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Stock Market Synchronization: The Role of Geopolitical Risk
Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2022. Vol. 15. No. 5. Article 204.
Given the importance of stock market synchronization for international portfolio diversification, we estimate the degrees of co-movements among US, Chinese and Russian markets. By applying the TVP-VAR approach, we measure total and bivariate synchronization indices utilizing daily data from 1998 to 2021. Our analysis demonstrates that the total connectedness index (TCI) is 26.15% among the three markets. We find that the US market is the highest volatility contributor, whereas the Russian market is the highest receiver. Since stock market synchronization is exposed to geopolitical risk, at the second stage, we apply the Quantile-on-Quantile framework to measure the response of total and bilateral connectedness indices to geopolitical risk (GPR). The findings affirm our proposition that GPR impedes TCI when it has a bullish state and a higher quantile of GPR. The response of bilateral connectedness is negative towards GPR concerning US–China and US–Russian pairs. However, the degree of connectedness between Russian and Chinese stock markets is less responsive to GPR.
Shaposhnikov S., Asia and Africa today 2025
Digital transformation of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in India is critical to enhancing competitiveness and improving economic performance. It also helps address unemployment and regional inequality. However, SMEs face financial constraints, a digital skills shortage, resistance to change, and cybersecurity challenges. The authors analyze the impact of government initiatives such as Digital India, CGTMSE, ...
Added: August 14, 2026
Bessonova E., Мякишева С. М., Новиков С. В., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 8 С. 95–124
This paper examines total factor productivity (TFP) dynamics among Russian enterprises from 2018 to 2024, using translogarithmic production function estimates for 290 industries. To address endogeneity and functional dependence issues, we employ the Ackerberg—Caves—Frazer methodology with a control function approach. Our findings reveal distinct sectoral patterns. In mining, both simple average and value-added-weighted TFP rose ...
Added: August 13, 2026
BRICS Journal of Economics 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 185–209
This study provides an empirical analysis of the relationship between trade and the environment in Singapore. It offers valuable insights into reconciling economic growth and environmental sustainability in this globally significant trade center and contributes significantly to policy formulation for trade-oriented economies. The paper examines empirical trends in trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic ...
Added: August 13, 2026
Gokhberg L., Kutsenko E., Lebedeva S. et al., М.: ИСИЭЗ ВШЭ, 2025.
This publication prepared by the Russian Cluster Observatory of the National Research University Higher School of Economics Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge is a followup of the 2021 publication dedicated to the statistical measurement of the creative economy of Moscow.
It provides the basic economic indicators of Moscow’s creative industries, assessment of the ...
Added: August 13, 2026
Evgeniia K., Cardoni A., Makeeva E. Y. et al., Business Strategy and the Environment 2026 P. 1–17
This study investigates the relevance of sustainable governance (SG) and its impactful elements in the context of the Russian market, a unique case of an isolated economy, using market value as a proxy for concept relevance. Adopting stakeholder and institutional approaches, this study uses panel data from 152 firms listed on the Moscow Exchange from ...
Added: August 12, 2026
Saraev V., Medovnikov D., Розмирович С. Д. et al., М.: Иннопрактика, 2020.
This report presents a brief summary of the results of a study devoted to the analysis of innovation practices in large Russian companies, their comparison with the most successful international experience, and the identification of opportunities to improve the effectiveness of innovation development tools. ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Rozhkova K., Roshchin S., Roshchina Y., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 8 С. 29–54
Стремительное развитие генеративного искусственного интеллекта (генИИ) усилило дискуссии о том, как новые технологии трансформируют рынок труда, особенно позиции и задачи, которые еще недавно мог выполнять только человек. Эксперименты показывают, что генеративный ИИ может обеспечить значительный прирост производительности, особенно менее квалифицированных сотрудников, что может приводить к возникновению индивидуальной зарплатной отдачи на рынке труда. Впервые для России ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Puchkov E., Knyaginina N., М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
The report examines the ecosystem supporting the development of social entrepreneurship in Europe. It considers the historical evolution of the sector, the approaches adopted by the European Union and individual countries to defining and recognising social enterprises, and the differences between European and Russian models. Particular attention is paid to the role of social enterprises ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Междуреченск: Кузбасский государственный технический университет им. Т.Ф. Горбачева, 2026.
В сборнике представлены материалы докладов по направлениям Международной научно-практической конференции «Современные тенденции и инновации в науке и производстве»: 1. Технологии и инновации в горной промышленности; 2. Экономика, управление, финансы; 3. Информационные системы и технологии; 4. Юный исследователь. Целью этой конференции является обмен передовым опытом, повышения квалификации их участников и, вместе с тем, это способ установления и укрепления научного сотрудничества среди ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Fedyunina A., Drapkin I. M., Simachev Y. V., Area Development and Policy 2026
Trade sanctions generate asymmetric shocks in developing economies, reshaping their integration into global value chains (GVCs). Using a gravity framework covering 68 developing countries over the period 2000–2021, this paper examines how sanctions affect forward and backward GVC linkages. We find that sanctions significantly reduce both dimensions of GVC participation: backward linkages suffer deeper and ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Bereznoy A., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 8 С. 16–26
Facing the growing uncertainty of the current global business environment leading multinationals are increasingly turning to strategic foresight (SF) which becomes the integral component of their corporate strategic management systems. The distinctive feature of SF is related to the recognition of multiple futures and the abilities of major market players to influence the occurrence of ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Potanin B., Statistics and Computing 2026 Vol. 36 Article 200
We propose double machine learning (DML) estimators for a partially linear model (PLM) with endogenous treatments and multivariate sample selection. We prove asymptotic normality of the estimators under mild regularity conditions and study finite sample properties on simulated data. The results demonstrate the importance of addressing sample selection in PLMs and the usefulness of the ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Papushina I. O., Shenkman E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 31–43
The external shocks of 2022 have altered the operating environment for Russian
companies and the demand for skilled workers. This study examines how demand has responded for
different categories of professionals in the fashion industry, where the departure of international brands
has simultaneously increased uncertainty and opened up market niches for Russian manufacturers.
