Количественный анализ экономических факторов революционной дестабилизации: результаты и перспективы

Социология власти. 2023. Т. 35. № 1. С. 118–159.

Korotayev A., Zhdanov A.

There are certain grounds for asserting that the fifth generation of revolution theories is being formed in the 21st century. The main distinguishing features of the new generation of theories of revolution, apparently, are the reliance on global databases of revolutionary events, the widespread use of modern methods of quantitative analysis, as well as the fundamental idea that armed and unarmed revolutionary events are characterized by fundamentally different factors, structure and consequences. . At the same time, revolutions / maximalist campaigns are understood as “a series of observable, continuous, targeted mass tactics pursuing fundamental changes in the political order: regime change or national self-determination” (E. Chenoweth). This article opens a series of reviews of the main concrete results obtained within the research of this generation, which opens with an analysis of the economic factors of revolutionary destabilization identified within the framework of this approach.

Keywords: revolution, quantitative analysis, количественный анализ, революции, fifth generation of theories of revolution, economic factors of the revolution, reasons for the revolution, quantitative analysis of revolutions, пятое поколение теорий революции, экономические факторы революции, причины революции, количественный анализ революций

Publication based on the results of: Mechanisms and factors of stability of socio-political systems of the "Afrasian" macro zone of instability (2023)