• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Limits of the National Surveys Predictive Capabilities, or, The Future of America
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2028
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
September 25, 2026
AI Users Earn Up to 41.8% More Than Non-Users
Research conducted by economists at HSE University has revealed a significant correlation between the regular use of GenAI in the workplace and higher pay among Russian employees. The study found that individuals who frequently use GenAI in their professional activities earn notably more than those who reject these new tools or resort to them occasionally. The salary premium for highly qualified specialists reaches 41.8%. The article was published in the Voprosy Ekonomiki journal.
September 24, 2026
‘Feedback and Constructive Criticism Are Essential in Our Profession
Vincent Fardeau, Associate Professor at HSE ICEF, has reached a major career milestone: he recently published his paper ‘Asymmetric Thin Markets’ in the Journal of Financial Economics, successfully passed his major academic review, and received tenure. In this interview, Vincent discusses the story behind the paper, explains the concept of asymmetric thin markets, and shares his advice for young scholars aiming to publish in top-tier journals.
September 22, 2026
Personal Interest in Doctoral Thesis Topic Most Important for Confidence in Successful Defence
A researcher at HSE University analysed data on 1,539 doctoral students from 161 Russian universities to identify which features of a thesis topic are associated with academic success and engagement. The most important factor was found to be personal interest in the research topic, which was associated with almost all key aspects of doctoral programme experience—from engaging with the academic supervisor to research activity and confidence about successfully defending the thesis. The findings have been published in Higher Education.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Limits of the National Surveys Predictive Capabilities, or, The Future of America

Russian Sociological Review. 2014. Vol. 13. No. 4. P. 158–169.
Trotsuk I.
Priority areas: sociology
Language: English
Keywords: Americagenerationspublic opinion polls
Similar publications
Vanishing Vanguard: Decline of Leadership in Revolutionary Mass Mobilization since the 19th Century
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series "SocArXiv". 2026.
“Leaderlessness” is widely held to be a defining feature of contemporary mass mobilization, yet the claim rests on a handful of recent cases. We offer the first systematic cross-national analysis of this phenomenon from 1791 to 2019. We show that the absence of leadership is real but older and more modest than claimed: the share ...
Added: August 29, 2026
How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Почему растущие доходы не делают людей счастливее: эмоциональное объяснение парадокса Истерлина (Why Growing Incomes Do Not Make People Happier: an Emotional Explanation of the Easterlin Paradox)
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Determinants of Сonsent to Personal Data Surveillance: Experimental Evidence from Russia
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types  of  personal  data and contributes  to  rapidly  growing  research  on  citizens  perceptions  of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Домашние питомцы и здоровье пожилых. Количественный анализ
Карцева М. А., Peresetsky A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2026. № WP2/2026/01.
This study examines the association between health status among elderly individuals living alone and pet ownership (cats, dogs). We employ data from the “Time Use Survey” conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in 2019, which contains information on more than 10,000 elderly individuals living alone aged 60 or older in Russia, including data ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Потребление алкогольной продукции разными поколениями населения Российской Федерации
Stadnik N., Антонов Н. С., Сахарова Г. М. et al., Профилактическая медицина 2025 Т. 28 № 6 С. 11–20
Studies on alcohol use generally analyze the age-related behavior associated with this factor but do not consider the attitude of people of different ages to the socio-economic situation, the absence or implementation of anti-alcohol policies, or the attitude change over time in people of different generations. Objective. To analyze the features and changes over time of ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Загадка внутренней мотивации
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Microfoundations of the Cultural Modernization Theory
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Understanding the transition to management process of generation Z: Insights from a phenomenological study
Khozin E. R., Plakhotnik M. S., The International Journal of Training and Development 2026 Vol. 30 No. 3 P. 280–294
First-time managers have received limited attention in academic research, with only a few studies appearing over the years in human resource development and related fields. Today, generation Z has entered the workforce, and many of them are being promoted to management. Therefore, our study explored the transition to the management process for generation Z employees. ...
Added: January 14, 2026
Denomination, Religiosity and Anti-Immigrant Attitudes in Europe:Comparative Evidence from the European Social Survey
Dorkhanov I., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This study investigates the relationship between individual religiosity and attitudes towards immigrants of different religious backgrounds in Europe. Using data from the 7th wave of the European Social Survey (2014-2015), we examine the influence of individual denomination and subjective religiosity level on hostility towards Muslim immigrants and the importance of immigrants’ Christian background. Our analysis, ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Classification Approach to Mapping Cultural Differences: An Illustration Using Survey Data from 60 Russian Regions
Nastina E., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
We argue that a classification-based approach to measuring cultural differences across countries or subnational regions is a promising complement, and sometimes an alternative, to the widely used dimensional method in cross-cultural research. The latter summarises cultural variation using continuous dimensions, for example, Hofstede’s famous individualism-collectivism dimension. However, this approach relies on strong parametric assumptions, which are ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Cross-Nationally, Non-Probability Web Surveys Demonstrate Poorer DemographicCoverage and Yield More Liberal Estimates of Public Opinion than F2F Surveys
Korsunava V., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
Non-probability web surveys offer several advantages over face-to-face (F2F) interviews—they are cheaper, faster, more accessible, and reduce interviewer effects and desirability bias. As such, they are increasingly popular in both academic and commercial research. However, they often yield demographically biased samples, raising concerns about the accuracy of the resulting public opinion estimates. Most studies on ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Коллективные ценности: упадок или ренессанс? Сравнительный анализ ценностей двух поколений россиян
Guseva P., Kozlova M., Вестник Томского государственного университета 2026 № 524 С. 69–79
The purpose of this paper is to examine intergenerational value transformations occurring within an age cohort of today's adult Russian citizens: the generation born in the 1970s and the generation of the 1990s–early 2000s. The article focuses on three key aspects: 1) which orientations – individualistic or collectivistic – are more clearly expressed in the value ...
