Оценка уровня смертности от внешних причин в Республике Башкортостан в 2011-2012 гг.
The poor quality of mortality statistics from external causes in Russia and its regions is reflected in high death rates from causes named "Injuries with undetermined intent", which includes not only deaths from accidents but also the latent murders and suicides. On the basis of mortality statistics from the class "External causes of morbidity and mortality" of ICD-10 and mortality from a number of causes of "Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified " and "Diseases of the circulatory system" were built four models of mortality for the Republic of Bashkortostan, which provide an assessment of the potential mortality from homicides, suicides and alcohol poisonings. On average, according to the models 1-3 the possible mortality rate of homicide higher than the official 1.6 times in men and by 1.4 times in women, suicides – by 1.2 times in both sexes, alcohol poisoning – 1.8 times in men and 2.1 times for women. According to the model 4 the growth of mortality rate from homicide was 3.8 times and 3.2 times for men and women respectively, suicide – 1.4 times and 2 times, and finally, alcohol poisoning 3 times and 5.9 times. The mortality rate from the entire class "External causes" in model 4 increased 1.2 times for men and 1.4 times in women, which was mainly due to the increased mortality in working ages (15-60 years).