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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Springer, 2023.
Under the general editorship: V. Sadovnichy, Akaev A., I. Ilyin, S. Malkov, Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A.
This series seeks to promote understanding of large-scale and long-term processes of social change, in particular the many facets and implications of globalization. It critically explores the factors that affect the historical formation and current evolution of social systems, on both the regional and global level. Processes and factors that are examined include economies, technologies, geopolitics, institutions, conflicts, demographic trends, climate change, global culture, social movements, global inequalities, etc. Building on world-systems analysis, the series addresses topics such as globalization from historical and comparative perspectives, trends in global inequalities, core-periphery relations and the rise and fall of hegemonic core states, transnational institutions, and the long-term energy transition. This ambitious interdisciplinary and international series presents cutting-edge research by social scientists who study whole human systems and is relevant for all readers interested in systems approaches to the emerging world society, especially historians, political scientists, economists, sociologists, geographers and anthropologists.
Chapters
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 1–14.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 17–33.
Added: September 28, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 35–50.
This chapter analyzes the current historical situation and the prospects for its further development. It is evident that drastic changes are currently taking place in the world, reflecting a phase transition in historical development, namely, the transition from the late industrial phase to the cybernetic phase, features of which are largely determined by the ongoing ...
Added: September 28, 2023
Akaev A., Davydova O., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 53–70.
Added: September 29, 2023
Korotayev A., Sergey M., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 97–116.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 117–135.
Added: September 29, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 139–154.
This chapter examines technologies’ current and future development in the framework of the Cybernetic Revolution—the third of the largest production (or technological) revolutions after the Agrarian and Industrial ones. The Cybernetic Revolution is a fundamental transition from industrial production to the production of services and goods based on the widespread implementation of self-regulating systems, that ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 155–168.
The chapter examines the issues of mutual influence of technological and economic growth, the pace of which, after unprecedentedly high rates in the middle of the twentieth century, stabilized and began to slow down. Limited opportunities for extensive growth, a decrease in demand due to the stabilization of demographic growth, a worsening problem of inequality, ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Malkov S., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 169–189.
Since the second half of the twentieth century, there have been radical changes in all spheres of life, which qualitatively distinguish the new phase of development from the previous ones. The chapter is devoted to the ongoing transformations in the social and political sphere, which include: the increasing digitalization of all spheres of life together ...
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 191–206.
Added: October 3, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Malkov S., Andrey Korotayev, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 207–224.
The chapter discusses the necessity of choosing different strategies for different groups of countries for a successful movement to the recognized worldwide goals. In this respect, strategies as well as policies depend on different causes and conditions, including demographics, natural resources, historical traditions, etc., but especially on levels of development of countries which are very ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 225–238.
Grinin and Korotayev’s main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most rapidly growing continent, and its growth (demographic, economic, cultural, etc.) will inevitably influence the World System (and the further, the stronger). The growth of African ...
Added: October 4, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 241–251.
Sadovnichy et al. present this chapter as an introductory one to the Mathematical Part which consists of nine chapters, including the present one. In the present chapter, Sadovnichy et al. explain the design of the Mathematical Part, which mathematical apparatus is used, how the chapters and conclusions of this part are connected with those in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Bilyuga S. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 253–307.
Akaev et al. outline their methodological approach to mathematical modeling of social self-organization and historical dynamics, which is used in the study of processes occurring in the world and in forecasting further world development. They describe basic equations (in the demographic, ecological, economic, technological, social, and political spheres) and the order of their use in ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Kovaleva N., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 309–335.
This chapter presents the results of applying the set of basic models described in the previous chapter to model the dynamics of an agrarian society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are considered. It is shown that agrarian society is ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Davydova O. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 337–385.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models described in the chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model the dynamics of an industrial society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are ...
Added: October 5, 2023
Malkov S., Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 387–417.
This chapter presents the results of using the set of basic models outlined in Chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” to model transitional eras, when, due to technological revolutions, there is a sharp acceleration in the pace of economic (and, after that, demographic) development, a “society of stability/stagnation” is transformed into ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Akaev A., Malkov S., Leonid Grinin et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 419–460.
This chapter presents the results of the application of the set of basic models outlined in chapter “Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach” (Akaev et al., 2023, this volume) to model the current historical situation and to forecast its further development. Akaev et al. show that the modern historical period is a ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Korotayev A., Shulgin S., Ustyuzhanin V. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 461–490.
