Влияние особенностей учета некоторых групп населения на показатели половозрастной структуры населения муниципальных образований России

Вопросы статистики. 2022. № 1. С. 28–43.

Mkrtchyan N. V.

The article evaluates the infuence of special populations (convicts sentenced to imprisonment, military and other numerical groups, statistical records of which are specifc) on indicators of sex and age structure of the population of urban and municipal districts of Russia.

The introductory part of the article considers the features of domestic demographic statistics in relation to the analyzed groups of the population, which emphasizes the relevance of the problem under consideration. Then, it describes the methodological foundations of the author's research. It is indicated that the analysis was carried out based on data from the 2010 All-Russia Population Census and information from territorial bodies of state statistics for 2019–2020 on the age and sex composition of the population, as well as data from open sources on the Internet.

In the main body of the article, the author argues that the peculiarities of accounting for the population groups under consideration most strongly distort the data on the age and sex structure of the population in the youngest age groups, and their infuence to the greatest extent afects the reliability of data on the population of municipalities with a small number of residents. In these municipalities, the share of special populations in the total population is the most signifcant and may exceed 10% of its total population (but even with a smaller share of the considered population group in the total population, the level of distortion of data by gender and age groups can be signifcant).

Thus, the calculations show the scale of distortions (in the intercensal period) in the age structure of the population of municipalities in the young and middle age due to the specifcs of accounting for the migration of these population groups.

Keywords: перепись населения, муниципальные районы, статистический учет, демографическая статистика, population census, региональная статистика, municipal districts, regional statistics, demographic statistics, statistical accounting, special populations, indicators of the age and sex structure of the population, спецконтингенты, показатели половозрастной структуры населения

Publication based on the results of: Spatial measurement of demographic dynamics in Russia: long-term and short-term changes in the diversity of human reproduction regimes, migration and demographic structures of the population at the regional level (2022)