• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • О подходах к прогнозированию социально-политической нестабильности в Иране
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2028
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
October 5, 2026
‘The Climate Transition Is Not Necessarily a Limitation for Business
Linara Khadimullina works in the field of low-carbon development. In an interview with the Young Scientists of HSE project, she spoke about why nature is not just a beautiful backdrop, her research on the role of sustainable corporate governance in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and growing plants as a source of inspiration.
October 5, 2026
Africa, Youth, and Civic Dialogue: Public Diplomacy Discussed at HSE University
In late September, HSE University hosted a roundtable discussion titled Civil Society in African Countries and Youth Participation in Public Diplomacy. Representatives of non-governmental organisations from Ghana, Ethiopia, and Russia, along with students from HSE University’s Bachelor’s Programme in Public Administration, discussed how young people without official diplomatic status can influence relations between countries and how the nonprofit sector can remain sustainable amid declining grant funding.
October 1, 2026
HSE Researchers Show How Congenital Motor Disorders Affect Brain Development
Researchers from HSE University’s Institute for Cognitive Neuroscience have synthesised the findings of their previous studies on brain development in children with obstetric brachial plexus palsy and arthrogryposis. Their analysis shows that impaired motor function in early childhood not only limits children’s motor experience but also affects memory, categorical thinking, and information processing. The study has been published in Frontiers in Psychology.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

О подходах к прогнозированию социально-политической нестабильности в Иране

Гл. 8. С. 203–218.
Ivanov Y.
Language: Russian
Full text
Text on another site
Keywords: политические рискиИранIranполитические режимыполитическая нестабильностьpolitical regimespolitical instabilitypolitical risks
Publication based on the results of:
Near and Middle East in the context of the global phase transition (2017)

In book

Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.
Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.
Вып. 8. , Волгоград: Учитель, 2017.
Similar publications
چرخش ایران به جنوب‌شرق آسیا در 1997-2005: کریدور ایران-آسه‌آن و ناکامی در شراکت بخشی
Khataei D., Journal of Asian Regional Orders Studies 2026 Vol. 3 No. 2 P. 35–72
این مقاله چرخش راهبردی ایران به جنوب شرق آسیا در فاصله سال‌های ۱۹۹۷ تا ۲۰۰۵ و تلاش تهران برای ارتقای روابط با اتحادیه کشورهای جنوب شرق آسیا (آسه‌آن) را بررسی می‌کند. پرسش اصلی پژوهش آن است که چگونه ایران در این دوره کوشید روابط پراکنده خود با کشورهای منطقه را به حضوری پایدارتر و تا ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Революционная активность в цифровую эпоху: особенности возникновения и развития в контексте политических режимов (часть 1)
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 8 С. 3–14
The article is devoted to an analysis of the influence of digital technologies and the Internet on the emergence and development of revolutionary activity in the 21st century. The authors consider the Internet to be a new significant factor in political destabilization, noting its role in coordinating protests, overcoming state censorship, and shaping new behavioral ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Гражданская война в Судане: внутренняя динамика и роль внешних акторов
Ходунов А. С., Хайруллин Т. Р., Korotayev A., Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право 2026 Т. 19 № 1 С. 159–178
The article is devoted to the civil war in Sudan, which has been going on for more than two years and has caused enormous casualties and destruction throughout the country. The vast majority of schools and hospitals have been destroyed or put out of operation, which has had an extremely negative impact on the development ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Стенограмма семинара Ассоциации японоведов «Новый ближневосточный кризис и Япония», 14 мая 2026 года, МГИМО — Университет
Киреева А. А., Добринская О. А., Chizhevskaya M. et al., Японские исследования 2026 № 2 С. 157–181
The Middle East (ME) region is vitally important to Japan, as it accounts for 90% of Japan's oil imports. For many years, Japan has sought to build friendly relations with all countries in the region, often having to balance its own interests with its strategic alignment with the United States, its only military and political ally. The seminar ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Иран и его соседи
Gromova A., М.: КноРус, 2023.
Учебное пособие по лингвострановедению предназначено для востоковедов, изучающих персидский язык в рамках различных специализаций: регионоведение, филология, история и политология, экономическое развитие стран Ближнего и Среднего Востока. Пособие знакомит с реалиями современной иранской жизни и национальными новостными ресурсами, широко использует материалы Интернета. Книга оставляет известную свободу в выборе материала для занятий в зависимости от уровня владения ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Факторы революционной дестабилизации в режимном контексте. Опыт количественного анализа
Zhdanov A., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2026 Т. 38 № 2 С. 118–167
Imagining a cosmic future touches on many topics — but typically avoids the topic of death, burial, and attitudes toward deceased ancestors. Most of these developments concern life-support systems. This article analyzes the debate between American anthropologist Elizabeth Povinelli and Russian cosmists. The subject of this debate is immortality and attitudes toward ancestors in the ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Путешествие по старинным городам Ирана
Gromova A., КноРус, 2026.
Предназначено для востоковедов, изучающих персидский язык в рамках различных специализаций, таких как история, политология, регионоведение, филология, экономическое развитие стран Ближнего и Среднего Востока. Рассчитано на студентов востоковедных вузов второго курса, знакомит с основными этапами истории Древнего Ирана, туристским потенциалом этой многоликой страны, с национальными новостными и тематическими онлайн-ресурсами. Книга оставляет известную свободу в выборе материала ...
Added: June 29, 2026
The Reds in Iran: The Communist Party of Iran, the Comintern, and the Bolsheviks in 1922 to the early 1930s
Дёмин Ю. А., Iranian Studies 2026 Vol. 59 No. 1 P. 55–72
The first decade after the end of the revolutionary events in Gilan (1920-21) was a period of active attempts by the Bolsheviks, the Communist International and the Communist Party of Iran to gain a solid social foothold in Iran. Thispaper, based mainly on Russian archival sources, focuses on studying the dynamics of the guidelines of the CommunistInternational and the Communist Party of Iran, the attempts and features of their implementation, as well as on therelationship of the Iranian Communists with the Bolsheviks and the leadership of the Communist International. The studydemonstrates that the main efforts of the Reds in 1922-25 were aimed at building an inter-class coalition, wherecooperation with Reza Khan became only part of these broader efforts. The failures led the Reds to a previously testedcourse of fomenting the agrarian revolution in Iran and repeated fiascos. Throughout this period, the leadership of the Communist Party of Iran was not a simple executor of directives, but took an active part in the decision-making process,involved the Bolsheviks in its internal party struggle and challenged high-ranking functionaries of the Communist International. ...
Added: April 12, 2026
The International North–South Transport Corridor in Russian National Security Optics
Tebin, P.Yu., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 1 P. 134–148
This article contends that, in the context of growing, multifaceted, and long-term great-power competition, Russian national security depends upon developing a Eurasian transport network through a cohesive ‘whole-of-government’ approach. Such a network includes robust domestic infrastructure as well as a diversified and resilient network of international transport corridors, foremost the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) ...
Added: January 12, 2026
Религия для «Великой цивилизации»: влияние традиционализма на риторику Мохаммеда Резы Пехлеви в 60–70-х годах XX в.
Alontsev M., Куцанкина Е. С., Вестник Православного Свято-Тихоновского гуманитарного университета. Серия 1: Богословие. Философия. Религиоведение 2025 № 121 С. 117–131
This article examines the impact of traditionalist teachings on the rhetoric and ideology of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the last Shah of Iran (1941-1979), during the 1960s and 1970s. Contrary to the belief that the Iranian monarchy was rooted in secular nationalism, the study highlights a crucial transformation in the late Pahlavi era, termed the “Quiet ...
Added: November 10, 2025
«Красная угроза», колониализм и мученичество: дискурс виктимизации в иранских СМИ в отношении событий переворота 1953 г. в Иране
Alontsev M., Титова В. С., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2025 № 4 С. 176–187
This article examines the discourse of victimization and collective trauma in Iranian media during the early 1950s, particularly in relation to the Coup of August 19, 1953. This event is crucial in modern Iranian history, profoundly impacting the relationship between the government and society, as well as shaping contemporary Iran's foreign policy. The coup, supported ...
Added: November 10, 2025
Стратегия развития финансовых рынков до 2030 года
Староверова О. В., Kosov M., Финансовая жизнь 2024 № 4 С. 37–42
The article is devoted to the study of the possibilities of forming a sustainable strategy for the development of financial markets, which will allow developing a ready-made methodology for decision-making in financial market management and increasing the volume of the real sector and improving macroeconomic indicators. The problem of maintaining a positive growth trend is ...
Added: October 22, 2025
ИКТ-безопасность во внешней политике США в отношении Латинской Америки: кейс дискурса администрации Дж. Байдена
Sokolshchik L., Yanikeeva I., Торопчин Г. В., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Международные отношения 2025 Т. 25 № 3 С. 469–484
The issue of information and communication technology (ICT) security is becoming increasingly important in the context of international relations and foreign policy. In the present study, the authors analyze the discourse of the Joseph Biden administration in the field of international ICT security in the Latin American dimension, with the aim of identifying the underlying ...
Added: October 7, 2025
Первый поворот Ирана к АСЕАН в 1997–1999 гг.: контекст и результаты
Khataei D., Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития 2025 Т. 3 № 3(68) С. 322–334
The article examines Iran’s first “pivot to ASEAN” in 1997–1999, when Tehran sought to establish a strategic presence in Southeast Asia. It analyzes the reasons behind this course, including the breakdown of relations with Europe after the Mykonos trial, U.S. sanctions, and the search for new foreign policy directions. The pivot unfolded in two phases: ...
Added: September 14, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit