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ВЗГЛЯД В БУДУЩЕЕ: ПРОГНОЗЫ НА XXI СТОЛЕТИЕ
Век глобализации. 2019. № 3. С. 3–24.
In the present article some forecasts of technological, political, as well as social and economic development of the world are presented in a systematic manner. The author presents short-term (10–15 years), medium-term (20–50 years) and long-term (50–100 years) forecasts which are based on the theories of long cycles and related technological modes, as well as on the theories of production principles and production revolutions.
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Карцева М. А., Peresetsky A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2026. № WP2/2026/01.
This study examines the association between health status among elderly individuals living alone and pet ownership (cats, dogs). We employ data from the “Time Use Survey” conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in 2019, which contains information on more than 10,000 elderly individuals living alone aged 60 or older in Russia, including data ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Lukyanov F., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 1 P. 5–6
A quarter-century ago, in January 2001, George W. Bush took the oath of office as President of the United States. “If our country does not lead the cause of freedom, it will not be led,” he proclaimed at his inauguration. “Civility is not a tactic or a sentiment. It is the determined choice of trust ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Russia in Global Affairs 2025 Vol. 23 No. 4 P. 5–12
There are some things that signify entire historical processes and eras.
The Berlin Wall is perhaps the most glaring example. What could better symbolize the division of Europe and the world into two ideologically, militarily, and politically irreconcilable blocs? A massive, technologically advanced fortification, cutting through the soul of a leading city of the Old World. ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Russia in Global Affairs 2025 Vol. 23 No. 3 P. 5–8
In times of upheaval, it is always tempting to compare the present with the past: Will history repeat itself? The war of Israel and the U.S. against Iran brings to mind the most diverse historical episodes—from the catastrophic (the world wars) to the equally painful but localized (e.g., the destruction of Iraq’s statehood at the ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 1 С. 5–6
Bush assumed the reins arguably at the height of America's international power. In the decade following the Cold War, a victory declared by the president-elect's father, no one had emerged in the world willing to challenge the dominance of the United States. But it was during the Bush administration that a "radical turning point" occurred. ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Россия в глобальной политике 2025 Т. 23 № 5(135) С. 5–8
The meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska in August 2025 was somewhat reminiscent of the first summits (the word then entered our lexicon) between Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev in Geneva and Reykjavik. The two sides began with a profound degree of mutual misunderstanding, yet felt compelled to continue the conversation. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Россия в глобальной политике 2025 Т. 23 № 4 С. 5–8
During periods of upheaval, there's always the temptation to compare the present with times past. How things were then, and will they be the same now? The Israeli-US war against Iran evokes a wide range of historical episodes – from catastrophic ones (the outbreak of world wars) to equally painful but local ones (for example, ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Lukyanov F., Россия в глобальной политике 2025 Т. 23 № 3(133) С. 5–8
History loves rhymes. Or rather, it's we who love to rhyme, drawing historical parallels by the ear. The eightieth anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War and World War II, which led to the creation of the UN and the post-war world order, is marked by a surge in military, political, and diplomatic activity.
The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Korolev A. S., Galimullin E. Z., Kramarenko A. et al., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 3 С. 17–28
This article presents a comparative analysis and conceptual differentiation of the terms “World Majority” and
“Global South”, both of which have gained prominence amid the ongoing transformation of the international order.
Special attention is given to their genesis, ideological foundations, and political-identificational characteristics. To this
end, the authors develop a framework of three analytical dimensions encompassing demographic, institutional-legal ...
Added: February 19, 2026
Entina E., Ansera G., Berolotti C. et al., Mediabooks, 2025.
