Контуры нового мирового порядка

Философия и общество. 2015. № 3-4. С. 7–33.

Grinin L. E.

The global order as a system of certain ideas and regularities predominant in the world politics had started to emerge in Europe in the sixteenth century and was finally established in the nineteenth century. However, an established world order usually endures for three-four decades and then it changes under the influence of the changing circumstances and new balance of power. At present we have just entered the epoch of the changing world order and the formation of its new system. The present article analyzes the started weakening of the world order based on the American hegemony as well as the characteristic features and methods employed by the USA to support their position in the world. The author shows why the absolute American hegemony could hardly remain for a long time and also the way in which globalization has become more profitable for the developing and not for the developed countries; and also how the idea has been gradually formed of an inevitable weakening of the US positions. The article defines the current situation in the international relations as a started reconfiguration of the World System which marks the beginning of the epoch of turbulent events and formation of new coalitions. This will be a kind of a transition period to a more stable new world order which will be established with difficulties. The author gives some ideas about the possible directions and ways this new order will be established, what will be the principles of that order and possible mechanisms of its maintaining.

Keywords: глобализация, суверенитет, дипломатия, globalization, санкции, турбулентность, sovereignty, Мир-Система, new coalitions, diplomacy, World System, мировой порядок, sanctions, ослабление США, weakening of the USA, hegemony, гегемония, сверхдержава, world order, superpower, dollar diplomacy, новые коалиции, дипломатия доллара, turbulence