and development of the concept of the “Russian threat” – a public narrative about the territorial ambitions of the Russian Empire that became widespread in Northeast Asia in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. Using the example of the concept’s origins and transformation in Korea (first in the Joseon Dynasty, later in the Republic of Korea), the authors demonstrate ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Strelnikova I., Kharina O., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2026 № 1
В статье исследуется российско-индийское сотрудничество в Арктике в условиях геополитического соперничества и санкционного давления Запада. Цель работы – проанализировать стратегические интересы России и Индии, определить перспективы их взаимодействия в энергетике, инфраструктуре и транспортных коридорах, а также выявить основные вызовы. Выводы показывают, что сотрудничество обладает значительным потенциалом для экономического и технологического развития, однако его реализация осложняется ...
Added: August 15, 2026
Strelnikova I., Общество и экономика 2026 № 7-8 С. 154–173
Статья посвящена исследованию Трансарктического транспортного коридора (ТАТК) в логике транспортной экономики, международного права и геополитического измерения. На ос нове формально-юридического метода и методов системного анализа достигается цель настоящей статьи – дается комплексная и всесторонняя оценка Трансарктического транспортного коридора в контексте предпосылок его формирования, экономической, геополитической и стратегической значимости; показаны особенности его правового статуса и потенциала ...
Added: August 15, 2026
Shaposhnikov S., Asia and Africa today 2025
Digital transformation of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in India is critical to enhancing competitiveness and improving economic performance. It also helps address unemployment and regional inequality. However, SMEs face financial constraints, a digital skills shortage, resistance to change, and cybersecurity challenges. The authors analyze the impact of government initiatives such as Digital India, CGTMSE, ...
Added: August 14, 2026
Goryushina E., Притчин С. А., Пашаева Г. et al., НП РСМД, 2026.
В докладе рассматриваются основные итоги независимого развития, эволюция основ внешнеполитического курса и отношений южнокавказских республик с Россией, а также пути национального строительства, которые прошли государства Южного Кавказа – Грузия, Армения и Азербайджан – с момента распада СССР. В работе относительно каждой из стран представлено два взгляда – из России и самой республики. ...
Added: August 14, 2026
Polyakov L., Ортодоксия 2025 № 1 С. 101–122
This article offers reflections on A.V. Shchipkov’s
book Unfinished Nazism: Genesis, Transformations, and Related
Phenomena. In it, the author proposes a quite paradoxical thesis,
identifying liberalism as the ideological “root” of contemporary
Nazism. Previously, drawing connections between liberalism
and fascism was an intellectual move typically confined to leftist
academic circles. However, the author emphasizes that this
particular interpretation of the connection between ...
Added: August 13, 2026
M.: BRICS Expert Council – Russia, 2026.
The world experienced another turbulent year in 2025. It may well go down in future history textbooks as an inflection point in the evolution of the international order. The West, which for centuries has been universally seen as the mainstay of the global order, has shown increasing signs of implosion. It is being afflicted by ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Kuliyeva N., Азия и Африка сегодня 2026 № 8 С. 73–82
На фоне эскалации палестино-израильского конфликта возрастает роль ближневосточных держав, включая Турцию. Целью статьи является исследование природы изменений, которые претерпевала политика Турции на данном направлении после прихода к власти Партии справедливости и развития (ПСР) в 2002 г.
Отмечается, что данная трансформация была обусловлена как рядом внутриполитических факторов (межпартийный консенсус по палестинскому вопросу, общественное мнение), так и региональной ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Zelenev E., Korobochkina A., Russian Japanology Review 2026 Vol. 9 No. 1 P. 71–100
This article conducts a comparative historical analysis of the soft power strategies employed by Japan and China in Africa, emphasizing the utilization of cultural, educational, and economic instruments to augment their international
influence. Moving away from the traditional post-1990s perspective, this paper introduces an enhanced form of the timeline approach in order to examine the development process of their soft ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Korotayev A., Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Political Studies Review 2026 P. 1–22
In recent years, a kind of “Berlin Wall” has emerged between the study of “revolutions” and “maximalist campaigns.” Although scholars in these two traditions analyze closely related phenomena, they use different terminology, bodies of literature, and empirical conventions. We argue that this separation is analytically costly and prevents fruitful dialogue. On one hand, this leads ...
Added: August 8, 2026
David J. L., Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., Springer, 2026.
Complexity is widely acknowledged as a foundational and pivotal concept in Big History, offering a unifying lens through which to examine the emergence and development of systems—from particles and galaxies to life, civilizations, and beyond. Yet, despite its centrality, major gaps remain in how we define, measure, and interpret complexity across different phases and scales. ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Styrin E. M., Vigoda-Gadot E., Levitats Z., Asia Pacific Journal of Public Administration 2026 P. 1–23
Governance is rapidly digitising, yet how citizens’ emotions towards algorithmic policy decision-making relate to their trust in governance institutions remains understudied. Drawing on the affect-as-information model, we argue that emotions constitute a distinct input into institutional trust judgements, operating both directly and by conditioning the weight of cognitive evaluations. We test this argument with a ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2026.
Knowledge Diplomacy examines particular and cultural antecedents to the development of the field; and its predominance in western thinking and critiques. Crucially, it does so not just from the perspective of scholars but also by consciously drawing on the perspectives of practitioners.
The development of Knowledge Diplomacy allows for increased understanding of the role of research, ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Kanaev E., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 1 No. 1(70) P. 153–163
The article aims to specify the degree of success Cambodia has been able to achieve in developing its Artificial Intelligence (AI) ecosystem seen through the prism of the state of the country’s non-digital assets as an outcome of its economic modernization, as well as of its digital projects and initiatives. Outlining the specifics of Cambodia’s ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Kanaev E., Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития 2026 Т. 1 № 1(70) С. 22–36
The article aims to specify possibilities and system constraints of cooperation between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Russian Federation (RF) in the digital field, as well as assess its most promising directions. The nature and specifics of ASEAN’s policy in the digital field from the perspective of implementation of its initiatives ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Evgeny A. Kanaev, Berezhnaya A., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 2 No. 2(71) P. 175–187
The article examines the significance and the place of the digital tools developed by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) in the priorities of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam (SRV). On tracing the RCEP’s origins, evolution, and interim outcomes obtained to date, the article proceeds with assessing the efficiency of the RCEP’s digital tools to ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Kanaev E., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 2 No. 2(71) P. 11–22
The author focuses on a strengthening digital component in the evolution of the South China Sea issue in the context of ASEAN’s evolving approach to the deepening contradictions and its policy in the digital field. On outlining ASEAN’s policy on the South China Sea issue, the author proceeds to exploring the digital agenda of ASEAN’s ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Fain E., Korotayev A., Полис. Политические исследования 2026 № 4 С. 170–183
In the 21st century, the theory of revolutions has encountered a number of theoretical and practical difficulties, the main one being the conceptualization of revolutions. At the moment, the theory needs new focuses and approaches. One potential innovation that could enrich the theory is the concept of “coupvolution”, which emerged after the Egyptian Revolution of ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026