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Долгосрочная трансформация модели рождаемости в России и демографическая политика в 2006–2024 гг
AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории). 2026. Т. 23. № 2. С. 429–447.
This article examines changes in the quantum and structural characteristics of period and cohort fertility in Russia in the context of pro-natalist demographic policy pursued since 2006. The study assesses the significance of recent decades’ shifts for total fertility, the age profile of mothers, and their distribution by number of children born. The analysis draws on Rosstat data and applies increment-decrement age- and birth-order-specific period and cohort fertility tables. The author also proposes methods for quantifying the effects of demographic policy over 2006–2024. The findings show that: (1) Russian generational fertility has continued to evolve in line with patterns of the Second Demographic Transition in quantum, maternal age profile, and parity distribution, bringing Russia closer to other developed countries; (2) despite fluctuations in 2007–2024, including those attributable to pro-natalist policy, the long-term fertility trend has not undergone fundamental change; (3) heterogeneity in the distribution of women by age at childbearing and by number of children born has increased significantly; (4) the estimated policy effect amounts to approximately 0.1 births per woman for 1980s cohorts, representing around 6–7 % of total births registered in Russia over 2007–2024. It is recommended that further investigation of longterm reproductive trends and the impact of socio-demographic policy should be pursued through cohort-based monitoring, as cohort indicators are less sensitive to tempo distortions in the timing of demographic events.
Research target:
Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Language:
Russian
Andreev E. M., Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2026 Т. 13 № 2 С. 1–33
The article presents the results of a comparative analysis of fertility indicators for Russian female cohorts born in the 1930s–1980s, obtained using two independent methods: (a) estimates based on the results of national surveys of women collecting information on the number of children ever born; and (b) estimates derived from specially constructed cohort age- and ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Ryabkov Y., Леонтьева А. В., Abramov R., Социология власти 2026 Т. 38 № 2 С. 230–261
This study analyzes art residencies in Russia as institutions that bring together artists, local contexts, and stakeholders. It focuses on three key aspects: strategies for institutional positioning within the art field and in relation to stakeholders; residents' practices regarding the local context; and the nature of the residencies' interactions with local residents. The institutionalization of ...
Added: July 4, 2026
Bogdanov T., ИНТЕРакция. ИНТЕРвью. ИНТЕРпретация 2026 Т. 18 № 2 С. 30–50
The article addresses the ethical and methodological aspects of using artificial intelligence (AI) in qualitative sociological research. The widespread use of generative AI in scientific research has sparked an interdisciplinary debate regarding the instrumental efficiency and moral permissibility of applying this technology in the processes of acquiring scientific knowledge. The most active debates are taking ...
Added: July 3, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 С. 92–109
В статье анализируется структурный разрыв между увеличивающейся когнитивной нагрузкой и снижающейся отдачей от неё. Подход, при котором развитие научных и образовательных школ, ориентированных на тренировку суждения, может стать альтернативой количественному наращиванию вычислительных мощностей, которое служит основной стратегией Китая и США. Применительно к России традиция фундаментального образования и сильных исследовательских школ приобретает в новых условиях значение ...
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Grigoreva M., Соколова Е. Н., Знак: проблемное поле медиаобразования 2026 № 1 С. 92–101
The article analyzes representations of grandmothers’ and grandfathers’ images in the digital family discourse of the Russian social media segment. Based on a corpus of more than two million public posts from September 2023 to September 2024 collected via Brand Analytics, we extracted a subcorpus of 82 138 posts mentioning the older generation. The study ...
Added: June 30, 2026
Rodina O., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 № 82 С. 86–104
This article examines the relationship between the age of first birth and the value of the “motherhood penalty” in wages. The author constructs a fixed-effects panel regression using panel data from the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (waves from 2006 to 2022). The study finds that having a child leads to a 12.7 per cent decrease ...
Added: June 30, 2026
Kuzina O. E., Моисеева Д. В., Абдураманов А. Я., Russian Journal of Economics 2026 Vol. 2 No. 12 P. 251–273
This paper assesses the relationship between financial literacy and over-indebtedness of Russian households using panel data from the Survey of Consumer Finances collected in Russia during 2018–2024. Russia is an interesting case: a relatively young consumer-finance market in which a lack of financial literacy may increase the likelihood of household over-indebtedness. To test this hypothesis, ...
Added: June 30, 2026
Gromova A., М.: КноРус, 2023.
Учебное пособие по лингвострановедению предназначено для востоковедов, изучающих персидский язык в рамках различных специализаций: регионоведение, филология, история и политология, экономическое развитие стран Ближнего и Среднего Востока. Пособие знакомит с реалиями современной иранской жизни и национальными новостными ресурсами, широко использует материалы Интернета. Книга оставляет известную свободу в выборе материала для занятий в зависимости от уровня владения ...
