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Политические режимы и формирование институтов открытого доступа: эмпирический анализ
С. 70–76.
Veselov D. A., Гиндуллина З. Ф.
Language:
Russian
Keywords: политические режимы
In book
Кн. 1. , М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2017.
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 3–15
The study examines the impact of digital technologies – primarily the Internet and social media – on the likelihood of revolutionary processes emerging in the 21st century. Based on an analysis of panel data for countries around the world in the 21st century and the use of logistic regression for rare events, it is shown ...
Added: October 13, 2026
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 8 С. 3–14
The article is devoted to an analysis of the influence of digital technologies and the Internet on the emergence and development of revolutionary activity in the 21st century. The authors consider the Internet to be a new significant factor in political destabilization, noting its role in coordinating protests, overcoming state censorship, and shaping new behavioral ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Zhdanov A., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2026 Т. 38 № 2 С. 118–167
Imagining a cosmic future touches on many topics — but typically avoids the topic of death, burial, and attitudes toward deceased ancestors. Most of these developments concern life-support systems. This article analyzes the debate between American anthropologist Elizabeth Povinelli and Russian cosmists. The subject of this debate is immortality and attitudes toward ancestors in the ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Мухаев Р. Т., Zhdanov A., М.: НИЦ Инфра-М, 2023.
The mobility of political changes and the multiplicity of determinants that determine their course make them a rather difficult object to study. Moreover, the process of uncontrolled changes (political revolutions) is unpredictable when a society moves from one type of development and political system to another. This happened in the 90s of the XX century ...
Added: September 17, 2024
Илья Сумерников, Андрей Уфимцев, Slav M. et al., Социологическое обозрение 2024 Т. 23 № 1 С. 302–356
Since the beginning of the 21st century, the number of empirical studies devoted to the analysis of factors influencing the risks of terrorist activity has increased significantly. At the same time, estimates of the impact of individual factors may differ in different studies, which is why there is a need for a generalizing work in ...
Added: April 1, 2024
Андрей И. Жданов, Андрей В. Коротаев, Социология власти 2022 Т. 34 № 3-4 С. 102–127
This article is devoted to the study of the influence of elections on the risks of revolutionary destabilization. The authors study different approaches to estimating the probability of the occurrence of revolutionary events in the election year. The types of revolutionary actions are distinguished within the scope of the degree of use of political violence ...
Added: November 13, 2023
Gulevich O., Borovikova J., Rodionova M., Political Psychology 2024 Vol. 45 No. 3 P. 537–557
A positive relationship between assessments of procedural justice and attitudes toward the political system has been identified in many studies of various countries. To quantify this relationship, a meta-analysis was conducted on 69 samples from 50,814 respondents, reported in 37 manuscripts between 1981 and 2021. We found positive correlations between assessments of procedural justice and ...
Added: March 4, 2023
Андрей Коротаев, Леонид Гринин, Илья Медведев et al., Социологическое обозрение 2022 Т. 21 № 2 С. 9–65
Проведенное исследование показывает наличие общей перевернутой U-образной зависимости между типами режима (ранжированными по степени их авторитарности–демократичности) и уровнем рисков революционной дестабилизации: анократиям (частичным автократиям и частичным демократиям) свойственен заметно более высокий уровень рисков революционной дестабилизации, чем полным автократиям или полностью (консолидированным) демократиям. Отметим также, что и внутри полных автократий прослеживается достаточно выраженная положительная корреляция между ...
Added: November 7, 2022
Nikita Khokhlov, Korotayev A., Cross-Cultural Research 2022 Vol. 56 No. 4 P. 385–418
The Internet provides a medium for the rapid mobilization of dissatisfied citizens and potentially contributes to various forms of political instability, including terrorism. However, the spread of the Internet may not lead to a higher intensity of terrorist attacks because direct perpetrators rely on close personal offline ties, and the national security agencies derive symmetrical ...
