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The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
World Futures . 2011. Vol. 67. No. 8. P. 531–563.
This article analyzes some important aspects of socioeconomic and political development of the world in the near future. Thefuturealwaysstemsfromthepresent. Thefirstpartofthearticleisdevotedtothesteadyofsomecrucialeventsofthepresent, whichcouldberegardedasprecursors of forthcoming fundamental changes. In particular, it is shown that the turbulent events of late 2010 and 2011 in the Arab World may well be regarded as a start of the global reconfiguration. The article also offers an analysis of some aspects of the global financial system that, according to the authors, notwithstanding all its negative points, performs certain important positive functions including the 'insurance' of socialguaranties at the global scale.The second part of the article considers some global scenarios of the World System’s new future and describes a few characteristics of the forthcoming “Epoch of New Coalitions”. Thearticleattemptstoanswersuchquestionsasthe following: What are the implications of the economic weakening of the USA as the World System center? Will the future World System have a leader? Will it experience a global governance deficit? Will the world fragmentation increase?
“Arab Spring”, World System’s leader, world reconfiguration, global crisis, sovereignty
Balaban M., Vasilizhenko A., Karachurina L. B. et al., Regional Research of Russia 2026 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 151–169
The population dynamics of settlements are determined by many different factors, including, as
research shows, the availability of educational and healthcare facilities (i.e., basic social infrastructure) close
to home. One can assume a two-way relationship: a decrease in population entails a reduction in the number
of assigned students in schools and healthcare institutions and, as a result, the ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Nebolsin D., Логос 2026 Т. 36 № 1 С. 113–134
The article addresses the problem of theorizing the relationship between sound and visuality on the material of the more specific topics of recorded sound and visual image. The text is organized as a playlist: throughout the eight sound examples, it identifies the concepts of current image theory that are relevant for theoretical problems of sound ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Долгина О. Е., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2025 № 1 С. 44–55
The Izborsky Club positions itself as a "synthesis of Russian statists <...> from socialists and Soviet pa-triots to monarchists and Orthodox conservatives" and aims to unite representatives from diverse statist nationalist movements. The internal heterogeneity of Russian nationalism presents a challenge to the Izborsky Club's goal of developing a "new tradition", which involves constructing a ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Repina E., Соколова Е. Н., Рудаков А. Б., Вестник Томского государственного университета 2026 № 522 С. 119–129
На основе анализа более двух миллионов сообщений в социальных сетях, практики патриотического активизма в социальных сетях, а также данных интервью с представителями «служащих» профессий, выявлены факторы развития деятельностной компоненты патриотической идентичности. Сделаны выводы о ключевых мотивациях, роли личностных факторов и социализации в формировании социального капитала, а также о связи служения со значимыми ценностями – семьей, ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Ignatyev G., Тетради по консерватизму 2025 № 4 С. 72–83
Political polarization is the phenomenon inseparably linked to Donald Trump's political activities since 2015. According to some researchers that polarization was the reason for Trump's victory in the elections. Others argue that polarization has grown because of Trump, and that the US population was much more united before his emergence on the political scene. In ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Loshkareva M. E., Matveeva N., Вестник Томского государственного университета. История 2026 № 100 С. 112–118
This research is an endeavor to apply social network analysis (SNA) to the study of a medieval narrative source. The authors suppose that the use of network analysis may offer new possibilities in the study of the history of regions characterized by some political fragmentation. Authors tried to construct networks of historical interactions from 1193 ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Будапешт всегда против: стратегия Венгрии в рамках китайского направления внешней политики Евросоюза
Shein S., Международная аналитика 2026 Т. 17 № 1 С. 161–174
Amidst the overarching imperative for a common foreign policy within the European Union, the long-term challenge to its implementation regarding the People’s Republic of China is the level of intra-Union unity. Special attention in this context is drawn to the case of Hungary, which not only contests the fundamental parameters of the EU foreign policy but also actively develops multifaceted relations with ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Novikova A., Бережная М. А., Кирия И. В., КноРус, 2026.
The aesthetics of journalism is substantiated as a necessary component in the professional training of specialists in audiovisual media. The factors and trends of historical and current changes in the aesthetics of journalism are presented, and the aesthetic practices of audiovisual journalism are characterized in terms of their social functioning. Criteria for aesthetic evaluation are ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Монгуш В. Р., Novikova A., Креативные индустрии 2026 Т. 2 № 1 С. 23–41
This article analyzes the historical and cultural background, as well as the current situation and development prospects of the creative industries ecosystem in the Republic of Tuva. A comparative analysis of this remote, subsidized region and its neighbors, the Sakha Republic (Yakutia) and Krasnoyarsk Krai, revealed its strengths, vulnerabilities, and strategies of young creative professionals ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Krasnyak O., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Международные отношения 2025 Т. 18 № 4 С. 493–498
Понимание российского внешнеполитического поведения вновь обретает осо-бую значимость не только в рамках конфликта на Украине и взаимоотношений со странами мирового большинства и меньшинства, но и в контексте изменяющегося мироустройства. Прежняя глобалистская модель стремительно сходит с авансце-ны международных отношений, возвращая, по сути, мир к структурным базовым настройкам соперничества между несколькими крупными державами. Россия яв-ляется одной из ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Orekhov A., Zakharov A., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 2 С. 3–23
This article investigates the health-related lifestyles of Russian youth. Utilizing longitudinal data from the «Trajectories in Education and Profession» study (N = 3398, 2022), a latent class analysis was conducted, identifying three distinct classes of young people (mean age: 26): those adhering to a healthy lifestyle, those prone to unhealthy habits, and those passive about ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Шмитт К., М.: Праксис, 2026.
