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Diagnostic and age composition of excess mortality associated with the New Year holidays in Russia
Population and Economics. 2021. Vol. 5. No. 4. P. 1–20.
Nemtsov A., Fattakhov T.
Statistics show that in many countries of the world holidays are associated with an increase in morbidity and mortality; this is especially pronounced during the New Year and Christmas period. This article presents an estimate of the excess number of deaths in Russia during the January holidays in 2011–2019 by main classes of causes of death and by age groups.
The study relies on the Rosstat dataset of 16.83 million individual non-personalized death records referring to 2011–2019. The authors of the paper estimate excess mortality for each cause and age group as the difference between actually observed mortality and the LOWESS moving average calculated for non-holiday period, extrapolated to the holidays.
The calculations showed that the period of excess mortality lasted from January 1 to January 22 with a maximum on January 1. Over 22 days, excess mortality in 2011–2019 amounted to 89.0 thousand cases or 8.4% in relation to mortality on non-holidays; excess mortality on January 1 amounted to 11.4 thousand cases. In contrast to mortality from diseases of the circulatory, respiratory, and digestive systems, the contribution of which to excess mortality was proportional to their prevalence on non-holidays, proportion of excess mortality from external causes almost doubled (23.6% versus 12.7 % on weekdays). January 1 saw the highest excess mortality from external causes, including that of alcohol poisoning, homicide, and suicide, in all age groups; on January 2 the highest increase was observed in mortality from diseases of the circulatory system; on January 9 and 10 — from the pathologies of the respiratory and digestive systems.
January holidays in Russia are associated with significant excess mortality, primarily as a result of the abuse of strong alcoholic beverages. Informing the population about the fatal consequences of such a consumption regime and a decrease in the availability of strong alcohol, the maximum sales of which falls on December, can reduce the damage during the January holidays.
Shartova N., Mironova E., Geo Journal 2026 Vol. 91 P. 1–17
The historical timeline of urban development profoundly shapes the contemporary form and functionality of cities. Traditionally, cities were planned with limited consideration for the promotion of a healthy urban environment. Using Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, a city that has evolved from a medieval market town to an industrial centre and later into a multifunctional city with ...
Added: August 9, 2026
Vlassov V., JAMA - Journal of the American Medical Association 2026 P. 1–6
Importance Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies.
Objectives To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Vlassov V., van der Lubbe S. C., Moberg M. E. et al., The Lancet Public Health 2026 P. 1–6
Background
Road injuries are a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Years of international efforts have aimed to strengthen policy engagement, including the 2020 UN General Assembly's proclamation of the Second Decade of Action for Road Safety (2021–30), targeting a 50% reduction in road traffic deaths and serious injuries by 2030. The aim of this ...
Added: July 25, 2026
Авксентьева М. В., Ашихмин Я. И., Ашихмина О. В. et al., М.: ФГБУ "Издательство "Наука", 2023.
Предложены основные направления совершенствования планирования, организации и оплаты медицинской помощи, лекарственного обеспечения, информатизации и оценки технологий здравоохранения. Рекомендованы такие мероприятия, как конкретизация программы государственных гарантий бесплатного оказания гражданам медицинской помощи, создание системы общедоступного лекарственного обеспечения, использование клинико-статистических групп для оплаты медицинской помощи при ряде хронических неинфекционных заболеваний в амбулаторных условиях, формирование механизма привлечения соплатежей при ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Михайлов И. А., Опухоли женской репродуктивной системы 2025 Т. 21 № 1 С. 86–105
Цель исследования – определить наиболее целесообразную стратегию скрининга и ранней диагностики рака шейки матки (РШМ) в Российской Федерации с точки зрения клинической (диагностической) и экономической эффективности.
