Географические особенности старения населения России

Демографическое обозрение. 2019. Т. 6. № 2. С. 55–83.

Petrosian A., Шевчук Е. И., Кириллов П. Л., Мозгунов Н. А.

The paper investigates the geographical features of demographic aging using the age of retirement as the

main definition for old age boundary. The study is based on the demographic statistics of Rosstat and the UN

Population Division. The possible interdependence between population aging and the implementation of

social policies in the field of pension regulation have been studied. The hypothesis about the relationship

between low levels and high pace of population aging for countries of the world and regions of the Russian

Federation was tested.

A cartographic and statistical analysis of spatial data at the level of regions and municipalities made it

possible to identify and describe the main geographical factors of population ageing differentiation.

‘National’ subjects of the Russian Federation, as well as the Northern regions of new development

(autonomous okrugs), where the minimum proportion of the elderly of retirement age is observed, are

growing older most rapidly.At the same time, the echo of social сrises that took place during the 20th century

still plays a significant part in the pace of ageing. However, over the course of this century its influence will

increasingly weaken.

At the local level ethnic and rural-urban differentiation is becoming a less significant population ageing

factor in comparison to migration: the working-age population continues to concentrate in the largest

urbanised areas. The main territories of the “young” population concentration are the administrative centres

of Russia’s regions and areas with a high proportion of non-Russian ethnic groups with a high total fertility

rate (TFR), as well as some other ‘azonic’ municipalities

Keywords: пенсионная реформа, старение населения, пенсионный возраст, pension reform, population ageing, retirement age, демографическая нагрузка, dependency ratio, spatial differentiation, пространственная дифференциация