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Геополитический фактор и эффективность инвестиционных решений российских компаний
Финансы и бизнес. 2024. Т. 20. № 2. С. 53–70.
Cherkasova V. A., Ведута Р. А.
In modern conditions, uncertainty, both economic and geopolitical, has a significant influence on the investment decisions made by companies. The geopolitical factor can either stimulate an increase in investments or impede the implementation of investment projects. The aim of the article is to analyze the impact of geopolitical risk on the efficiency of investment decisions in comparison with economic uncertainty. Efficiency of investment decisions is understood as the reduction of companies' level of suboptimal investment, which is reflected either in over-investment or under-investment in companies. The sample consists of 187 Russian companies listed on the Moscow Stock Exchange during the period from 2012 to 2022.
The research results showed that for over-invested companies, there is a structural time shift reflecting changes in managers' opinions regarding the impact of the geopolitical factor on the implementation of investment projects. As a result, excessive investments by companies before 2017 decreased with the increase of geopolitical uncertainty, and after 2017, the opposite was observed. For under-invested companies throughout the entire research period, the geopolitical factor increased the insufficiency of investments.
State-owned companies, which under-invest, are more susceptible to geopolitical risk, while those over-invested before 2017 are the opposite. Export-oriented companies were more strongly influenced by geopolitics during over-investment from 2017, while firms with under-investment were not affected.
Fedyunina A., Drapkin I. M., Simachev Y. V., Area Development and Policy 2026
Trade sanctions generate asymmetric shocks in developing economies, reshaping their integration into global value chains (GVCs). Using a gravity framework covering 68 developing countries over the period 2000–2021, this paper examines how sanctions affect forward and backward GVC linkages. We find that sanctions significantly reduce both dimensions of GVC participation: backward linkages suffer deeper and ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Bereznoy A., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 8 С. 16–26
Facing the growing uncertainty of the current global business environment leading multinationals are increasingly turning to strategic foresight (SF) which becomes the integral component of their corporate strategic management systems. The distinctive feature of SF is related to the recognition of multiple futures and the abilities of major market players to influence the occurrence of ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Potanin B., Statistics and Computing 2026 Vol. 36 Article 200
We propose double machine learning (DML) estimators for a partially linear model (PLM) with endogenous treatments and multivariate sample selection. We prove asymptotic normality of the estimators under mild regularity conditions and study finite sample properties on simulated data. The results demonstrate the importance of addressing sample selection in PLMs and the usefulness of the ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Papushina I. O., Shenkman E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 31–43
The external shocks of 2022 have altered the operating environment for Russian
companies and the demand for skilled workers. This study examines how demand has responded for
different categories of professionals in the fashion industry, where the departure of international brands
has simultaneously increased uncertainty and opened up market niches for Russian manufacturers.
The empirical basis of the research ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Dymarskaya O. Y., Chesnokov-Posadsky I. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
Recognizing the transformative potential of social entrepreneurship, the Reputation Management in Education Laboratory (RepLab) at the Higher School of Economics in St. Petersburg and the ACT Lab at the Azman Hashim International Business School (AHIBS) at the University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) established the Satellite Lab for Social Entrepreneurship in 2023. This joint initiative aimed ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Rozhdestvenskaia N., Кулькова В. Ю. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
This workbook is a practical guide for those who are ready to turn their desire to take action into a sustainable social entrepreneurship business model. The social entrepreneurship roadmap is structured around the steps “I’m changing the world” — “I’m developing a comprehensive approach,” guiding you from identifying problems and analyzing stakeholders, through formulating goals ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Пермь: Управление издательской деятельности Пермского государственного национального исследовательского университета, 2025.
The monograph is dedicated to the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Socio Economic Geography at Perm State National Research University. The collective monograph covers a wide range of issues related to the geographical study of the territorial organization of society, which were laid down in the numerous works of M. D. Sharygin and have ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Lysenok N., Enterprise Development and Microfinance 2026 Vol. 36 No. 4s P. 81–92
This paper decomposes the performance of volatility-informed multi-strategy trading in constituents of the MOEX index, using six systematic strategies on 17 liquid stocks that account for about 80% of Russian equity market capitalization, evaluated walk-forward over 2022–2025. Two results emerge. First, diversification arithmetic: with an average pairwise return correlation of 0.09 and negatively correlated trend ...
Added: August 2, 2026
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Lola I. S., Семенова М. Т., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в оптовой торговле во II квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ на основе ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов руководителей 6,5 тыс. организаций оптовой торговли, проводимых Федеральной службой государственной статистики в 82 субъектах Российской Федерации. Обследования проводятся на ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Для расчета индекса экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ) использовались результаты обследований деловой активности российских предприятий и организаций, а также потребительских ожиданий, в мониторинговом режиме проводимых Росстатом. В обследованиях принимают участие 17,5 тыс. руководителей организаций различных секторов экономики (около 6 тыс. крупных и средних предприятий добывающей и обрабатывающей промышленности, 6,2 тыс. строительных фирм, 3,4 тыс. организаций розничной торговли, около ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lodiagin B., Petrov V., International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 2026 Vol. 9 No. 7 P. 127–141
This study compares seven Russian regional airport public-private partnership projects to examine how governance arrangements relate to implementation performance and adaptation under uncertainty. The analysis draws on public documents, project-participant materials, industry reports, and business media available by May 2026. A qualitative multiple-case design combines thematic analysis with cross-case synthesis. The cases range from comparatively ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Pashkov S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 2 С. 32–44
This article discusses the methodological possibilities and specific features of constructing chain indices based on longitudinal sociological data. The relevance of the study stems from the shortage of diverse socio-economic indicators for promptly tracking fluctuations in the expectations and intentions of small business owners under heightened uncertainty. The authors show that the chain index methodology ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Slabolitskiy I. S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 215–244
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling and forecasting key indicators of Russia's foreign economic activity based on a block-based architecture of a Bayesian Vector Autoregression model with exogenous variables (BVARX). In conditions of high external uncertainty and the absence of publicly available data on the physical volumes of foreign trade since 2022, the ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Лобоцкий М. Ю., Komarov M. M., Zaramenskikh E., Бизнес-информатика 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 7–21
By early 2026, AI agents ceased to be experimental tools and began to be considered as a form of business process automation. Based on the analysis of in-depth interviews, an expert session, a quantitative survey of Russian companies, and sources reflecting Russian and foreign experience in the deployment of AI agents, a fivelevel maturity model ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Veselitskaya N., Malekova D. K., European Journal of Futures Research 2026 Vol. 14 P. 1–13
Foresight methods are often treated as transferable tools whose selection depends mainly on the object of analysis, the time horizon or the available data. This article argues that such a view is incomplete because foresight methods are embedded in governance settings and perform different institutional functions across them. The article does not claim that the ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Лалетин С. В., Кучина О. В., Shekova E. et al., СПб.: Академия русского балета им. А.Я. Вагановой, 2026.
Сборник статей посвящен актуальным проблемам управления творческими коллективами, финансированию государственных балетных театров, особенностям современных проектов и бизнес-планированию в сфере хореографического искусства. ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Tyurkin M., Azamat A., Cham: Springer, 2025.
This chapter explores the role of tokenization in blockchain technologies. Tokenization is a key enabler of the smart circular economy and organizational sustainability. Tokenization involves converting assets or value into digital tokens on a blockchain. This process offers new opportunities to enhance resource efficiency, transparency, and accountability within circular economy initiatives. By leveraging blockchain’s immutable ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Зинина Т. С., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет результаты ежегодного специализированного конъюнктурного мониторинга деловой активности ИТ-отрасли, проведенного в 2025 году. Выборка – около 700 организаций ИТ-отрасли (виды экономической деятельности 62, 63 согласно ОКВЭД2) из 30 субъектов Российской Федерации.
Программа обследования запущена с 2010 г. и основана на международном опыте измерения деловых тенденций ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Regina Gataullina, Maria Kokoreva, Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2025 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 38–52
This study investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and corporate risk-taking in Russian firms, focusing on the moderating effects of corporate governance mechanisms. Using a panel dataset of 126 companies listed on the Moscow Exchange Broad Market Index from 2010 to 2021, the study applies a fixed-effects model to examine how corporate governance ...
Added: October 7, 2025
Bossman A., Gubareva M., Teplova T., Energy Economics 2023 Vol. 127 Article 107080
The interplay between energy and agricultural commodities and the responses of agricultural commodities to global uncertainty factors have been receiving increasing attention due to the pivotal contributions of commodity markets to the world economy. This study investigates the asymmetric effects of oil, market volatility and sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risk on agricultural commodities ...
Added: March 22, 2024
Sohag K., Vasilyeva R., Urazbaeva A. et al., Journal of Risk and Financial Management 2022 Vol. 15 No. 5 Article 204
Given the importance of stock market synchronization for international portfolio diversification, we estimate the degrees of co-movements among US, Chinese and Russian markets. By applying the TVP-VAR approach, we measure total and bivariate synchronization indices utilizing daily data from 1998 to 2021. Our analysis demonstrates that the total connectedness index (TCI) is 26.15% among the ...
Added: December 29, 2023