• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
May 25, 2026
HSE Scientists Train Neural Network to 'Hear' Faults in Electric Motors
Researchers at the AI and Digital Science Institute of the HSE Faculty of Computer Science have developed a new method—the Signature-Guided Data Augmentation (SGDA) framework—that achieves 99% accuracy in motor fault detection and 86% accuracy in fault classification. The application of this approach can reduce industrial equipment repair costs, minimise downtime, and improve production safety. The study results have been published in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence.
May 25, 2026
'The Humanities Serve as a Conscience'
Maria Mizernaia studies Soviet literature and the history of book publishing. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses plans to publish a novel about besieged Leningrad, AI-provoked reflections on what it means to be human, and how novels can help satisfy our dopamine hunger.
May 25, 2026
Is It Possible to Predict a Citys Life Based on the Shape of Its Neighbourhoods?
Is it possible to predict, based on the configuration of streets and buildings, where a café will open or where traffic congestion will occur? Participants in the Spatial Analysis and Modelling of Urban Processes research and study group use open data and machine learning to identify universal patterns. Alexander Sheludkov and Eduard Somov discuss the purpose of comparing cities, the need for new forms of urban statistics, and how open data is transforming approaches to urban studies.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes

P. 97–116.
Korotayev A., Sergey M., Jameelah Musieva
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: demographic transitionanthropogenic impactglobal demographic growth

In book

Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome
Springer, 2023.
Similar publications
Localising Pro-Natalism Case Analysis: Gender and China’s Three-Child Policy
Fu L., Asia and Africa today 2026 No. 3 P. 66–72
This research examines how the implementation of the three-child policy has unfolded in 4 province-level administrative divisions of the People’s Republic of China: Qinghai, Liaoning, Jiangsu and Guangdong, and analyses the gendered implications embedded in their provincial adaptations. Despite national pro-natalist targets, heterogeneous local adaptations reveal an inconsistent relationship between fertility incentives and women’s empowerment. Qinghai ...
Added: December 10, 2025
Традиция или осознанный выбор на жизненном пути? Опыт анализа подходов к решению о рождении детей среди жителей сельских территорий и регионов Северного Кавказа
Казенин К. И., Mitrofanova E., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2024 Т. 6 С. 275–296
The paper examines the results of a quantitative survey of attitudes towards childbearing among people living in those parts of Russia, which were characterized by a more noticeable increase in the birth rate than in the country as a whole, as well as a younger age of motherhood in the 2010s. These are the Northern ...
Added: January 12, 2025
The history of fertility in Russia: from generation to generation
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Vol. 10 No. 1 P. 4–43
The article presents the results of the author's demographic research in the reconstruction of the historical evolution of completed fertility in Russia from the beginning of the Demographic Transition to the present. Based on the author's estimates of continuous historic series of period and cohort completed fertility indicators, obtained by direct and indirect methods using several different models, ...
Added: August 25, 2023
История рождаемости в России: от поколения к поколению
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 1 С. 4–43
The article presents the results of the author's demographic research in the field of reconstruction of the historical evolution of total fertility in Russia from the beginning of the Demographic Transition to the present. Based on the author's estimates of continuous historic series of period and cohort total fertility indicators, obtained by direct and indirect methods using modeling elements, ...
Added: August 25, 2023
Подходы к оценке антропогенного воздействия в муниципальных образованиях (на примере Байкальской природной территории)
Антонов Е. В., Битюкова В. Р., Региональные исследования 2023 Т. 80 № 2 С. 51–65
В статье обоснована система индикаторов для оценки антропогенного воздействия на уровнемуниципальных образований с учетом специфики Байкальской природной территории (БПТ),а также расчетных показателей для уровня отдельных поселений центральной экологическойзоны БПТ. Структура интегрального показателя отражает компоненты пространственного распределения антропогенной нагрузки, что позволило провести соответствующую типологиюмуниципальных районов БПТ. Расчет показателей, отсутствующих в официальной статистикедля уровня поселений, проводился на ...