The empirical basis of the research ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Dymarskaya O. Y., Chesnokov-Posadsky I. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
Recognizing the transformative potential of social entrepreneurship, the Reputation Management in Education Laboratory (RepLab) at the Higher School of Economics in St. Petersburg and the ACT Lab at the Azman Hashim International Business School (AHIBS) at the University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) established the Satellite Lab for Social Entrepreneurship in 2023. This joint initiative aimed ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Rozhdestvenskaia N., Кулькова В. Ю. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
This workbook is a practical guide for those who are ready to turn their desire to take action into a sustainable social entrepreneurship business model. The social entrepreneurship roadmap is structured around the steps “I’m changing the world” — “I’m developing a comprehensive approach,” guiding you from identifying problems and analyzing stakeholders, through formulating goals ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Пермь: Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет, 2025.
The monograph is dedicated to the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Socio Economic Geography at Perm State National Research University. The collective monograph covers a wide range of issues related to the geographical study of the territorial organization of society, which were laid down in the numerous works of M. D. Sharygin and have ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Lysenok N., Enterprise Development and Microfinance 2026 Vol. 36 No. 4s P. 81–92
This paper decomposes the performance of volatility-informed multi-strategy trading in constituents of the MOEX index, using six systematic strategies on 17 liquid stocks that account for about 80% of Russian equity market capitalization, evaluated walk-forward over 2022–2025. Two results emerge. First, diversification arithmetic: with an average pairwise return correlation of 0.09 and negatively correlated trend ...
Added: August 2, 2026
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Lola I. S., Семенова М. Т., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в оптовой торговле во II квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ на основе ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов руководителей 6,5 тыс. организаций оптовой торговли, проводимых Федеральной службой государственной статистики в 82 субъектах Российской Федерации. Обследования проводятся на ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Stolbov M., Shchepeleva M., Economic Systems 2025 P. 1–14
We investigate the time-varying role of Russia in the international causal network of financial stress. The network is derived using the factor-adjusted network estimation for high-dimensional time series (FNETS), which is applied to text-based financial stress indices for 66 countries. We run this technique for sequentially expanding time windows (ranging from 2000Q1:2013Q4 to 2000Q1:2023Q4). Based ...
Added: February 12, 2026
Fayzulin M., Teplova T., Kurkin A., Прикладная эконометрика 2025 Т. 79 С. 99–121
The paper analyses the dynamic connectedness between trading volumes in the Russian stock market and the global cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) market during periods of external shocks (the COVID‑19 crisis and the Russia‑Ukraine conflict) from 2019. Using the TVP‑VAR model and estimates of system variable connectivity, liquidity spillovers (cash flows) are identified between the considered asset classes. For the first time, we analyse the network connectedness of investor sentiment for the most popular Russian stocks and Bitcoin and estimate the role of sentiment in liquidity spillovers. The results demonstrate that Bitcoin’s daily trading volume predominantly acts as a recipient of shocks from the Russian stock market. Meanwhile, the overall coherence in the system was higher during the COVID‑19 crisis period compared to the Special Military Operation (SMO). The study confirms the existence of a correlation between investor sentiment on the Russian stock and cryptocurrency markets. At the beginning of the analyzed period,in 2019, when interest in crypto assets investing began to grow rapidly, this correlation was strongly pronounced.
There is a connectedness between two sentiment indices: on the stock market and crypto‑assets. The intensity of the correlation prevails in the COVID‑19 inception period, significantly exceeding the level observed in the SMO period. This sentiment metrics behaviour may imply adaptation of the Russian stock market to external shocks, as well as retail investors’ expectations of short‑term SMO in early 2022. ...
Added: February 6, 2026
Esparcia C., Gubareva M., Sokolova T. et al., North American Journal of Economics and Finance 2025 Vol. 75 No. A Article 102282
This study uses a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model to examine the dynamic relationship between rating changes and portfolio returns in the US and Canada across the environmental (E), social (S), governance (G) and total ESG assessment pillars. The analysis includes both return and volatility spillovers and covers the period from March 2009 to ...
Added: October 17, 2024
Cherkasova V. A., Ведута Р. А., Финансы и бизнес 2024 Т. 20 № 2 С. 53–70
In modern conditions, uncertainty, both economic and geopolitical, has a significant influence on the investment decisions made by companies. The geopolitical factor can either stimulate an increase in investments or impede the implementation of investment projects. The aim of the article is to analyze the impact of geopolitical risk on the efficiency of investment decisions ...
Added: September 10, 2024