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Does geopolitical risk matter for global asset returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression
Finance Research Letters. 2022. Vol. 48. Article 102991.
We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) generated by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on European and Russian bonds, equity, and global commodity markets. We employ the GPR index and apply the quantile-on-quantile regression approach to the GRP index and financial asset returns. Our findings indicate that (i) most assets are in a mix of negative and positive relationship with GPR; (ii) GPR leads to changes in asset returns during normal market conditions; and (iii) the magnitude and direction of GPR's effect on asset returns depend on the type of market and market conditions.
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Bessonova E., Popova S., Fedulova M., Emerging Markets Review 2026 Vol. 75 Article 101564
To mitigate the shocks caused by the pandemic-related restrictions, many governments implemented extensive support measures for companies facing sharp declines in revenues. In Russia, loan guarantee programmes allowed many firms to apply for loans during the pandemic. As a result, the number of small loans soared. Participation in the loan guarantee programmes helped firms in ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Koshel A., Kruchinskaia E., Russian Journal of Economics 2026 No. 12(3) P. 311–334
The expansion of digital platforms and ecosystems is reshaping consumption and the structure of modern markets. In the Russian context, a representative survey conducted by the authors indicates frequent online purchasing driven primarily by time savings, broader assortment and price accessibility. Platforms thus generate consumer benefits, including non-monetary gains that are not fully captured by ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ.
В основу обзора положены ежеквартальные опросы более 5 тыс. человек в возрасте от 16 лет и старше. Такие опросы Федеральная служба государственной статистики (Росстат) проводит во всех субъектах ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Rastvortseva S., Tyushkevich Y., Salushkina Z. S., Journal of regional and international competitiveness 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 38–49
This paper examines the contemporary models of international competitiveness adopted by Big Tech corporations between 2010 and 2025. The study aims to identify the internal drivers underpinning the resilience of technological giants and to assess their capacity to withstand external shocks, including sanctions, geo-economic fragmentation, and regulatory shifts. To achieve this objective, the authors employ ...
Added: October 5, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Милицына П. С., Rozhkova K., Roshchin S. et al., Высшее образование в России 2026 № 8-9 С. 94–115
Привлечение и удержание молодых педагогов в школах является одним из важнейших вопросов для преодоления проблемы кадрового дефицита в системе образования. В статье анализируются особенности трудоустройства выпускников российских вузов педагогических специальностей выпуска 2021–2022 гг. На основе тотальных административных данных выявлены факторы, влияющие на вероятность их первоначального трудоустройства в школу и последующего закрепления в профессии. Результаты показывают, ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klaro Ramires P. M., Veselova A., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 699–718
As Russia transitions toward a green economy and reshapes its sustainable development agenda, understanding the external and internal factors influencing companies’ adoption of ESG principles is increasingly important. The study examines the relationships between external institutional pressure, internal organizational capabilities, and the effectiveness of corporate ESG practices. It focuses on external regulatory and non-regulatory mechanisms, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Buchko A., Peresetsky A., HSE Economic Journal 2025 Vol. 29 No. 3 P. 383–406
In recent years cryptocurrencies have gained popularity: institutional and retail investors as well as different trading companies started positively looking at crypto assets. As a result, the convergence level between cryptocurrencies and the traditional markets has changed a lot. Stocks deserve close attention because they are a key asset for many investors. This article explores ...
Added: September 17, 2026
Soldatova A., Банковские услуги 2025 № 5 С. 41–44
This article covers the results of a roundtable discussion at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) on the Russian bond market. Key issues and trends in the bond market over the past year were discussed, including macroeconomic risks and new threats to private investors related to the increasing frequency of coupon defaults by issuers. The ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Baysha O., Trofimov V., Российская школа связей с общественностью 2026 № 40 С. 171–191
A growing number of scholars are warning about the dangers of the reproduction by generative AI of socio-political and ideological biases absorbed by models from the texts on which they were trained. If a given model was trained on Western media texts, it may generate narratives that reproduce West centric views of world events. This ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Stolbov M., Shchepeleva M., Economic Systems 2026 Vol. 50 No. 2 Article 101359
We investigate the time-varying role of Russia in the international causal network of financial stress. The network is derived using the factor-adjusted network estimation for high-dimensional time series (FNETS), which is applied to text-based financial stress indices for 66 countries. We run this technique for sequentially expanding time windows (ranging from 2000Q1:2013Q4 to 2000Q1:2023Q4). Based ...
Added: February 12, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Golovan S., Econometrics and Statistics 2026 Vol. 37 P. 199–213
The purpose is to enable inference in case of quantile regression with endogenous covariates and clustered data. It is proven that the instrumental variable quantile regression estimator is consistent where there is correlation of errors within clusters, and an asymptotic distribution for the estimator, which may be used for inference for a given quantile τ, is derived. As regards inference based on the entire instrumental ...
Added: January 13, 2026
Rechmedina S., Haniev A., Suhih V., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2025 Т. 60 № 3 С. 40–62
Periods of high market volatility put investors in a situation where conventional decision- making methods are less reliable. To improve returns, market participants need to understand which factors play a big role in portfolio formation. This article analyzes the determinants of Russian stock returns during the Covid-19 and the rise in geopolitical tension in 2022. ...
Added: December 11, 2025