?
The modest demographic results of pronatalist policy against the background of the long-term evolution of fertility in Russia
Демографическое обозрение. 2016. P. 4–46.
Editor of translation: Zakharov S. V.
The idea of an extraordinary growth in fertility in Russia is widespread in the Russian expert community and media space. This increase is believed to be indicative of the positive results of the special financial measures taken by the government after 2006 to stimulate fertility. The author’s viewpoint is more reserved. There are some positive developments, but their significance is quite insufficient to view the future of Russian fertility through rose-colored glasses. With this paper, we continue our previous long-term research in the field of in-depth demographic analysis of Russian fertility, incorporating the latest official statistical data for 2014. The paper provides an overview of the trends of key fertility indicators over a few decades, as well as developing some approaches to cohort fertility analysis in order to obtain more reliable projections. The article consists of two parts. In the first part, we examine period fertility indicators (for calendar years), taking into account the latest changes in the structural characteristics of the Russian model of fertility that have occurred over the past several decades. In the second part of the article, we analyse cohort fertility indicators of generations of women whose actual and expected reproductive activity has been occurring in the second half of the twentieth and the first decades of the twenty-first centuries.
Titkov A. S., Фольклор и антропология города 2019 № 1-2 С. 206–229
New Victory Day’s celebration practices, mostly St. George’s ribbons and The Immortal
Regiment marches, are explained by dynamics of macrosociological variances.
Main structural elements of Victory Day celebrations during Soviet period were:
(1) distinctive role of veterans as the “carrier group” for festive scenario and values;
(2) combination of public rituals and family memory, patriotic solidarity and
commemoration of tragedy.
Generational ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Titkov A. S., Социология власти 2019 Т. 31 № 4 С. 53–94
This article reconstructs the theoretical logic underlying the "Soviet Man" research project by Yuri Levada's group. Based on the project's publications, it reconstructs an "early" model, which includes a set of attitudes toward the "antinomies" of the Soviet system, and a later model, which emphasizes a set of adaptive characteristics ("adapted," "two-faced," etc.). It elucidates the empirical ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Titkov A. S., Социологическое обозрение 2021 Т. 20 № 1 С. 262–289
The article continues the discussion of Grigory Yudin’s book 'Public Opinion'. The review considers Yudin’s arguments on the “plebiscitarian bias” in opinion-poll technology, on the linkages between opinion-polls, Rousseauist tradition and the “plebiscitarian model”, and on Gallup’s, Schumpeter’s, and Weber’s contributions to plebiscitarism. In the context of the proposed conceptual model, controversial issues in the interpretation of Weber’s and ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Titkov A. S., Логос 2024 Т. 34 № 4 С. 184–202
Sociological texts on zombies are mostly interested in human problems (capitalism, pop culture, etc), not in zombies as such. Zombies as a specific form of (non) life remain a blindspot for sociologists. Scientists of other disciplines, like epidemiology and neurosciences, have already declared their ways for studying zombies. Our task is to outline the concepts ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Cherviakova A. A., Gudkova T., Макаренцева А. et al., Comparative Sociology 2026 Vol. 25 P. 446–474
This study examines the relationship between educational and reproductive choices and aims to establish whether they compete in the lives of young Russian women born in the 1990s. The authors use longitudinal data of the ‘Trajectories in Education and Carriers’ survey (2011–2021; panel sample N = 992) and successively apply sequence analysis, cluster analysis, and ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Klimov I., Мисютина В. В., ДПК Пресс, 2026.
