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Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. A General Approach
Akaev et al. outline their methodological approach to mathematical modeling of social self-organization and historical dynamics, which is used in the study of processes occurring in the world and in forecasting further world development. They describe basic equations (in the demographic, ecological, economic, technological, social, and political spheres) and the order of their use in modeling world dynamics. Based on these equations, a set of basic models has been developed that describes interactions in the “society—nature” system, as well as interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions). Finally, Akaev et al. propose a technique for analyzing modeling results based on constructing and studying features of phase portraits of respective equation systems.