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Artemenko E., Koltsova O., Terpilovskii M., Journal of Health Communication 2026
Health misinformation undermines public well-being, yet most research conceptualizes fact-checking as an external intervention targeting false messages only. This obscures the effects of counter-messages on initially truthful statements and diverts attention from fact-checking as a user-driven practice. This study advances misinformation research by examining fact-checking as a spontaneous, naturalistic user behavior, captured via indirect behavioral ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Кузнецова П. О., Демографическое обозрение 2026 Т. 13 № 2 С. 37–70
This paper presents
an analysis of the dynamics and factors of infant mortality in Russian regions from
1927 to 2022, using data from Demoscope Weekly and the Russian Fertility and Mortality Database. Despite the
significance of regional factors in infant mortality, particul
arly in the early stages of the observed period, the period
effect was generally more important. Thus, nationwide ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Рубан М. Г., Kozhemyakin E., Коммуникативные исследования 2026 Т. 13 № 2 С. 325–341
The paper discusses the results of the research of mediating romantic datings in pre-digital era. The authors note the imbalance in research interest, which is focused primarily on digital dating practices, the unprecedented nature of which mediatization is often exaggerated. The paper examines historically persistent patterns of dating, mediated by communication technologies characteristic of the ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Shams S., International Review of Sociology 2026 Vol. 36 No. 1 P. 262–289
Vertical disintegration reshaped economic activity and especially
employment, with the rise of contractual networks for the
production and distribution of goods and services that were once
under direct corporate control. With minor exceptions, much of
the recent research shows the decline in working conditions that
accompanies the demise of promotion trajectories, predictable
pay, and generally retentive labor practices that were a ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Shams S., International Sociology 2026 Vol. 4 No. 2 P. 183–190
The socioeconomic gap between the top earners and the remainder of the population has
expanded dramatically in the past few decades. Social scientists have been examining this issue
from several theoretical and empirical perspectives. Recently, the observation that the extent
and type of current global inequality is paralleling that of medieval feudalism is gaining a foothold.
This essay examines ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Рахманова Л. Я., Этнографическое обозрение 2026 № 3 С. 100–121
This article has a three-level structure: starting with specific examples in the field of food ethnography, I move on to the level of classifications that differentiate between raw and cooked, edible and dangerous, and alive and dead. This narrow focus on classifications, which has been used in anthropology for decades as a working language for ...
Added: June 25, 2026
Tulaeva S. A., Semushkina E. S., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Т. 35 № 3 С. 47–75
Most studies investigating involvement in collective action in environmental protection relate it either to general sociocultural attitudes in society at the macro level or to the strategic actions of eco-activists in specific cases at the micro level. In the first case, this makes it possible to explain variations in environmental actions between different societies/countries; in ...
Added: June 23, 2026
Denisenko M. B., Kvasha E. A., Хавраева Ю. В., Демографическое обозрение 2025 No. ENGLISH SELECTION 2025 P. 1–25
For a long historical period, infant mortality has significantly contributed to the overall mortality rate of the population in Russia and its regions. This article examines the dynamics of infant mortality in the capital, Moscow, from 1939 to 1949. It analyses changes in the structure of infant mortality by age at death and causes of ...
Added: June 22, 2026
Kazun A. D., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Т. 35 № 3 С. 101–121
This study analyzes interviews with news avoiders to identify the underlying motivations for this behavior. News avoidance is interpreted by informants as a purposeful action—a deliberate, rational choice based on an assessment of the benefits of news and the costs of consuming it. While interviewees predominantly cite the negative impact on emotional well-being and physical ...
Added: June 19, 2026
Moshnyaga E., Иностранные языки в школе 2025 № 9 С. 16–24
This article analyzes the new context of interaction in educational spaces created by the changed conditions in the realization of international educational programs, specifically the emergence of the dissimilar Other student. Multicultural classes bring together representatives of a wide variety of cultures, often unfamiliar to the host culture and/or hostile to one another, leading to ...
Added: June 16, 2026
Томск: Издательство Томского государственного университета, 2025.
This collection is based on papers presented by participants at the XXXV International Scientific Conference "Language and Culture: Milestones, Traditions, Innovations." The materials presented in this publication address current issues in theoretical and applied linguistics and literary studies, the psychological, pedagogical, and sociocultural aspects of foreign language teaching, and important issues in translation and intercultural ...
Added: June 16, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Kazenin K., Sergei Zakharov, Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article e70241
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease.
In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026