Added: December 2, 2025
Extended Family Structures Exert a Causal Influence on Fertility
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025
Возможно ли измерить качество количеством?
В.В. Чистяков, / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP7 "Математические методы анализа решений в экономике, бизнесе и политике". 2022. № 9.
Для понимания какого-либо качества, как правило, выбирается, некоторая подходящая для его оценки шкала (скажем, от 1 до 5), и, согласно этой шкале, качеству присваиваются одна или несколько оценок.  Эти оценки затем преобразуются в одну, “усредненную”, оценку; например, выбирается среднее арифметическое. Так, несданная сессия с тремя баллами 5, 2 и 5 “характеризуется’’ средней оценкой хорошо: (5+2+5)/3 = ...
Added: November 4, 2025
Science and Technology as Grounds for National Pride: Empirical Evidence from 32 Countries
Fabrykant M., / Series SocArXiv "SocArXiv". 2025.
This article explores to what extent the cross-national differences in pride reflect objective differences in countries’ performance in these spheres. The empirical study conducted to answer this question is based on the survey data from the International Social Survey Program – National Identity covering 32 countries and quantitative indicators of countries’ achievements in technology from ...
Added: October 7, 2025
Политическая аккомодация культурных различий в индустриально развитых обществах (Political Accommodation of Cultural Differences in Industrialized Societies)
Малахов В. С., Симон М. Е., Летняков Д. Э. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2020.
The  notion  of  “political  accommodation” applied  to the  theory  and  practice  of managing cultural diversity could enrich the Russian academic dictionary. Liberal democratic states invented specific mechanisms for political accommodation of cultural differences. Thanks to these mechanisms, the part of the population of a democratic state that is not ready to dissolve into the ethnocultural ...
Added: September 26, 2025
Short-Term Shocks, Long-Term Shifts: Nonviolent Political Movements and Economic Activity
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2025. No. 1.
This article aims to shed light on the economic consequences of the nonviolent campaigns (NVCs) across the  world. The current era is shaped with various political transformations that are often driven by political movements  that engage in NVCs. Some of them are successful and result in regime change while others fail and are unable to ...
Added: September 12, 2025
День Победы сквозь эпохи: память и практики коммеморации
Andreeva A., Omelchenko E. L., Социологические исследования 2025 № 5 С. 3–13
The article focuses on the memory of the Great Patriotic War and the victory in it, as well as the practices of commemoration associated with May 9, across the eras of Soviet and Russian history. With the passing of the generation witness of the memory of the Great Patriotic War moves from personal to collective one, and the ...
Added: September 3, 2025
How Customer Loyalty is Maintained in the Esoteric Services Market: A Review
Zharakhovich M., Жукова А. В., / Open Society Foundations. Серия OSF "OSF Preprints". 2025.
This article presents an overview of the theoretical literature and empirical research pertinent to the study of the digitalized market of esoteric services in Russia and abroad. The objective of this review is to identify the specific strategies employed by experts in this market to maintain customer loyalty. The study is pertinent in light of ...
Added: July 16, 2025
Causal Estimands for Policy Evaluation and Beyond
Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This paper reviews various estimands used in modern scientific and applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model framework. I first introduce the most widely utilized average treatment effects, such as ATE, ATT, and ATC. I then describe their popular extensions, including those targeting local and conditional treatment effects; causal interactions and mediation; effects ...
Added: May 6, 2025
Цифровое моделирование тематического поля изучения социального капитала поколений в организациях
Volkova N., Бордунос А. К., Чикер В. А. et al., Социальная психология и общество 2025 Т. 16 № 1 С. 5–27
Objective. Identify key topics presented in contemporary research on the relationship between social capital and generational differences in organizations, utilizing digital processing approaches on a dataset of scientific publications. Background. The emergence of new technologies, labor migration, and the involvement of representatives of different generations in labor activities have highlighted the process of continuous socialization of individuals in ...
Added: May 5, 2025
Cultural characteristics of Digital Ecosystem Product Teams and Operational Efficiency
Ovanesova Y., Moshiashvili M. M., Типсина Н. О., / Series "Working Papers". 2021.
The purpose of this article is to analyze and evaluate the cultural characteristics of the digital ecosystem product teams leaders and operational efficiency. Using binary choice models (the main conclusions were made on the basis of logit regressions), has been found a significant negative relationship between the probability of achieving business goals by a team ...
Added: February 17, 2025
Leading different generational cohorts in the workplace: Focus on situational and inclusive leadership
Huyler D., Gomez L., Rocco T. et al., New Horizons in Adult Education and Human Resource Development 2025 Vol. 37 No. 1 P. 6–19
Five distinct generational cohorts, from the Silent Generation (born 1920s-1940s) to Generation Z (born 1996-2010s), are active in the workforce. These cohorts are defined by shared characteristics shaped by pivotal historical events influencing their worldviews and work behaviors. Each generation presents unique challenges due to differing values, expectations, and workplace norms. Effective organizational leaders must ...
Added: February 16, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit