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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
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HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Модусы темпоральности в нарративах о доступности городской среды

Социологические исследования. 2021. Т. 2021. № 2. С. 92–102.
Ярская-Смирнова В. Н., Iarskaia-Smirnova E. R.

Expanding the accessibility of space and the environment is one of the central tasks of
social policy and public attention, strengthening equality and justice. At first glance, such a problem is
primarily revealed in spatial metaphors, such as barriers, restrictions, access, borders. However, spatial
logic only partially allows us to explain the phenomena of oppression and emancipation, inclusion
and exclusion. The social model allows us to map and identify the disabling contours of the spatial
environment, but underestimates the patterns of oppression produced by temporal factors. The
article reveals the cognitive possibilities of the temporal turn in studies of the accessibility of the urban
environment for people with disabilities. The analysis is based on qualitative interviews in four Russian
cities with activists from among people with disabilities. The authors consider the opinions of informants
about how relations with social and physical environment evolve over the years, and what changes occur
in the moments of everyday interaction. We are talking about such macrostructural characteristics of
temporality as age, season, obsolescence and updating of technologies, changes of political priorities.
Other modes of temporality are the changes in social attitudes, the intensity of collective actions, the
transformation of the perception of accessible environment. The prospect of everyday temporality is
revealed at the micro level of social interactions, in which the rhythms of urban life are violated and
reconfigured, subjectivity is revealed, and acts of exclusion and inclusion occur. People with disabilities,
our contemporaries and interlocutors, in their narratives, revealed the connection between moments
of time and social phenomena and processes, reflected the changes occurring in themselves and the
environment in the processes of their interactions.

Research target: Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Language: Russian
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: мобильностьвремягородтемпоральностьповседневностьtimeдоступностьинвалидностьtemporalitycitymobilityaccessактивисты disabilitysocial activistseveryday lifeкачественное интервьюwalk-along interviewинтервью на прогулке
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