Added: July 31, 2023
АНТРОПОГЕННЫЕ ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ ЭОЛОВЫХ ПРОЦЕССОВ НА БЕРЕГАХ БЕЛОГО МОРЯ
Репкина Т. Ю., Луговой Н. Н., Gurinov A. et al., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2022 Т. 86 № 6 С. 1046–1062
According to the interpretation of satellite images and field observations, 15 large areas where anthropogenic activity intensifies aeolian morphogenesis were identified. The area of each site varies from 0.3 to 8.7 km2 (~27 km2 in total). The aeolian landforms developing under anthropogenic pressure have been studied in 3 key-areas: the Terskiy coast (mouth of the Varzuga River), Letniy ...
Added: January 31, 2023
Sustainable forest management tools for the Moscow region
Черненькова Т. В., Kotlov Ivan P., Беляева Н. Г. et al., Geography, Environment, Sustainability 2019 Vol. 12 No. 4 P. 35–56
The paper presents an inventory of current forest formations and a map of forest vegetation in the Moscow region. To assess current forest formations, an approach integrating both ground- and remote sensing data was applied. The transformation of forests in the Moscow region was evaluated by the criteria of changing the quality, quantity and spatial ...
Added: March 20, 2022
Dead men tell no tales: the role of cultural transmission in demographic change
Zakharenko R., Journal of Demographic Economics 2021 Vol. 87 No. 4 P. 511–536
The paper explains long-term changes in birth, death rates, and in attitude to personal consumption by evolution of preferences by means of cultural transmission. When communities are culturally isolated, they are focused on population growth, which results in large fertility and welfare transfers to children, limited adult consumption, and lack of old-age support. With increasing ...
Added: October 22, 2021
(Не)время взрослеть: как меняется возраст наступления дебютных биографических событий у россиян
Mitrofanova E., Демографическое обозрение 2020 Т. 7 № 4 С. 36–61
There is an opinion that today’s youth is not only in a hurry to became adults, but also refusing to obtain starting life course events that may limit freedom and that require commitment. To test this idea, we studied the ages of the onset of six major biographical events: completion of professional education, first employment, ...
Added: February 9, 2021
ГЕОХИМИЧЕСКИЙ МОНИТОРИНГ ЛЕСОСТЕПНЫХ ЛАНДШАФТОВ КУРСКОЙ БИОСФЕРНОЙ СТАНЦИИ
Кайданова О. В., Суслова С. Б., Кудерина Т. М. et al., Проблемы региональной экологии 2020 № 4 С. 37–42
To assess the ecological and geochemical state of the anthropogenic landscapes of the Kursk region, the natural landscapes of the Kursk Biosphere Station (KBS) have been used as background for many years. However, in the absence of river and groundwater runoff, the KBS plain landscapes receive pollutants with air migration, in which transboundary transport and ...
Added: December 1, 2020
Models of transition to adulthood of different Russian generations
Mitrofanova E., Демографическое обозрение 2019 Vol. 6 No. 5 P. 70–93
This paper is devoted to the analysis of the starting events marking the transition to adulthood, such as completion of education (vocational and higher), first employment, first separation from parents, first partnership, first marriage, and first childbirth. The dataset of the research is the Russian part of the Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). We prepared a ...
Added: November 23, 2020
From the Great Divergence to the Great Convergence
Akaev A., , in: Dynamic Modeling, Empirical Macroeconomics, and Finance.: Switzerland: Springer, 2016. Ch. 3 P. 35–88.
By means of simple AN-model of economic growth and stepwise refinement of technical progress (A), modelling of two-century transition process to Great |Divergence (nineteenth century and the first half of the twentieth century), then—from Divergence to Convergence (second half of the twentieth century), and at last, to the acceleration of convergence in the early twenty-first ...
Added: October 28, 2018
Governance in an Emerging New World: Russia in an Emerging World
Vishnevsky A., Stanford: Hoover Institution, 2018.
One of the key developments in 20th and 21st century history has been the demographic revolution, or demographic transition, which radically changed the course of fundamental demographic processes involving the birth rate, mortality and migration. These changes have had, and continue to have, a significant effect on all aspects of life in modern and developing societies, including ...
Added: October 14, 2018
Структурные трансформации в эволюции общества: от иерархических структур к сетевым
Куркина Е. С., Knyazeva H., Сложные системы 2017 Т. 25 № 4 С. 4–26
Evolution of society from the standpoint of formation and development of various types of structural relationships (hierarchical, market and network ones) is considered in the article. To describe all the variety of structural is simply not conceivable, but it is very useful to study them using concepts such as equality or inequality, freedom or compulsion, ...
Added: January 16, 2018
Особенности брачно-репродуктивного поведения в Республике Дагестан: их причины и социально-экономические последствия
Kazenin K., Kozlov V. A., Вестник Института экономики Российской академии наук 2017 № 2 С. 65–81
В статье рассматриваются особенности современного брачного и репродуктивного поведения женщин в Республике Дагестан. От средних показателей по России этот регион отличается более ранним возрастом вступления женщины в брак, более ран- ним возрастом при рождении детей и более короткими интервалами между рожде- ниями детей. Дагестан – один из немногих регионов России, где не наблюдается «ста- рения» ...
Added: May 24, 2017
Незамеченный вклад в теорию демографического перехода. К 125-летию со дня рождения Александра Кулишера
Vishnevsky A., Тольц М. С., Демографическое обозрение 2016 Т. 2 № 4 С. 6–34
Alexander Kulischer [Alexandre Koulicher] (1890-1942), a former professor at Petrograd University (St. Petersburg, Russia), who emigrated to France after the Russian Revolution of October 1917, may be considered one of the pioneers of the theory of demographic transition. However, his contribution to the development of this theory has gone almost unnoticed and underrated. This article presents ...
Added: March 8, 2017
Омоложение материнства в Дагестане: тенденция или артефакт? (Предварительные результаты обследования сельского населения)
Kazenin K., Kozlov V. A., Демографическое обозрение 2016 Т. 3 С. 100–123
This article is devoted to the dynamics of the mean age of child-bearing in Dagestan, an indicator which has differed significantly from the overall Russian trend within the last decade. The paper is based both on data from official sources and preliminary results from field research conducted by the authors in the rural areas of ...
Added: February 3, 2017
Endogenous growth and demographic transition in a model of cultural transmission
Zakharenko R., Journal of Evolutionary Economics 2016 Vol. 26 No. 5 P. 953–970
Demographic transition theory is developed highlighting cultural transmission pattern as a key driver. Individuals maximize cultural fitness, i.e. the rate of own cultural type absorption by future generations. With low population density, one’s culture can be picked up only by own children, and so cultural fitness equals genetic fitness, individuals allocate all energy surplus to ...
Added: November 15, 2016
The demographic revolution is changing the reproductive strategy of Homo sapiens
Vishnevsky A., Демографическое обозрение 2014 No. 5 P. 3–24
The demographic revolution (demographic transition) is changing the reproductive strategy of the species Homo sapiens. The whole evolution of life on Earth, including social evolution since the beginning of human society, has led to this triumph of theK-strategy of reproduction. This universal revolution has a crucial importance for the present stage of human history. The ...
Added: October 12, 2016
Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective: A Cross-Cultural Investigation
Korotayev A., Zinkina J. V., Goldstone J. et al., Cross-Cultural Research 2016 Vol. 50 No. 3 P. 251–280
Tropical Africa is known to be lagging far behind the rest of the world in its fertility transition. Many attempts have been made to specify the factors responsible for its resistance to fertility decline; however, no systemic explanation of the mechanisms sustaining its high fertility has been presented in cross-cultural perspective. In this article, we ...
Added: September 12, 2016
Глобальный демографический переход и фазы дивергенции – конвергенции центра и периферии мир-системы
Korotayev A., Вестник Института экономики Российской академии наук 2015 № 1 С. 149–162
The 19th century saw an explosive growth of the gap between the “First” and the “Third” World as regards per capita incomes and levels of life that has become to be known as the “Great Divergence”. In the 20th century the Great Divergence continued up to the early 1970s, and then – in the late ...
Added: December 3, 2015
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit