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The Maternity Capital programs in Russia and the second birth spacing
Applied Econometrics. 2024. Vol. 75. P. 117–141.
Gorskiy D.
The paper utilises survival analysis to study the role of the Maternity Capital program, introduced in 2007 in Russia to stimulate families to have a second birth (or adopt a second child), in changing the birth spacing between the first and the second child. The empirical study is carried out on the microdata of the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring survey over 2000-2019, the regional-level data from Rosstat and the data on the region's Maternity Capital programs by years from the open sources. The identification strategy compares birth spacing (via estimation of second childbirth hazards) before and after the Maternity Capital introduction. The methods used do not allow us to isolate the effect of the policy and time-fixed effects, for example, macro shocks. However, we implemented a test to check for no fertility trends in the pre-policy period. We also control for a wide range of personal and regional characteristics. Results are robust to different metrics (proportional hazard and accelerated failure time), functional forms (parametric and non-parametric) and subsamples (married women and working women). We find that the indexation of the federal Maternity Capital program leads to a 2.1% increase in the hazard of a second birth. The paper also tests the role of regional programs in addition to the federal-level program. We show that regional Maternity Capital programs also affect the probability of a second birth, and the estimated effect is two times bigger than for federal program.
Smirnov A., Арктика и Север 2020 № 40 С. 270–290
The article presents an estimate of the Arctic population in 1900–2019 by country and macroregion, obtained using official statistics of eight Arctic States. Analysis of spatial and temporal data revealed the main patterns of the Arctic population formation. Calculations show the world’s Arctic population increased from 1.3 million in 1900 to 6.1 million in 1989, ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономика региона 2022 Т. 18 № 1 С. 133–145
The nature and intensity of migration processes are constantly changing. Demographic statistics are not suitable for obtaining up-to-date information and making timely decisions in the field of demographic and social policy. Thus, digital demography is becoming increasingly important, as this area of population research uses new methods and data sources resulting from the Internet expansion ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Арктика и Север 2023 № 53 С. 260–272
The article considers “digital twins” of the population as a tool for socio-demographic research and territorial management. The experience of creating digital twins of the population and interactive websites devoted to demographic issues is systematized. A methodology for creating a digital twin of the Arctic population is proposed, based on three methodological principles: consideration of ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Mitrofanov S. V., Yanbykh R., Orlova N. et al., Крестьяноведение 2025 Т. 10 № 3 С. 38–67
The article considers the demographic-institutional challenges of Russian rural
areas and their impact on staffing of the agro-industrial complex (AIC). The authors focus
on such key trends as depopulation, aging and urbanization, which reduce labor resources
in agriculture, on structural changes in the age and gender dynamics of rural population,
migration and degradation of social infrastructure (health, education, culture), ...
Added: October 24, 2025
Vohmina V., Вестник гуманитарного образования 2025 № 2 С. 55–65
The article analyses the intelligentsia discourse on the Soviet family in "The Literaturnaya Gazeta" in the late 1960s and early 1970s. The focus is on the key issues discussed, such as the role of men and women in society, changes in family values, problems of child rearing, the topic of divorce and the declining birth ...
Added: September 2, 2025
Ростовская Т. К., Скоробогатова В. И., Larionov A. et al., Университетское управление: практика и анализ 2025 Т. 29 № 1 С. 45–55
Russia maintains its position as one of the world’s leading destinations for international students, with current enrollment figures reaching 389,000 in 2024 and projected to increase to 410,000 by 2025. Given the recognized quality of Russian higher education, many international graduates represent valuable potential contributors to Russia’s labor market and society. To facilitate their targeted ...
Added: July 2, 2025
Vakulenko E., Sek A., Прикладная эконометрика 2025 Т. 78 С. 116–137
This paper studies factors related to marital duration based on data from longitudinal survey RLMS-HSE 1994-2021 with the use of Cox regression. Results demonstrate that marriages in which spouses have different income levels last longer while differences in educational levels do not have significant impact on marital duration. Testing for robustness to sample changes indicated ...
Added: May 6, 2025
Терещенко Д. С., Щербаков В. С., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 4 С. 112–135
The article focuses on studying the specifics of the influence of the age structure of the population on regional inflation in the territory of the Russian Federation. The main research issue is to identify the nature of the influence (proinflationary or disinflationary) of all population groups (younger than working age, working age, older than working ...
Added: April 3, 2025
Meshcheryakov A., В кн.: История и культура Японии. Вып. 16.: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2024. С. 39–53.
During the Tokugawa period, the custom of inkyo 隠居 spread among all major social strata, including the highest political elite. It assumed the voluntary resignation of the "position" of the head of the family, who is of capable age, and the transfer of authority to the heir (usually the eldest son after his marriage). This ...
Added: March 6, 2025
Mitrofanova E., Ignatov D. I., Tatyana Maximova et al., , in: Recent Trends in Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts: 11th International Conference, AIST 2023, Yerevan, Armenia, September 28–30, Revised Selected Papers.: Springer, 2024. P. 301–308.
We present an interactive web-based tool that allows researchers to visualize the occurrence of life events on the demographic Lexis grid. The tool can be used to compare different generations, find the most important patterns for the occurrence of certain chains of events, and predict next the most likely events. The current version of the ...
Added: October 1, 2024
Vakulenko E., Gorskiy D., Кондратьева В. П. et al., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 9 С. 138–157
This study examines how the reproductive intentions of Russians changed during the socio-economic shocks that arose during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2022-2023. The study used data from a representative survey of 7,967 respondents conducted in May 2023. We used multiple-choice models to identify the factors that influenced changes in fertility decisions. Most individuals who had ...
Added: August 14, 2024
Vakulenko E., Рыжкина А. Е., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2024 № 3(64) С. 84–102
The article is devoted to the study of the relationship between economic shocks and the fertility rate of first, second and third children in Russia using Age-Period-Cohort (APC) models. There were considered annual data for 39 regions of the Russian Federation for the period from 2004 to 2021, the sources were Rosstat and the Russian ...
Added: May 23, 2024
Дмитриев М. Э., Popovich L., Зимоха А. Ю. et al., Акушерство и гинекология: Новости. Мнения. Обучения 2022 Т. 10 № 3 С. 96–106
Recent data indicate a high incidence of micronutrient deficiencies in Russia’s population of reproductive age.
Vitamin and mineral deficiencies increase risk of unfavorable pregnancy course and outcomes, which, in turn, may
affect the demographic situation in the country. At the same time the results of clinical studies and meta-analyses
confirm the possibility of beneficial effect of vitamin-mineral complexes ...
Added: April 4, 2024
Bhattacharjee N., Schumacher A., Austin E. et al., The Lancet 2024 Vol. 403 No. 10440 P. 2057–2099
Background
Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender ...
Added: March 22, 2024
Schumacher A., Kyu H. H., Aali A. et al., The Lancet 2024 Vol. 403 No. 10440 P. 1989–2056
Background
Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study ...
Added: March 16, 2024
Гришковец А. А., Галицкая Н. В., Вестник Саратовской государственной юридической академии 2021 № 3(140) С. 57–71
Background: among children, there is a special category-children with disabilities, who are especially socially vulnerable, and not only they, but also their relatives, usually parents, who, having such a family member, face numerous social problems, which are sometimes incredibly difficult to solve, especially when support from society and the state for various reasons (underdeveloped economy ...
Added: February 15, 2024
Saryglar S., Shakhova E., Borisova O., , in: Advances in Natural, Human-Made, and Coupled Human-Natural Systems ResearchVol. 234: Advances in Natural, Human-Made, and Coupled Human-Natural Systems Research. Lecture Notes in Networks and System. Issue 1.: Springer, 2023. P. 311–327.
The general goal of the paper is connected with the analysis of aging of the population of modern Russia, identification of the disorganizing factors leading to social exclusion and social inequality of the senior age groups and in turn to conflict situations, social tension in society in general. The problem of removal or mitigation of ...
Added: September 4, 2023
Kazenin K., Mitrofanova E., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2023 № 2(174) С. 14–30
The paper studies the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on fertility in Russian regions. Our central hypothesis suggests that the pandemic conduced the postponement of childbearing because the socioeconomic uncertainty increased starting with 2020. We used the data from a quantitative survey of women of reproductive ages held in June-July 2022 in three regions of ...
Added: January 24, 2023
Ustyuzhanin V., Жодзишская П. А., Korotayev A., Социологический журнал 2022 Т. 28 № 4 С. 34–59
Although there are plenty of quantitative cross-national analyses on the influence of population age structure on revolutionary risks, there are currently not enough studies that examine its impact on the risks of armed and unarmed revolutions taken separately. Assuming that the dependence of potential political destabilization on the median age will suffer for armed and ...
Added: November 23, 2022
Vakulenko E., Ивашина Н. В., Свистильник Я. О., Экономика региона 2023 Т. 19 № 4 С. 1077–1092
Since 2015, the birth rate in Russia has been declining, despite an active demographic policy of the state. Since 2007 the program of federal maternity capital (FMC) has been implemented. In 2011, some regions of Russia also began to introduce regional maternity capital (RMC). The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between ...
Added: October 17, 2022
Meshcheryakov A., М.: ООО "Лингвистика", 2022.
A monograph could be compared to a long novel, this book is more like a collection of short stories about the fundamental characteristics of Japanese history and culture. Why is Japan called "the land of the rising sun"? From what misfortunes did “elegant” Japanese gardens protect? How the land of this small country was able ...
Added: October 13, 2022
Meshcheryakov A., Японские исследования 2022 № 1 С. 78–94
During the Tokugawa period, Japan’s population stabilized at 31–32 million. After the Meiji
revolution, it began to grow rapidly. Some people were proud and saw in the multiplication of the Japanese a
sign that things were going well in the country, but, for the more realistic-minded scholars, the rapid
population growth caused not delight, but most serious alarm ...
Added: October 13, 2022