This publication is the first part of a large‑scale study entitled “Russian Philanthropist — 2026,” which is being carried out by the Center for Philanthropy Development of the Vladimir Potanin Charitable Foundation in collaboration with the SKOLKOVO School of Management. The publication presents an analytical framework for studying large‑scale private philanthropy in Russia in the ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Осипов Д.В., Математический сборник 2026 Т. 217 № 9 С. 130–146
Изучаются законы взаимности, связанные с комплексными линейными расслоениями на расслоениях на ориентируемые окружности. В частности, доказывается следующий закон взаимности. Пусть B – комплексное многообразие и πi:Mi→B – расслоение на ориентируемые окружности, где индекс i пробегает конечное множество. Пусть Li и Ni – комплексные линейные расслоения на каждом многообразии Mi. Закон взаимности утверждает, что сумма всех элементов (πi)∗(c1(Li)∪c1(Ni)), где (πi)∗ – ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Basalaev A., Rarovskii A., Journal of Singularities 2026 Vol. 30 P. 61–80
Saito theory associates to an isolated singularity rich structure that plays an important role in mirror symmetry. In this note we construct Saito theory for A and D type Landau-Ginzburg orbifolds. Namely, for the pairs (f,G), where f defines an isolated singularity of A and D type and G is a group of symmetries of ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Proskuryakova L. N., Asia-Pacific Tech Monitor 2026 Vol. 43 No. 2 P. 13–24
Innovative financing tools and models have proved their efficiency in supporting the adoption and scale-up of emerging technologies. They have been instrumental in different regions, including the Asia-Pacific region, which stands at the forefront of technological innovation. Studies point to several persistent emerging technological constraints that include high upfront capital costs, perceived risks, and limited ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Ходунов А. С., Хайруллин Т. Р., Korotayev A., Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право 2026 Т. 19 № 1 С. 159–178
The article is devoted to the civil war in Sudan, which has been going on for more than two years and has caused enormous casualties and destruction throughout the country. The vast majority of schools and hospitals have been destroyed or put out of operation, which has had an extremely negative impact on the development ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Rybakov M., Shkatov D., Journal of Logic and Computation 2026 Vol. 36 No. 6 Article exag026
We prove Pi-1-1-hardness, and thus lack of recursive axiomatizability, of constant-domain modal predicate logics defined by a class of Dedekind complete linear Kripke frames containing a frame with an infinitely increasing chain of worlds. The result holds even for the language with one unary predicate letter, one propositional letter, and two individual variables. ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Abashkin V., Abdrakhmanova G., Artemov S. V. et al., ИСИЭЗ ВШЭ, 2026.
Одиннадцатый выпуск аналитического доклада, подготовленный Институтом статистических исследований и экономики знаний Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики» в рамках деятельности Российской кластерной обсерватории, посвящен анализу инновационного развития российских регионов на основе комплекса рейтинговых оценок. Исследование базируется на системе показателей, характеризующих социально-экономические условия инновационной деятельности, научно-технический потенциал, уровни инновационной и экспортной активности, качество региональной инновационной
политики. Используемые ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Селянин Ф. И., Moscow Mathematical Journal 2026 Vol. 26 No. 2 P. 167–187
Minkowski mixed volume of n subpolytopes D1,…,Dn of a polytope P⊂Rn clearly does not exceed the normalized volume n!Vol(P). Equality holds if and only if the subpolytopes are interlaced, i.e., each proper face F⊊P intersects at least dim(F)+1 of the polytopes Di. Efficiently computing mixed volumes for more general collections of subpolytopes is crucial for estimating the complexity of numerically solving polynomial systems.
Motivated by relaxing the bound dim(F)+1 to dim(F), we ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Asia and Africa today 2026 Vol. 6 P. 80–86
This theoretical article examines the persistent problem of the “leaky pipeline” for women in
Nigerian higher education, where increased representation in male-dominated STEM fields is undermined
by enduring stereotypes and socio-cultural barriers. By employing a critical theoretical analysis and
interpretive synthesis, it aims to demonstrate how the concept of reflexive modernization explains why
stereotype threats ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Kazaryan M., Dunin-Barkowski P., Bychkov B. et al., International Mathematics Research Notices 2026 Vol. 14 Article rnag146
We prove a recent conjecture of the fourth named author with P. Norbury that states a system of universal polynomial relations among the kappa classes on the moduli spaces of algebraic curves. The proof involves localization and materialization analysis of the spin Gromov–Witten theory of the projective line and is dictated by Z 2 -equivariant ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series "SocArXiv". 2026.
“Leaderlessness” is widely held to be a defining feature of contemporary mass mobilization, yet the claim rests on a handful of recent cases. We offer the first systematic cross-national analysis of this phenomenon from 1791 to 2019. We show that the absence of leadership is real but older and more modest than claimed: the share ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Zakharov S. V., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 429–447
This article examines changes in the quantum and structural characteristics of period and cohort fertility in Russia in the context of pro-natalist demographic policy pursued since 2006. The study assesses the significance of recent decades’ shifts for total fertility, the age profile of mothers, and their distribution by number of children born. The analysis draws ...
Added: July 7, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026