Классическая работа известного немецкого правоведа и политического теоретика Карла Шмитта, посвященная рассмотрению партизана как «фигуры мирового духа», начиная с его зарождения в ходе борьбы испанского народа против наполеоновских войск в 1808—1813 годах и вплоть до судьбы партизана в ходе «всемирной гражданской войны» ХХ века.
Перевод с немецкого Ю. Ю. Коринца. Новая редакция перевода Т. А. Дмитриева ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Kildyushov O., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Т. 35 № 2 С. 6–21
This article examines a heuristic framework for analyzing the significance of Russian themes in Max Weber’s corpus, in connection with the completion of the complete edition of his works as a comprehensive source base. It highlights the ambivalent position of Russian themes in the his legacy: while Russia was never central to his scholarship, the issue ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Поликарпова Д. А., М.: Новое литературное обозрение, 2025.
Может ли кино быть субъектом, а не объектом особой чувственности? В своей книге Дарина Поликарпова утверждает, что да; более того, идея эта не нова и восходит к опытам Дзиги Вертова, Жана Эпштейна и других ранних практиков и теоретиков кино. Увлекшееся в последние десятилетия антропоцентрическими подходами, киноведение перестало учитывать уникальную природу кинематографа, сводя его к тексту, ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Zakharov A., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 2 С. 3–23
This article investigates the health-related lifestyles of Russian youth. Utilizing longitudinal data from the «Trajectories in Education and Profession» study (N = 3398, 2022), a latent class analysis was conducted, identifying three distinct classes of young people (mean age: 26): those adhering to a healthy lifestyle, those prone to unhealthy habits, and those passive about ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Strizhkova D., / Институт русской литературы (Пушкинский Дом) РАН. Серия B001 "Репозиторий открытых данных по русской литературе и фольклору". 2026.
В базе данных представлена роспись русскоязычных литературных произведений и отрывков, напечатанных в учебниках по словесности, хрестоматиях, книгах для чтения, сборниках стихотворений и рассказов, выходивших во Франции, Германии, Латвии, Эстонии, Болгарии, Сербии в период первой волны русской эмиграции с 1918 по 1939 гг. Датасет представляет интерес для исследователей школьного литературного канона, эмиграции и детского чтения ...
Added: April 22, 2026
Korotayev A., Хайруллин Т. Р., Shelkovnikov A., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2025 № 1 С. 195–207
The article analyzes the Saudi-Emirati alliance formed after the events of the Arab Spring as a reaction to the strengthening of the Turkish-Qatari alliance. The common point of contact in the process of rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE was the fear and suspicion of the transnational organization Muslim Brotherhood supported by Qatar and ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Жигунов А. Ю., / Basic Research Programme. Серия HUM "Humanities". 2026. № 1.
The article attempts to describe the features of the educational potential of Russian animation programmes in aspect of the representation of traditional spiritual and moral values. Based on media and semiotic analysis, the method of cultural and historical interpretation, animated Russian projects created from 2000 to the 2025, which were translated on television channels or streaming ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Малахов В. С., Симон М. Е., Летняков Д. Э. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2020.
The notion of “political accommodation” applied to the theory and practice of managing cultural diversity could enrich the Russian academic dictionary. Liberal democratic states invented specific mechanisms for political accommodation of cultural differences. Thanks to these mechanisms, the part of the population of a democratic state that is not ready to dissolve into the ethnocultural ...
Added: September 26, 2025
Melville A. Y., Каберник В. В., Mironyuk M. et al., / МГИМО МИД России. 2024.
Данный аналитический доклад является одним из результатов исследований в рамках консорциума НИУ ВШЭ и МГИМО. В нем прежде всего раскрыты вопросы концептуализации национальной мощи и сопутствующих категорий и дается обзор прецедентов. Далее рассматриваются вопросы операционализации предлагаемых нами компонентов национальной мощи. В следующих разделах доклада предлагается анализ вопросов методологии, используемой в докладе. На этой основе предложен ...
Added: September 19, 2025
Shishkina A., Journal of Asian and African Studies 2025 P. 00219096251324557–00219096251324557
This article is aimed at analyzing the combinations of factors that triggered the processes of socio-political destabilization of the Arab Spring, and which can be considered in addition to the context of purely economic or political explanations of revolutionary episodes. Qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) is chosen as a tool for analyzing the data, which allows ...
Added: September 4, 2025
Antipkina I., Ivanov A., Guzhelya D., / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2024.
This study presents a methodology for developing a new questionnaire format called explicit continuum scenario scales, in the example of a client focus questionnaire. Elements of the Rasch Guttman scenario scale methodology were used in its development. In three consequent studies, different aspects of the scale functioning were investigated. In Study 1, on the sample ...
Added: February 21, 2025
Vladimir B., Современная Европа 2020 № 6 С. 76–89
The article explores official development assistance flows from European countries to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and highlights certain specifics and the logic of redistribution of resources and roles between the largest European donors throughout the 2010s - since the Arab Spring, which transformed the political landscape of the entire region. This trend ...
Added: January 26, 2025
Aitzhanov S., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP "Linguistics". 2024. No. 116.
This study focuses on examining the role of language as an attribute in the construction of ethnicity within the Korean community in Kazakhstan. The research examines how language functions as an attribute in the categorization and identification processes, and how it interacts with other ethnic attributes such as descent and appearance. Drawing on qualitative methods, ...
Added: December 10, 2024