ГИБРИДНЫЕ ВОЙНЫ КАК ИНСТРУМЕНТАРИЙ ГЕОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ ТРАНСФОРМАЦИИ СОВРЕМЕННОГО МИРА

Вестник Московского государственного областного университета. 2021. № 3.

Evstafiev D.

Aim. To define the place of the platform of the hybrid wars and the related instruments in the on-going global transformations that lead to the deep reshuffle of the international economic relations including the basic interrelationships of the economic interdependence that were formed in the era of mature globalization.
Methodology. Clusterization of the focus points of the transformations on the regional level in order to locate and define key instruments used to manage (stimulate and guide) the transformations. The transformations are analyzed through the prism of Thomas Shelling’s “theory of conflict” and its subsequent interpretations but with consideration of the new role of the information society.
Results. The conclusions were made about the increasing importance of the military and in general – force components in the spectrum of the “hybrid war” instruments since the current generation of informational manipulation means appeared to be insufficient to reach the geo-economic objectives that major global centers of power face. At the same time the platform of “hybrid wars” remains operationally the most secure one to manage safely the chains of conflicts aimed to geo-economically transform regions and macro-regions.
Research implications. The conclusion was made on the inevitability of the development of a new generation of the “hybrid wars” that would be based upon wider variety of instruments in the “transition zone” between the peacetime competition and “hot” conflict with military components.

Keywords: hybrid wars, Гибридные войны, geo-economic transformations, геоэкономические трансформации, конфликт с ненулевой суммой