Глобализация тасует карты (Куда сдвигается глобальный экономико-политический баланс мира).

Век глобализации. 2013. № 2. С. 63–79.

Grinin L. E.

The author predicts geopolitical development of the world in the next decade. One of the main charges which globalization faces is that it widens the gap between developed and developing countries and thus dooms the latter to backwardness. The article shows that the real situation is opposite. The author argues that it is just globalization that makes developing countries develop faster than developed ones; the World System core is weakening, while its periphery is strengthening. He explains why globalization would have inevitably caused rapid upsurge of many developing countries and weakening of developed ones. In the coming decade the tendency to convergence of the core and the periphery’ development levels is going to grow. This convergence is a necessary condition for a new technological revolution

Keywords: развивающиеся страны, developing countries, конвергенция, периферия, центр, развитые страны, convergence, balance of power, баланс сил, мировой порядок, сближение уровней развития, дивергенция, глобальный технологический рывок, ослабление США, смена лидера в мире, developed counties, the core, the periphery, convergence of development levels, divergence, the world order, global technological breakthrough, weakening of the USA, change of the world leader, the world middle class, мировой средний класс