ЗСТ ЕАЭС как новый эффективный формат развития внешнеторговых связей России

Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право. 2021. Т. 14. № 3. С. 63–83.

Zuev V. N., Ostrovskaya E., Skryabina V.

The Regional Trade Agreements (RTA) as a legal format of trade between countries has been actively developed within the last decades. Russian involvement in RTAs until recently was weak. However, after the EAEU creation in 2015, trade policies of the member countries have changed. Setting up the RTAs has become an important priority of the EAEU’s common trade policy. In this study, the assessment is made of the significance for the Russian domestic policies of the signed and planned FTAs. The focus of the methodology of the study lies in computations of three trade indices: export significance index (suggested by authors and based on the revealed comparative advantage index), trade intensity index and symmetric trade introversion index, which were calculated for the totality of trade partners of Russia for 2018 (192 countries)) in order to identify the most promising countries to conclude new FTAs. Authors come to a conclusion that the already signed Russian RTAs and newly planned Russian common FTAs on behalf of the EAEU do have a visible amortizing effect for international trade flows. Another important result of the study is that it provides the list of the first-priority countries for the new-coming FTAs for Russia and the EAEU partners in terms of efficiency in generating trade and in terms of safeguarding stability of the existing trade flows, that are - Egypt, Turkey, Algeria, Republic of Korea and Mongolia. The authors suggest to make similar calculations for other countries to support the revealed pattern.

Keywords: зона свободной торговли, внешняя политика России, экономическая интеграция, economic integration, Russian foreign policy, региональные торговые соглашения, Regional trade agreements, Евразийский экономический союз (ЕАЭС), торговые индексы, free trade agreement, the Eurasian Economic Union, trade indices