Материалы и методы. Для оценки клинической (диагностической) эффективности различных стратегий скрининга проведен систематический обзор публикаций об исследованиях, оценивающих эффективность применения цитологического исследования и тестирования на вирус папилломы человека (ВПЧ) с целью диагностики ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Иванова А. А., Коган С. А., Горбунова Т. В. et al., Менеджер здравоохранения 2026 № 3 С. 96–105
The research r elev anc e is determined by the demand for telemedicine consultations (TMC) as one of health care digitalization pathways in Russian Federation. Telemedicine, regardless of the field, continues to prove its significant role, saving health resources without losing medical care quality. The TMC is regulated by federal level framework. Each year the ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Михайлов И. А., Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction 2026 Vol. 8 No. 1 Article 8
Whole-slide histology images (WSIs) can exceed 100 k × 100 k pixels, making direct pixel-level segmentation infeasible and requiring patch-level classification as a practical alternative for downstream WSI segmentation. However, most approaches either treat patches independently, ignoring spatial and biological context, or rely on deep graph models prone to oversmoothing and loss of local tissue ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Хайлова Ж. В., Омельяновский В. В., Михайлов И. А. et al., Менеджер здравоохранения 2026 № 4 С. 41–52
The urgency of the problem of organizing effective medical care for cancer patients is determined by the steady trend of increasing incidence of malignant neoplasms, the high proportion of this pathology in the structure of overall mortality, as well as significant medical, demographic and socio-economic losses for society.Purpose of the st udy is to conduct ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Михайлов И. А., Здоровье мегаполиса 2026 Т. 7 № 2 С. 7–16
Objective. To evaluate the impact of a series of organizational measures for implementing innovative medical technology in a multidisciplinary hospital on patient quality of life based on patient self-assessments. Results. Patients who received care using innovative medical technology within a systemic organizational approach demonstrated a significantly higher level of overall satisfaction with the quality of care. ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Ахапкина Е. С., Омельяновский В. В., Тулупова О. Н. et al., Медицинские технологии. Оценка и выбор 2026 Т. 48 № 2 С. 70–77
OBJECTIVE
To analyze international approaches to assessing the labor complexity for different specialists with higher medical education (physicians).
MATERIAL AND METHODS
We performed a systematic searching and content analysis of foreign and national studies and documents devoted to labor complexity of different specialists with higher medical education (doctors). A group of experts among the authors of this study discussed and identified significant factors in assessing complexity.
RESULTS
There are 2 main systems to assess physician workload complexity in foreign countries. The first approach is based ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Arina Bukina, Eritsyan K., Antonova N. et al., Frontiers in Psychology 2026 Vol. 17 Article 1824428
Background:
Numerous studies have shown that indigenous populations experience poorer health outcomes compared to people with other backgrounds. However, the interpretation of these disparities remains challenging due to differences in living conditions and social environments, as well as by potential measurement-related biases. Little is known about whether the underlying mechanisms of mental health outcomes differ between ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Ledesma J. R., Zhang M., Liew M. F. et al., The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2026 P. 1–12
Background
Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading global cause of death from a single infectious agent. Recent reductions in global health funding have threatened TB control, making comprehensive assessment of TB, HIV-related TB, and drug-resistant TB burdens before these disruptions essential for shaping effective responses. The WHO End TB Strategy sets targets of a 95% reduction in ...
Added: July 7, 2026
Liapin G., Vlassov V., DIALOGUES IN HEALTH 2026 Vol. 8 Article 100317
Objectives
Due to the economic growth at the end of the 20th century, people in low-income countries live longer but still spend most of their income on food. These countries, as well as affluent countries, demonstrate a rising prevalence of obesity. The interplay of longevity and obesity at different levels of economic development is not clear.
Methods
We ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Алексашина А. О., Русских С. В., Тырановец С. В. et al., Менеджер здравоохранения 2026 № 4 С. 53–60
Given the increasing prevalence of carbohydrate metabolism disorders in pregnant women, a validated tool is needed to assess the competencies of physicians involved in the multidisciplinary management of this pathology.
Objective. A comprehensive validation of the author’s methodology (questionnaire) «Flowchart “Methodology for assessing the professional potential of medical personnel of endocrinologists, obstetrician-gynecologists, and general practitioners in ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Лебедева Д. А., Вестник Воронежского государственного университета. Серия: Право 2026 № 1 С. 66–77
The article is devoted to the study of problems in the fi eld of ensuring the protection and
portability of patient data in medical information and analytical systems (hereinafter – MIAS). The
purpose of the study is a comprehensive analysis of the legal regulation of the MIAS of the constituent
entities of the Russian Federation. The study identifi ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Biryukova A., Zasimova L. S., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 2 С. 40–57
The paper examines changes in the economic affordability of cigarettes in Russian regions in 2011–2023. Using fixed-effects models, it estimates the impact of prices, incomes, and tobacco affordability (the ratio of per capita income to cigarette price), on three indicators: retail sales of cigarettes per capita, adult population spending on tobacco products, and the share of these ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Helen Selorm Wohoyie, Anikin V. A., Tomsk State University Journal of Philosophy, Sociology and Political Science 2026 Vol. 90 P. 204–211
Menstrual health serves as a critical litmus test for state intervention in contexts where women’s bodily experiences are historically shaped by stigma, cultural taboos, and structural violence. Drawing on Joseph Gusfield’s theory of social problems, this review traces the moral passage of menstruation in Ghana (1992–2025) from a privately managed, stigmatized phenomenon to a matter ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Карцева М. А., Peresetsky A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2026. № WP2/2026/01.
This study examines the association between health status among elderly individuals living alone and pet ownership (cats, dogs). We employ data from the “Time Use Survey” conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in 2019, which contains information on more than 10,000 elderly individuals living alone aged 60 or older in Russia, including data ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Sosnin E. I., Vasil’ev Y. L., R.A. Solovyev et al., Computer Optics 2025 Vol. 49 No. 6 P. 1129–1137
In this article, we present a new unique dataset for dental research – AlphaDent. This dataset is based on the DSLR camera photographs of the teeth of 295 patients and contains over 1200 images. The dataset is labeled for solving the instance segmentation problem and is divided into 9 classes. The article provides a detailed ...
Added: May 4, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2021 Т. 12 № 6 С. 258–274
Russia has achieved a high level of Internet connectivity and the use of digital technologies; this helps to accumulate and systematize huge amounts of population data. Modern challenges, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, require a more prompt and detailed analysis of the demographic situation. Understanding the information collected by digital platforms and services can improve ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Aldangarkyzy A., Denisenko M. B., Вестник КазНУ. Серия психологии и социологии 2025 Vol. 92 No. 1 P. 82–95
This article examines Kazakhstan’s epidemiological transition, focusing on shifts in mortality pat terns and life expectancy within the context of socioeconomic and demographic influences. The study aims to explore the evolution of Kazakhstan’s population mortality from 1991 to 2022, encompassing both age-standardized and cause-specific mortality rates, and the corresponding changes in life expec tancy. The ...
Added: June 20, 2025
Kolosnitsyna M., Золотарева А., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2024 № 1 С. 148–175
The article studies the impact of external shocks associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on the likelihood and volumes of alcohol consumption in Russia. The variables of interest are excess mortality in the individual's region of residence (the variable responsible for stress measurement) and unemployment (the variable characterizing economic decline). Combining microdata from the RLMS HSE ...
Added: February 24, 2024
Aleksey E. Shchur, Timonin S., Elena V. Churilova et al., Population and Economics 2023 Vol. 7 No. 3 P. 188–197
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed significant gaps in the coverage and quality of the existing international and national statistical surveillance systems. The most reliable approach to estimating mortality associated with short-term risk factors or factors fluctuating within calendar years is based on estimating weekly excess mortality. Although this approach is obvious, its application turned out ...
Added: December 15, 2023