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What May Be Wrong with the “End” in the End-of-Revolution Thesis?
P. 121–152.
That revolution has ended in, or is about to vanish from, our contemporary world has become a common sense of published opinion. Although there are still some dissenting voices, this chapter focuses exclusively on the argument structure undergirding the end-of-revolution thesis, as it has been elaborated recently, in the context of the global domination of neoliberal capitalism. The purpose of the chapter is to reconstruct the architecture of the argument structure of the end-of-revolution thesis and to probe the validity of each of its six central elements. Without refuting the end-of-revolution thesis as such, the chapter seeks to demonstrate that its substantiations, in their present form, are either banal and unspecific or theoretically underdeveloped and inconsequential, or both.
Zhukova O., Философский журнал (Российская Федерация) 2026 Т. 19 № 2 С. 5–22
The article examines one of the key problems of the philosophy of Russian history related to the assessment of the political and moral consequences of the Decembrist revolt of 1825. It is shown that the December conspiracy of the aristocracy destroyed the patriotic consensus between the government and society that had developed after the victory ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Gužvica S., Tokovi Istorije 2026 No. 1 P. 15–52
The paper analyzes the intellectual climate and political circumstances that shaped and heavily influenced the literary imagination and the semantic horizon of two novels—The Optimists: the Novel of a Revolution by Ervin Sinkó and Like a Tear in the Ocean: A Trilogy by Manès Sperber. Besides introductory remarks and conclusion, the paper’s structure is threefold, ...
Added: May 7, 2026
Korotayev A., Egor Fain, Julia Zinkina et al., Critical Sociology 2025 P. 1–20
The theory of revolutions has faced major challenges, one of the most important being how to conceptualize revolutions. The theory currently needs novel foci. One potential novel concept is “coupvolution,” which can be defined as a type of revolutionary events with elements of both a coup and a revolution. We highlight the importance of a ...
Added: November 6, 2025
Ижогин А. А., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 3 С. 177–213
Existing data on elite splits suggest their significance for revolutionary success, as well as the significance of the defection of primarily security elites to the side of the revolutionary opposition for the success of a revolutionary uprising. The authors, relying on modern political science concepts and qualitative comparative analysis (QCA), tested the corresponding hypotheses. The ...
Added: November 1, 2025
Parsamov V., Вопросы философии 2025 № 9 С. 92–102
The name of Joseph de Maistre appears in Berdyaev’s writings throughout his entire oeuvre. The peak of his interest in this thinker falls on the revolution and the first years of emigration. At the center of the article is Berdyaev’s review of the works of French scholars Georges Goyau and Émile Dermengem, contemporary to him, in ...
Added: September 22, 2025
К прогнозированию вероятности невооруженной революционной дестабилизации методами машинного обучения
Медведев И. А., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 2 С. 108–141
The authors provide a broad overview of the main applications for machine learning methods in political sociology. They describe history of the transition from simple regression models to complex machine learning models. The reasons for and benefits of this transition are discussed. The authors identify the main uses of machine learning models in related disciplines and ...
Added: August 1, 2025
Zhukova O., Философский журнал 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 94–108
This article is devoted to identifying the features of F.A. Stepun’s creative evolution, which resulted in the philosophical concept of Christian culture and history. At the center of consideration of philosopher is the phenomenon of culture as a condition and path of ascent to the Absolute. Stepun thinks of culture as the universal beginning of ...
Added: May 25, 2025
Мартынов А. В., В кн.: Литературное наследие Михаила Пришвина: контекст отечественной и мировой культуры.: М.: ИМЛИ РАН, 2024. С. 704–724.
The influence of Western European literature and philosophy on Mikhail Prishvin’s worldview manifests itself at several levels: the culture of everyday life and reaction to external events, historical and philosophical reflection and dialogue of domestic and foreign cultures, cultural transfer and self-identification of the writer with it. The impact was especially evident during the period ...
