A pathway design framework for national low greenhouse gas emission development strategies

Nature Climate Change. 2019. Vol. 9. P. 261–268.

Safonov G., Waisman H., Bataille C., Winkler H., Jotzo F., Shukla P., Colombier M., Buira D., Criqui P., Fischedick M., Kainuma M., La Rovere E., Pye S., Siagian U., Teng F., Virdis M., Williams J., Young S., Anandarajah G., Boer R., Cho Y., Denis-Ryan A., Dhar S., Gaeta M., Gesteira C., Haley B., Hourcade J., Liu Q., Lugovoy O., Masui T., Mathy S., Oshiro K., Parrado R., Pathak M., Potashnikov V., Samadi S., Sawyer D., Spencer T., Tovilla J., Trollip H.

The Paris Agreement introduces long-term strategies as an instrument to inform progressively more ambitious emission reduction objectives, while holding development goals paramount in the context of national circumstances. In the lead up to the twenty-first Conference of the Parties, the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project developed mid-century low-emission pathways for 16 countries, based on an innovative pathway design framework. In this Perspective, we describe this framework and show how it can support the development of sectorally and technologically detailed, policy-relevant and country-driven strategies consistent with the Paris Agreement climate goal. We also discuss how this framework can be used to engage stakeholder input and buy-in; design implementation policy packages; reveal necessary technological, financial and institutional enabling conditions; and support global stocktaking and increasing of ambition.

Keywords: climate change, decarbonization, stocktaking, pathways