?
Образ будущего российской молодежи в условиях политической нестабильности
С. 24–27.
Language:
Russian
Витовская Д. И., Мирошниченко Е. Д., Mararitsa L., В кн.: Социальная психология: вопросы теории и практики : Материалы X Международной научно-практической конференции памяти М.Ю. Кондратьева.: М.: Издательство МГППУ, 2025. С. 133–136.
В течение жизни социальная сеть и объём общения человека с разными контактами меняются. Рождение ребёнка является важным событием, появляются другие приоритеты, и коммуникативные инвестиции перераспределяются. При этом важность конкурирующей сферы – профессиональной, может служить “буфером” против угасания слабых связей и фактором сохранения рабочих контактов, внимание к которым снижено в период раннего материнства. Исследование посвящено изучению ...
Added: December 9, 2025
К прогнозированию вероятности невооруженной революционной дестабилизации методами машинного обучения
Медведев И. А., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 2 С. 108–141
The authors provide a broad overview of the main applications for machine learning methods in political sociology. They describe history of the transition from simple regression models to complex machine learning models. The reasons for and benefits of this transition are discussed. The authors identify the main uses of machine learning models in related disciplines and ...
Added: August 1, 2025
Nisnevich Y. A., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2025 № 2 С. 110–129
Th is article explores the world of authoritarian rule in the institutional paradigm. It structures the world of authoritarian rule on the basis of religion highlighting clusters of Muslim, Christian and Buddhist states, as well as a cluster of states in which followers of any religion do not constitute an absolute majority and a commu ...
Added: May 22, 2025
Kurbatov A., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 19 № 4 С. 38–48
The future is an integral and strategically important component of public political communication. At the same time, attempts to represent the future face the problem of its fundamental uncertainty, the degree of which increases in the context of a special military operation. Nevertheless, even in such conditions, politicians are forced to talk about the future. ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Nisnevich Y. A., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2025 № 1 С. 79–92
Th e article is devoted to the study of the world of authoritarian rule in the institutional paradigm. Th e structuring of this world according to a number of features is presented. Th e fi rst part of the article examines the structuring of the authoritarian world according to religion. It distinguishes clusters of Muslim, ...
Added: February 16, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Экономическая социология 2025 Т. 26 № 1 С. 52–89
The article tests several hypotheses about the impact of wealth and income inequality, as well as inequality in human capital, on the risks of armed and unarmed revolutions. Using the revolutionary destabilization database from the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis (CSRA) at HSE University, along with data collected by Mark Beissinger, the study analyzes ...
Added: January 29, 2025
Коцур Г. В., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2024 Vol. 18 No. 1 P. 103–111
The concept of sovereignty has not been popular in the official EU’s discourse for a long time, but this has
changed in recent years since representatives of the Union have turned to the categories of European sovereignty and strategic autonomy. Through the prism of critical chronopolitics, F. Polak’s concept of the image
of the future and discourse ...
Added: April 17, 2024
Tulchinskii G. L., Цифровой ученый: лаборатория философа 2023 Т. 6 № 2 С. 37–44
The paper deals with two interrelated topics. Firstly, this is the role of the research university as a social in
stitution, which not only lays the foundations for the future, but also shapes the image of this future. Scien
tific researches reveal new cause-and-effect relation ships, trends in social development, while design de
velopments contain ideas, technologies for imple menting new knowledge ...
Added: January 19, 2024
Slobodenyuk E., В кн.: Россия реформирующаяся: ежегодник: вып. 21Вып. 21.: М.: ФНИСЦ РАН, 2023. Гл. 11 С. 273–298.
The paper considers two groups of Russians – those who objectively have low incomes and subjectively perceive their financial situation as bad. Based on the data of the survey conducted by the Institute of Sociology FCTAS RAS in March 2022, their expectations regarding their personal future and the future of the country as a whole ...
Added: January 16, 2024
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2023.
The report was prepared by the staff of the Institute for Cultural Research (Department of Urban and Regional Development) within the framework of the strategic project "National Center of Scientific-Technological and Socio-Economic Forecasting", as part of the participation in the "Priority 2030" program (run by the Ministry of Education and Science of Russia). The "Priority ...
Added: June 1, 2023
Khokhlov N., Васильев А. М., Беличенко А. А. et al., Международные процессы 2021 Т. 19 № 2 С. 21–49
Our analysis allows us to talk about two waves of the echo of the Arab spring in Western Europe. The first wave was observed in 2011 and was expressed in the explosive growth of mainly peaceful protests. Taking into account the data on the direct impact of the events of the Arab Spring on the ...
