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Применение межотраслевого баланса для прогнозирования эффектов государственной политики поддержки спроса
Проблемы прогнозирования. 2016. № 1. С. 8–17.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Grigoryev L. M., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 1 С. 126–145
The return to power of Donald Trump, a major businessman unencumbered by academic dogma, was based on slogans resonating with traditional America, economic and political superiority. The previous liberal-progressive dogma of Joe Biden’s day did not withstand a direct confrontation with the energy of Trump and his opponents in a two-party system. The broad coverage ...
Added: March 21, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Shchiptsova A., Obersteiner M., / Series General Economics "arxiv.org". 2025.
The addition of phosphorus, in the form of mineral fertilizer, becomes necessary in most agricultural soils in order to achieve consistent high yield levels of intensive farming and maintain soil fertility. Recent consolidation of phosphate fertilizer industry has transformed fragmented trade into a single integrated global network, where a small group of large-scale companies dominates ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2025 № 4 С. 145–178
Industrial policy has gained momentum over the past 15 years in both developed and developing countries. It is now seen as a tool not only to support economic growth and cope with unemployment but also to accelerate the digitalization of economies and the “green” transition. However, there is no consensus among experts regarding the optimal ...
Added: November 15, 2025
Simachev Y. V., Fedyunina A., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 8 С. 5–25
Рассматриваются современные приоритеты и инструменты промышленной политики (направленной на структурные изменения в экономике) в условиях усиливающейся геополитической нестабильности, технологической конкуренции и растущей значимости структурной трансформации. Предложен оригинальный индекс экономической сложности государственной финансовой поддержки, что позволяет сопоставить направленность поддержки в разных странах. Анализ более 6,5 тыс. уникальных нормативных актов из базы GTA Corporate Subsidy Inventory показывает, ...
Added: August 15, 2025
Chernyavskiy A., Chepel A. A., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 3 С. 29–47
The Russian economy continues to operate under the conditions of sanctions and counter-sanctions imposed since February 2022. The observed sanctions impact is significantly weaker than initially anticipated. This article analyzes the effect of trade sanctions on the Russian economy using input-output tables, which allow for the inclusion of inter-industry linkages in the analysis, combined with ...
Added: August 7, 2025
Skvortsova E., Современная Европа 2025 № 2 С. 175–183
Mario Draghi's September 2024 report on European competitiveness is the basis for the political economy direction that the European Union will follow in the next five years. The article analyses the report through a critical geopolitics lens, employing discourse analysis of practical geopolitics to decipher its embedded meanings within broader EU political debates. The analysis ...
Added: April 21, 2025
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2024 № 4 С. 92–129
The main difference between the modern Chinese economy and the economies of developed countries is not a greater social orientation, but, rather, a more active implementation of industrial policy. Its tools in China are extensive and multidimensional. It includes preferential loans for companies in priority industries, tax breaks, financing from public venture funds, foreign trade ...
Added: December 10, 2024
Gnidchenko A., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2023 Т. 27 № 4 С. 527–549
The paper is devoted to studying the links of Russian economy with EU, USA, China and ASEAN in intermediate trade. The statistical basis is the OECD Trade in Value Added Database that contains a set of inter-country input-output tables for 2018. Such data allow tracking inter-country trade flows for 67 countries and 45 industries by ...
Added: October 28, 2024
Andrei Yakovlev, Freinkman L., Nina Ershova et al., Area Development and Policy 2025 Vol. 10 No. 1 P. 1–19
In developing countries, implementing effective industrial policies faces challenges due to capacity and governance constraints, hindering accumulation of recognized success stories. This impedes our understanding of effective industrial policy tools in countries with accountability deficits. This article explores Russia's Industrial Development Fund (IDF) support programs, initiated since 2014, aimed at promoting import substitution through low-interest ...
Added: August 5, 2024
Fedyunina A., Simachev Y. V., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 8 С. 5–27
The article examines various effects of sanction restrictions on target countries. To achieve this, the results of over 50 academic studies from the past decade regarding the impact of sanctions on different countries are analyzed and structured. This analysis is based on the study of sanction episodes predominantly from the 1980s to 2015. It is ...
Added: July 31, 2024
Shastitko A., Avdasheva S. B., Дозмаров К. В. et al., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 12 С. 141–153
В современных условиях актуализировались вопросы выбора разумного баланса между антитрастом и экономическим регулированием, инструментами антимонопольной и промышленной политики - вертикальной и горизонтальной. Это обусловлено одновременным действием нескольких факторов: цифровизацией, трансформирующей привычные бизнес-модели и представления о приемлемых условиях функционирования рынков; попытками найти решение проблем устойчивого развития (низкоуглеродная экономика); драматическим изменением геополитических условий ведения бизнеса в России. ...
Added: June 30, 2024