Added: November 27, 2024
Korotayev A., Ustyuzhanin V., Leonid Grinin et al., Critical Sociology 2025 Vol. 51 No. 3 P. 429–450
The article is the first part of our systematic review of substantive findings of fifth-generation revolution studies, building on the examination of the emergence and characteristics of this generation contained in the first article in the series. Our systematic review is divided into two parts. This first part specifically considers the following areas of research ...
Added: November 26, 2024
Andrey Korotayev, Leonid Grinin, Vadim Ustyuzhanin et al., Critical Sociology 2025 Vol. 51 No. 2 P. 257–282
There are grounds for claiming that a new (‘fifth’) generation of revolution studies has emerged in the 21st century. It can be noted that the characteristics of this generation are as follows: a tendency toward a macro-level outlook, encompassing both historical and geographical dimensions, coupled with a propensity toward a systemic approach; study of distinct ...
Added: November 26, 2024
Zhdanov A., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2024 Т. 36 № 2 С. 113–141
There are some theoretical grounds to expect that general inflation can have an ambiguous effect on the likelihood ofthe outbreak ofrevolutionary actions: while high inflation has a positive effect on revolutionary activity, moderate inflation reduces the likelihood of revolution, whereas negative inflation values again increase revolutionary activity. At the same time, many researcherssuggest to treatseparately ...
Added: August 29, 2024
Kapustin B., Полис. Политические исследования 2024 № 3 С. 50–73
A question about the relationship between revolution and progress is the centerpiece of this essay. A specific solution to this question is expressed by a well-known metaphor invented by Marx – “revolutions are the locomotives of history”. The rendering of this metaphor in the language of theory uncovers certain ambiguities and tensions inherent in it, ...
Added: August 12, 2024
Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov, Leonid Grinin et al., Cross-Cultural Research 2025 Vol. 59 No. 2 P. 180–215
In this article, we analyze an inverted U-shaped relationship between the type of regime (on the autocracy-democracy scale) and the risks of revolutionary destabilization. Anocracies tend to be more vulnerable to revolutionary destabilization than full autocracies or full (consolidated) democracies. We also point to a strong positive association between the weakening of autocracies and the ...
Added: April 8, 2024
Kapustin B., , in: Future(s) of the Revolution and the Reformation.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2019.
That revolution has ended in, or is about to vanish from, our contemporary world has become a common sense of published opinion. Although there are still some dissenting voices, this chapter focuses exclusively on the argument structure undergirding the end-of-revolution thesis, as it has been elaborated recently, in the context of the global domination of ...
Added: January 16, 2024
Korotayev A., Issaev L., Anna Ilyina et al., , in: Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region.: Springer, 2024. P. 169–194.
Added: November 15, 2023
Андрей И. Жданов, Андрей В. Коротаев, Социология власти 2022 Т. 34 № 3-4 С. 102–127
This article is devoted to the study of the influence of elections on the risks of revolutionary destabilization. The authors study different approaches to estimating the probability of the occurrence of revolutionary events in the election year. The types of revolutionary actions are distinguished within the scope of the degree of use of political violence ...
Added: November 13, 2023
Ustyuzhanin V., Костин М. С., Grinin L. E. et al., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2023 Т. 26 № 3 С. 53–99
Researchers of the factors of revolutionary destabilization have now quite thoroughly studied the influence on the likelihood of the outbreak of revolutions of such variables as the type of political regime, economic growth rates, or the level of GDP per capita. However, the factor of corruption remains little studied, despite anti-corruption slogans that often bring ...
Added: September 25, 2023
Grinin L. E., Гринин А. Л., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.: Учитель, 2022. Гл. 13 С. 544–571.
Consisting of two linked articles, this paper discusses the question, which is of great current importance, how to interpret the rapidly accelerating changes in the world. We conclude that many of these changes, related to the green agenda and the growing volume of commitments to "rescue" the climate, as well as to COVID-19, the ongoing ...
Added: August 17, 2023
Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.: Учитель, 2022. Гл. 13 С. 211–244.
Added: August 17, 2023