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Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. Agrarian Society
P. 309–335.
This chapter presents the results of applying the set of basic models described in the previous chapter to model the dynamics of an agrarian society. Both interactions in the “society–nature” system and social interactions within society between the main social groups (including economic and political interactions) are considered. It is shown that agrarian society is characterized by cyclical demographic and economic dynamics due to the limited resource base (primarily limited land resources) and the low level of technological development. Based on the modeling of social interactions, the main structural and functional features of a typical agrarian society are revealed. It is shown that in agrarian societies, the mechanisms of social self-organization mainly lead to the formation of social structures of the so-called X-type.
In book
Springer, 2023.
Kimerling A. S., В кн.: Кочевые цивилизации народов Центральной и Северной Азии: история, состояние, проблемы.: Кызыл: Издательство ТувГУ, 2025. С. 136–138.
The article analyzes how demographic (fertility, mortality, age structure) and socio-cultural indicators (language adaptation, ethnic identity, religious practices, educational level, cultural interaction) in the historical context on the regional material reflect migration processes affecting society. The author has revealed that migration is a multidimensional process, making a significant contribution not only to demographic, but also ...
Added: June 21, 2025
Makasheva N. A., , in: Russian and Western Economic Thought: Mutual Influences and Transfer of Ideas.: Springer, 2022. P. 267–285.
The article addresses to Kondratiev’s approach to the problems of economic dynamics, cycle and conjuncture in the context of a new methodological agenda which was formulated in the 1920’s in Europe and the USA by representatives of the “brilliant generation of economists”, mostly, members of econometric movement and its adherents among acquired Russian economists. A ...
Added: October 30, 2022
Makasheva N. A., Russian Journal of Economics 2021 Vol. 7 No. 1 P. 50–66
This article addresses Kondratiev’s approach to the problems of economic dynamics, cycle and conjuncture in the context of a new methodological agenda which was formulated in the 1920’s in Europe and the USA by representatives of the “brilliant generation of economists,” mostly members of the econometric movement and its adherents among Russian economists. A distinguishing ...
Added: July 3, 2021
Makasheva N. A., М.: Институт экономики РАН, 2017.
The book contains the scientific works of the participants of the X-th scientific conference "Scientific heritage of N.D. Kondratiev and the Present", dedicated to the 125th anniversary of the birth of N.D. Kondratiev ...
Added: June 1, 2020
Akaev A., Ziyadullaev N. S., Sarygulov A. I. et al., Studies on Russian Economic Development 2016 Vol. 27 No. 5 P. 510–517
Based on the simulation of medium-term economic dynamics under conditions of high inflation, the article analyzes the effectiveness of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia and presents a forecast of economic growth in the near-term outlook (2015–2018) under different scenarios of change in the key interest rate. ...
Added: October 28, 2018
Akaev A., Ziyadullaev N. S., Sarygulov A. I. et al., Studies on Russian Economic Development 2017 Vol. 28 No. 3 P. 266–270
This paper considers the mathematical model of economic dynamics under the conditions of stagflation, which was previously developed by the authors and is now generalized for the case of the volatility of the national currency due to the volatility of oil prices. The model is used for the medium-term forecast of economic development in Russia ...
Added: October 28, 2018
Akaev A., Ichkitidze Y., Sarygulov A. et al., Social Evolution & History 2016 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 3–24
The collapse of the socialist system laid all former members of the Warsaw Pact bloc and Council for Mutual Economic Assistance under the necessity for choosing a new developmental path. Nowadays, a quarter of a century later, we can state for certain that the Eastern European and Baltic countries which had chosen the integration with ...
Added: October 28, 2018
Korotayev A., , in: The SAGE Encyclopedia of Political Behavior.: Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2017. Ch. M P. 458–462.
Malthusian cycles are political-demographic cycles that were typical for complex pre-modern societies. Due to a number of mechanisms, within the pre-modern social systems (and some would argue even in the 21st century) population growth tended to produce a set of imbalances and strains, eventually resulting in political-demographic collapses and substantial population decline. After stabilization, the ...
Added: June 5, 2017
Ichkitidze Y., , in: Industry 4.0: Entrepreneurship and Structural Change in the New Digital Landscape.: Springer, 2017. Ch. 6 P. 137–153.
In this paper, we suggest an approach to the study of the financial instability based on the model of evolutionary processes. In the first place, we present some empirical facts that confirm that the stock’s price dynamics is better described by the Markov switching model rather than by the pure random walk. Further, using the ...
Added: April 11, 2017
Denisenko M. B., Николаева У. Г., Denisenko G. M., В кн.: Горожане в деревне. Социологические исследования в российской глубинке: дезурбанизация и сельско-городские сообщества. Научная монография / Под ред. В.И.Ильина и Н.Е.Покровского.: М.: Университетская книга, 2016. Гл. 1.3 С. 56–79.
В работе выделяются основные демографические тенденции в регионах Ближнего Севера: Архангельской, Вологодской, Кировской, Костромской областей. На примере Костромской области анализируется внутри региональная дифференциация демографических процессов. Подчеркивается бедственная демографическая ситуация в периферийных административных районах. ...
Added: March 12, 2017
Matveenko V., Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja 2016 Vol. 29 No. 1 P. 888–903
The paper argues that labour institutions, such as efficiency wages or their analogues more typical for the former planned economies, can aggravate a vulnerability of developing economies caused by windfalls, such as additional oil income or foreign aid. The economy is modelled by use of the, so-called, fK endogenous growth model based on microfoundations describing ...
Added: November 23, 2016
Korotayev A., Zinkina J. V., Восточная аналитика 2014 № 4 С. 36–41
Китайским властям надо быть готовым к некоторому риску социально-политической дестабилизации и постараться предпринять некоторые превентивные меры, которые могли бы данный риск смягчить (возможно, включая и поощрение деятельности брачных агентств, помогающих китайским мужчинам найти брачных партнеров заграницей). Вместе с тем, очевидно, что для долгосрочного фундаментального решения данной серьезной проблемы китайскому руководству необходимо как можно скорее отказываться ...
Added: October 19, 2014
Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Journal of Futures Studies 2014 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 21–40
The recent decade has witnessed remarkable success in various aspects of socioeconomic development in Tropical Africa. However, contrary to the “development is the best contraceptive” expectations, fertility in many countries remains stalled, frequently at very high levels of 5 and more children per woman. This actualizes the risks of population explosions, which are particularly sharp, ...
Added: October 19, 2014
Spatial aspects of population dynamics in Russian local administrative territorial units (1989–2010)
Karachurina L. B., Mkrtchyan N. V., Demografia 2012 Vol. 55 No. 5 P. 61–88
The paper analyses the patterns of demographic dynamics of settlements and districts of various types in Russia within the framework of the core-periphery model. We test the hypotheses stating that population density is growing in regional centres and in their surroundings; variations in the dynamics of population growth (and its components) within regions are not ...
Added: October 16, 2014
Karachurina L. B., Mkrtchyan N. V., Региональные исследования 2010 № 3(29) С. 69–83
The article analyses the differences in demographic dynamics for settlements and areas of different types viewed from the perspective of the center-periphery conception. The author veries the hypothesis that in modern conditions the concentration of the population increases in regional centers and adjacent areas, the regional dynamics of the population in certain administrative and territory ...
Added: October 30, 2012