Tiwari S., Doğan B., Kazemzadeh E. et al., Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning and Policy 2026 Vol. 21 No. 1 P. 1–21
This study explores the role of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) in shaping productive capacity amid economic complexity, economic policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks for a panel of OECD countries. The period of observations runs from 2003 to 2023. The results based on quantile-on-quantile regression demonstrate that ESG uncertainty has a gradual, progressive positive impact ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Лебедев С. В., Novik N., Век глобализации 2026 № 1(57) С. 86–95
The article employs the concept of the Stability-Instability Paradox as a predictive model that allows to forecast the dynamics of geopolitical rivalry in South Asia. The above-mentioned concept predicts that the conflict of the two nucleararmed states will be characterized by stability at the strategic level due to the mutually assured destruction mechanism, while simultaneously tremendous instability at the substrategic ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Cherkasova V. A., Ведута Р. А., Финансы и бизнес 2024 Т. 20 № 2 С. 53–70
In modern conditions, uncertainty, both economic and geopolitical, has a significant influence on the investment decisions made by companies. The geopolitical factor can either stimulate an increase in investments or impede the implementation of investment projects. The aim of the article is to analyze the impact of geopolitical risk on the efficiency of investment decisions ...
Added: September 10, 2024
Bossman A., Gubareva M., Teplova T., Energy Economics 2023 Vol. 127 Article 107080
The interplay between energy and agricultural commodities and the responses of agricultural commodities to global uncertainty factors have been receiving increasing attention due to the pivotal contributions of commodity markets to the world economy. This study investigates the asymmetric effects of oil, market volatility and sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risk on agricultural commodities ...
Added: March 22, 2024
Huang S., Bossman A., Gubareva M. et al., Energy Economics 2024 Vol. 131 Article 107382
We explore the influence of oil price and geopolitical risk (GPR) on the international transmission of shocks within African forex markets. To gauge the dynamics of shock transmission, we employ the TVP-VAR connectedness model using daily data spanning over the period 2000–2023. We show that shock transmission between oil-exporting and oil-importing countries heterogeneously depends on ...
Added: February 18, 2024
Sohag K., Vasilyeva R., Urazbaeva A. et al., Journal of Risk and Financial Management 2022 Vol. 15 No. 5 Article 204
Given the importance of stock market synchronization for international portfolio diversification, we estimate the degrees of co-movements among US, Chinese and Russian markets. By applying the TVP-VAR approach, we measure total and bivariate synchronization indices utilizing daily data from 1998 to 2021. Our analysis demonstrates that the total connectedness index (TCI) is 26.15% among the ...
Added: December 29, 2023
Bossman A., Gubareva M., Teplova T., Resources Policy 2023 Vol. 82 Article 103515
This study examines the asymmetric relationships between EU sectoral stocks and oil, oil implied volatility, geopolitical risk, and market sentiment during turbulent times of geopolitical unrest. In a set of parametric and nonparametric quantile-based techniques, we employ daily data on eleven sectors of economic activity in addition to crude oil prices (WTI) and three sentiment-driven ...
Added: June 22, 2023
Umar Z., Polat O., Teplova T. et al., Finance Research Letters 2022 No. 48 Article 102976
We investigate the impact of geopolitical risks caused by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on Russia, European financial markets, and the global commodity markets. We measure the dynamic connectedness among them using time- and frequency-based time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approaches. The empirical findings indicate that (i) their relationship has changed due to the conflict; (ii) European ...
Added: May 25, 2022
Umar Z., Bossman A., Choi S. -. et al., Finance Research Letters 2022 Vol. 48 Article 102991
We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) generated by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on European and Russian bonds, equity, and global commodity markets. We employ the GPR index and apply the quantile-on-quantile regression approach to the GRP index and financial asset returns. Our findings indicate that (i) most assets are in a mix of negative ...
Added: May 25, 2022
Власов Д. А., Научные исследования и разработки. Российский журнал управления проектами 2018 Т. 7 № 1 С. 4–9
Mitigation of risks becomes one of the key problematic areas of national oil and gas companies in case of low energy prices, prolongation of sanctions regarding Russia and development of alternative energy sources. The study devoted to development approach to quantitative assessment of country risk as a tool of oil and gas international projects selection. ...
Added: December 14, 2017
Barkhatov V., Власов Д. А., Научные исследования и разработки. Российский журнал управления проектами 2016 Т. 5 № 4 С. 22–35
Nowadays scenario planning becomes a popular decision-making tool. It is actively used in project portfolio management, in particular for the purposes of creating a project portfolio in definite scenario. The peculiarities of oil and gas investment projects do not allow realize them promptly even under favorable changes of business environment. Whereas under adverse conditions losses ...
Added: December 14, 2017
Larionova M. V., Вестник РУДН (Серия "Международные отношения") 2015 № 1 С. 125–134
В статье представлен анализ результатов председательства ЮАР в БРИКС, формально начавшегося с саммита в Дурбане, 15-17 марта 2013 года, и завершившегося в июле 2014 года встречей глав государств и правительств БРИКС в г. Форталеза. Для оценки эффективности председательства использована модель обеспечения баланса внешних условий и национальных приоритетов страны-председателя в неформальных институтах, таких как БРИКС, «Группа ...
Added: November 25, 2014
Barkhatov V., Demkin I. V., Научные исследования и разработки. Российский журнал управления проектами 2013 № 1 С. 23–33
In order to provide competitive advantages companies are forced to carry out projects in foreign countries. During designing development and investment programs, oil and gas companies have to estimate the cost of participation in international projects. In this article the authors developed methodology for assessing participation cost in the international oil and gas projects. Approbation ...
Added: September 19, 2013
Korotayev A., Grinin L. E., , in: Globalization. Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow.: Litchfield Park: Emergent Publications, 2013. Ch. 18 P. 365–410.
This article analyzes some important aspects of the world socioeconomic and political development in the near future. The future always stems from the present. The fi rst part of the article analyzes the global causes of the contemporary crisis and the possibilities to eliminate the most acute problems that have generated this crisis. The authors ...
Added: May 23, 2013
Lanshina T., Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2012 № 4 С. 151–170
Обладая большим экономическим потенциалом и политическим влиянием, США исторически играли одну из ведущих ролей в таких важных неформальных международных институтах, как «Группа восьми» и «Группа двадцати». В 2012 г. эта страна внесла особенно существенный вклад в формирование решений «Группы восьми», так как она являлась председателем этого форума. Принимая во внимание то, что последствия глобального экономического ...
Added: February 14, 2013
Barkhatov V., В кн.: Современный менеджмент: проблемы, гипотезы, исследования: сборник докладов молодежной конференции.: М.: Издательский дом ГУ-ВШЭ, 2010. С. 335–344.
Added: November 15, 2012