Added: August 24, 2021
Медведев И. А., Sawyer P., Korotayev A., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисковЧ. 1. Т. 11.: Издательство "Учитель", 2020. С. 397–432.
Added: January 12, 2021
Издательство "Учитель", 2020.
В центре внимания данного выпуска мониторинга находится афразийская макрозона нестабильности, простирающаяся от Сахеля (то есть африканских стран, расположенных непосредственно к югу от Сахары) через Северную Африку, Ближний и Средний Восток до постсоветской Центральной Азии. С другой стороны, для понимания закономерностей дестабилизационных процессов в этой макрозоне требуется уточнить общие закономерности возникновения социально-политической нестабильности и революций. Разработка ...
Added: December 7, 2020
Петухов Р. В., Полис. Политические исследования 2020 № 6 С. 103–118
The social perturbations during the first half of 2020-ies marked the contradictions that were accumulating in the Russian society for recent years. One aspect of social disengagement is the peculiar attitude of different social groups and strata towards the long-term course of the contemporary government towards maintaining stability, that is used to be understood as ...
Added: November 30, 2020
Romanov D., Meshcherina K., Korotayev A., Полис. Политические исследования 2021 № 3 С. 166–181
Studies in political demography suggest that there should be a positive correlation between the increased share of youth in the total population (‘youth bulges’) and the intensity of anti-government demonstrations. However, a correlation analysis (without adding any control variables) between the youth bulges and the intensity of non-violent protests demonstrates unexpected results, since in this ...
Added: October 20, 2020
Rozental D. M., Латинская Америка 2018 № 10 С. 49–60
This article is devoted to the relations between Moscow and Caracas at the period of instability in Venezuela. Author estimates the main spheres of the bilateral cooperation, analyzes their prospects. Despite the hard situation of the Bolivarian government, Moscow continues to provide financial and moral support to the regime of Nicolas Maduro. The possible coming ...
Added: October 9, 2020
Rozental D., Jeifets V. L., Iberoamérica 2018 No. 4 P. 53–76
The serious economic and political crisis in Venezuela weakened its foreign policy opportunities. The decline of the oil production and the drop of world fuel prices led to a decrease in the effectiveness of the Caracas’s energy diplomacy. At the same time, the end of the left political cycle in Latin America and the loss ...
Added: October 9, 2020
Ivanov Y., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.Вып. 8.: Волгоград: Учитель, 2017. Гл. 8 С. 203–218.
В статье рассматриваются подходы к прогнозированию процессов дестабилизации в Исламской Республике Иран. Первый подход, названный «четыре шага», заключается в последовательном анализе четырех универсальных параметров, описывающих протестную активность. Второй подход базируется на методике, использованной при анализе событий Арабской весны и при оценке протестного потенциала в Центрально-Азиатском регионе после 2011 г. На основании результатов анализа с использованием ...
Added: April 16, 2020
Korotayev A., Romanov D., Медведев И. А., Социологическое обозрение 2019 Т. 18 № 1 С. 56–106
В статье представлен анализ влияния событий «арабской весны» 2011 года на дестабилизацию в Восточной Европе, в том числе на подъем протестной активности. Показываются элементы сходства протестов в Восточной Европе с протестами периода «арабской весны», анализируются способы заимствования паттернов дестабилизации. Волна протестной активности после 2011 года сравнивается с предыдущей, инициированной мировым финансово-экономическим кризисом 2008–2009 годов. Помимо ...
Added: April 3, 2019
Соколова Е. Е., [б.и.], 2015.
The research results obtained by a group of students taking Master degree in the program “Management in Higher Education” at the Higher School of Economics are represented in the given article. A strategic model of the Russian institute of higher education in twenty years perspective was formed in the course of investigation. ...
Added: February 28, 2019
Gelfond M. M., В кн.: Внутренний строй: памяти Инны Львовны Альми.: ООО "Транзит-ИКС", 2018. С. 105–113.
Светлой памяти Инны Львовны Альми ...
Added: November 19, 2018
Ортманс О. А., Маццео Э., Meshcherina K. et al., Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2017 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 113–158
In the current paper, we investigate the predictive ability of Goldstone’s demographic structural model. In particular we seek to apply Turchin’s version of it to modeling the social pressures for political instability in the UK. It is then demonstrated that Turchin’s analysis of ‘demographic structural’ pressures in the US presents similar conditions that developed under ...
Added: January 11, 2018