The scope of geopolitics. Grain and water. Ancient, current, and future geopolitical challenges present a choral work that, in an interdisciplinary way, addresses the relationship between water resources, food security, and modern geopolitical dynamics, highlighting how water and grain constitute the real strategic infrastructure of global power today. Edited by Giuseppe Anzera and Tiberio Graziani, ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Dmitriev T., Russian Sociological Review 2025 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 227–241
The article offers a critical examination of the latest work by one of Germany's foremost political theorists and historians of political thought, Herfried Münkler, World in Turmoil: the Order of Powers in the 21st Century (2024). The review pays particular attention to the conceptual apparatus and theoretical framework developed by Münkler, who draws on two centuries ...
Added: February 1, 2026
Dorkhanov I., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This study investigates the relationship between individual religiosity and attitudes towards immigrants of different religious backgrounds in Europe. Using data from the 7th wave of the European Social Survey (2014-2015), we examine the influence of individual denomination and subjective religiosity level on hostility towards Muslim immigrants and the importance of immigrants’ Christian background. Our analysis, ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Nastina E., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
We argue that a classification-based approach to measuring cultural differences across countries or subnational regions is a promising complement, and sometimes an alternative, to the widely used dimensional method in cross-cultural research. The latter summarises cultural variation using continuous dimensions, for example, Hofstede’s famous individualism-collectivism dimension. However, this approach relies on strong parametric assumptions, which are ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Korsunava V., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
Non-probability web surveys offer several advantages over face-to-face (F2F) interviews—they are cheaper, faster, more accessible, and reduce interviewer effects and desirability bias. As such, they are increasingly popular in both academic and commercial research. However, they often yield demographically biased samples, raising concerns about the accuracy of the resulting public opinion estimates. Most studies on ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Gaman-Golutvina O. V., Российский Совет по международным делам 2025 № 17.06.2025
What is happening in world politics receives various interpretations in Russian and foreign academic discourse. Researchers are wondering what the outcome of this movement will be. Is the accumulation of new quality in the international system transformed into its radical renewal, or is it able to absorb changing realities, adapting to them and adapting the ...
Added: December 11, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025
В.В. Чистяков, / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP7 "Математические методы анализа решений в экономике, бизнесе и политике". 2022. № 9.
Для понимания какого-либо качества, как правило, выбирается, некоторая подходящая для его оценки шкала (скажем, от 1 до 5), и, согласно этой шкале, качеству присваиваются одна или несколько оценок. Эти оценки затем преобразуются в одну, “усредненную”, оценку; например, выбирается среднее арифметическое. Так, несданная сессия с тремя баллами 5, 2 и 5 “характеризуется’’ средней оценкой хорошо: (5+2+5)/3 = ...
Added: November 4, 2025
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Ходунов А. С., Религиоведение 2025 Т. 31 № 3 С. 105–113
The article studies modern religious fundamentalism and the characteristics of its manifestations
in major religions. It is called “The Many Faces of Fundamentalism”, because despite the diversity of religious
beliefs and views, fundamentalism in different religions has many similarities. The main thing is that
fundamentalists put religious principles and norms at the forefront of personal and public life. ...
Added: October 17, 2025
Fabrykant M., / Series SocArXiv "SocArXiv". 2025.
This article explores to what extent the cross-national differences in pride reflect objective differences in countries’ performance in these spheres. The empirical study conducted to answer this question is based on the survey data from the International Social Survey Program – National Identity covering 32 countries and quantitative indicators of countries’ achievements in technology from ...
Added: October 7, 2025
Малахов В. С., Симон М. Е., Летняков Д. Э. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2020.
The notion of “political accommodation” applied to the theory and practice of managing cultural diversity could enrich the Russian academic dictionary. Liberal democratic states invented specific mechanisms for political accommodation of cultural differences. Thanks to these mechanisms, the part of the population of a democratic state that is not ready to dissolve into the ethnocultural ...
Added: September 26, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2025. No. 1.
This article aims to shed light on the economic consequences of the nonviolent campaigns (NVCs) across the world. The current era is shaped with various political transformations that are often driven by political movements that engage in NVCs. Some of them are successful and result in regime change while others fail and are unable to ...
Added: September 12, 2025