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where the likelihood of armed civil conflicts and population impoverishment is the highest in the coming decades. Korotayev et al. apply several advanced mathematical models: (1) to forecast the risks ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Malkov S., Bilyuga S., Jameelah Musieva, , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 521–530.
It is quite natural that in the current global transition from the “era of growth” to the “era of stability,” the importance of qualitative changes in all spheres of life is increasing. It is indicators of the quality of life in different countries of the world that play an important role among the indicators characterizing ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome.: Springer, 2023. P. 531–540.
This concluding chapter provides summary of main ideas expressed in the previous chapters of the present report to the Club of Rome, which are: (1) population growth has ceased to be the main cause of many other global problems; the issue has shifted to other dimensions and requires optimization of demographic processes, rather than general ...
Added: October 6, 2023
Language:
English
Шмитт К., М.: Праксис, 2026.
Классическая работа известного немецкого правоведа и политического теоретика Карла Шмитта, посвященная рассмотрению партизана как «фигуры мирового духа», начиная с его зарождения в ходе борьбы испанского народа против наполеоновских войск в 1808—1813 годах и вплоть до судьбы партизана в ходе «всемирной гражданской войны» ХХ века.
Перевод с немецкого Ю. Ю. Коринца. Новая редакция перевода Т. А. Дмитриева ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Девятников В. Ю., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 4 С. 163–185
Redistricting is an important tool of political struggle, distinguished
by several features that set it apart from other methods of creating a non-competitive electoral advantage: secrecy and non-provocativeness. These characteristics have led to significant scholarly attention, primarily focused on the
political consequences of redistricting. However, the administrative and legal
aspects of redistricting remain less studied, which may limit ...
Added: May 18, 2026
Паникар М. М., Polar Journal 2026
The article attempts to explore the process of formation of a new sphere of relations between the USSR and the countries of the Arctic region in the period from 1986 to 1990. The April Plenum of the Communist Party Central Committee in 1985 laid the groundwork for a profound transformation in both the domestic and ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Кровицкая А. В., Попов Д. И., Кравченко А. А. et al., Judaic-Slavic Journal 2024 № 11-12 С. 133–186
The collective research deals with the representation of the Holocaust memory in the media of Central-Eastern and Northern Europe in the second decade of the XXI century on the example of Germany, Austria, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. Each of these states, the article argues, is characterized by its own distinct memory ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Попов Д. И., Балтийский регион 2025 Т. 17 № 4 С. 68–83
The study examines the image of Russia in Finland’s historical policy in the context of the country’s accession to NATO. The aim is to identify shifts in the interpretation of Russia’s role in the Finnish political elite’s understanding of its own past, shared Russian–Finnish and global history. To this end, the analysis focuses on President ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Gaman-Golutvina O. V., Сравнительная политика 2025 Т. 16 № 3 С. 4–29
...
Added: May 13, 2026
Balashov D., Антиномии 2026 Т. 26 № 1 С. 27–48
The movement of effective altruism, which emerged at the beginning of the 21st century, represents a new form of utilitarian philosophy that has had a significant impact on Anglo-American philosophical thought in the 19th and 20th centuries. A key feature of effective altruism is its emphasis on practicality. The movement positions itself as an entity ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Balashov D., Человек 2026 Т. 37 № 2 С. 135–150
One of the most discussed approaches to understanding morality in science and philosophy in recent years has been the social intuitionist model of morality by the American psychologist Jonathan Haidt. The author has created a complex concept consisting of several large parts logically connected to each other, each of which deserves special attention. The first ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Kazun A. D., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 2 С. 192–215
This article examines how Russians conceptualize the groups most vulnerable to fake news. Drawing on 119 semi-structured interviews conducted in spring 2024, I find clear evidence of the third-person effect: participants believe that disinformation primarily threatens “others” who differ from them on salient dimensions. Age is the most common basis for dividing society into “us” ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Krasnyak O., Вестник МГИМО Университета 2026 Т. 19 № 2 С. 24–46
This article examines European Union science diplomacy as an instrument of external action aimed at strengthening the EU’s international actorness, strategic autonomy, and
technological sovereignty. It argues that EU science diplomacy is undergoing a significant
transformation: from a liberal-normative model centered on international scientific cooperation, soft power, and global public goods toward a more strategic and geopolitical ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Милькова А. А., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 1 С. 104–114
The article is devoted to strategic narratives about the international system in the foreign policy dis-course of the President of the People's Republic of China Xi Jinping. An analysis of their evolution revealed the growing influence of Chinese political thought in shaping the modern world order, which is a topic of great academic and practical ...
Added: May 6, 2026
Kashin V., Smirnova V., Yankova A., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 3 С. 198–215
С начала 2020-х гг. КНР приступила к реализации серии мероприятий мобилизационного характера, по своей системности и размаху не имеющих аналогов в мировой практике, по крайней мере, с начала 1970-х гг., а в некоторых аспектах, возможно – со времён подготовки СССР ко Второй мировой войне. ...
Added: May 6, 2026
Федосейкин Д. И., Pomiguev I., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2025 Т. 19 № 4 С. 64–73
The budget process serves as a vivid example of the political struggle between political actors, resulting in the redistribution of public resources. It most clearly demonstrates all the features of the balance of power between the legislative and executive branches, which can be considered in a comparative perspective. One of the most interesting areas in ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Baklanov A., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2026 № 1 С. 207–233
The article analyses the current stage of development in relations between the European Union and the countries of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. These relations have a long and complex history, and today are undergoing further transformation and adaptation to the realities of the emerging multipolar world order. The article seeks to identify ...
Added: May 4, 2026
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Kosov M., Аудиторские ведомости 2024 № 2 С. 75–85
In recent decades, the world monetary system has undergone profound transformations, which are due to changes in the nature of interstate interaction, the ways of doing business by subjects of international economic relations, large-scale internationalization processes against the background of the ongoing globalization of economic relations. In these conditions, there are growing trends towards the ...
Added: October 22, 2025
Авдеева Э. А., Акимов А. В., Алексеева С. А. et al., М.: КноРус, 2025.
The book is devoted to the study of the new economic world order at the stage of combining multidirectional trends in global development. It analyses trends in the development of world commodity markets in conditions of increased turbulence, investment and financial issues of transformation of the global economic system, changes in the multilateral regulatory system, ...
Added: June 16, 2025
LePoire D., Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 1–27.
Not so many would argue with identifying complexity as a central concept in Big History and universal evolutionism. It is partly because, perhaps, today, many of us are convinced that not only our world but Universe itself is in a state of major change, and the awareness that we are living in a period of ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Elyashevich I., Чичин Г. Г., Макаров Е. И., Научные исследования и разработки. Экономика фирмы 2025 Т. 14 № 1 С. 91–102
The article is devoted to the issues of the influence of provision of logistics companies with operational resources on their competitiveness. The influence of geopolitical factors on the provision of logistics companies with operational resources is shown. Conclusions are made about the need to integrate global experience and adapt best practices to improve the competitiveness ...
Added: April 10, 2025
Kokoshin A., Кокошина З. А., Вестник Российской академии наук 2023 Т. 93 № 10 С. 942–954
According to the authors of the article, issues of globalization and deglobalization need to be considered primarily through the prism of the growing confrontation between the two largest states in the world – USA and China. The scale and depth of this confrontation is growing; it is becoming more and more ideological, as well as ...
Added: March 10, 2025
Рамич М. С., Проблемы Дальнего Востока 2024 № 5 С. 5–24
Globalization, which contributed to the maintenance of the neoliberal world order, slowed down after the Asian Financial Crisis in 1998 and the World Financial Crisis of 2008, when the existing system of global economic governance was unable to support developing countries, strengthening the trend towards regionalization and localization. China, acting as a rising power in ...
Added: December 23, 2024
Karikh R., Социологические исследования 2024 № 10 С. 93–103
The concept of open science, which is primarily a fight for free access to scientific knowledge, continues to gain support in the world. One of the goals of the concept is to solve the problems of developing countries and reduce inequality. This essay questions the feasibility of this goal. Presenting science as a world-system, the ...
Added: December 6, 2024
Portanskiy A., Современная мировая экономика 2024 Т. 2 № 1 С. 70–82
Building on the occasion of the regular WTO Ministerial Conference (MC-13) held in early 2024, the author reviews the initial success of this institution and then analyzes the accumulated problems of the organization and its weakening in recent years. An effective solution to these problems involves reforming the WTO. However, this is hampered by numerous ...
Added: July 23, 2024