Added: April 23, 2022
Libman A., fgh g., Post-Communist Economies 2021 Vol. 33 No. 2-3 P. 359–377
The paper summarises the findings of this special issue and suggests avenues for future research. It concludes that the Eurasian regionalisms’ development in the 2010s was influenced, among other factors, by Russia’s concerns about external threats and by its control over the Eurasian space. However, the design of the regional institutions does not make them ...
Added: August 29, 2021
Korotayev A., Vaskin I., Daniil Romanov, Comparative Sociology 2021 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 344–379
This article proposes a new explanation of the positive correlation between democracy and terrorism detected in many previous studies. It is shown that this might be accounted for by the fact that factional democracies are subjected to more terrorist attacks than the other political regimes. A positive relationship between the democratic regime and the level ...
Added: August 24, 2021
Ivanov Y., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.Вып. 8.: Волгоград: Учитель, 2017. Гл. 8 С. 203–218.
В статье рассматриваются подходы к прогнозированию процессов дестабилизации в Исламской Республике Иран. Первый подход, названный «четыре шага», заключается в последовательном анализе четырех универсальных параметров, описывающих протестную активность. Второй подход базируется на методике, использованной при анализе событий Арабской весны и при оценке протестного потенциала в Центрально-Азиатском регионе после 2011 г. На основании результатов анализа с использованием ...
Added: April 16, 2020
Shkel S., Communist and Post-Communist Studies 2019 Vol. 52 No. 2 P. 169–176
The article analyzes authoritarian regimes within the post-Soviet territory in terms of
informal practices (clannishness, clientelism and patronage) and their characteristics used
by political leaders to form a power coalition. It has been argued that any of these informal
practices determine a power coalition of a certain size, which is consequential for regime
sustainability. Power coalitions formed on the ...
Added: February 20, 2020
Mitrokhina E., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2018 Vol. 12 No. 4 P. 106–121
Authoritarian regimes differ by the degree to which the leader is constrained in his ability to influence the decision-making process. It has been argued that unlimited executive can either lead to adverse economic policy outcomes or improve economic performance. In this work, I reassess the effect of executive constraints on economic performance. While most of ...
Added: December 14, 2018
Ivanov Y., Issaev L., Shishkina A., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков.Вып. 8.: Волгоград: Учитель, 2017. Гл. 7 С. 186–202.
Статья посвящена анализу реализуемых моделей транзита в государствах постсоветской Центральной Азии. В декабре 2016 г. центральноазиатские государства отпраздновали двадцатипятилетие своей независимости от СССР. За четверть века авторитарные режимы исчерпали возможности для новаций в рамках авторитаризма и сталкиваются с необходимостью транзита власти от нынешних правителей новому поколению лидеров. Поскольку в автократиях, в отличие от демократий, не ...
Added: August 7, 2018
О методике оценки текущего состояния и прогноза социальной нестабильности в странах Центральной Азии
Ivanov Y., Issaev L., Полис. Политические исследования 2019 № 2 С. 59–78
This paper examines sustainability factors of political regimes in Central Asia after the Arab Spring. According to the contemporary political notion, Central Asia consists of five states, viz. Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan. The countries of Central Asia have a number of similarities with the states of the Arab world which became the epicenter ...
Added: October 18, 2017
Korotayev A., Bilyuga S., Slinko E. et al., Cross-Cultural Research 2017 Vol. 51 No. 1 P. 26–50
In this article, we re-analyze the hypothesis that the relationship between the type of political regime and its political instability forms an inverted U shape. Following this logic, consistent democracies and autocracies are more stable regimes, whereas intermediate regimes (anocracies) display the lowest levels of political stability. We re-test this hypothesis using a data set ...
Added: November 30, 2016
Korotayev A., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2016 № 3 С. 31–52
The article attempts to test the hypothesis that consolidated democracies
and consecutive autocracies are more stable than intermediate regimes. The research
conducted by the authors, with the help of data from CNTS and Freedom
House, in general confirmed the presence of the U-curve relationship between
the type of regime and the level of socio-political instability. At the same time, ...
Added: October 15, 2016
Veselov D. A., В кн.: XVI Апрельская международная научная конференция по проблемам развития экономики и общества: в 4 кн.Кн. 1.: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2016. С. 477–487.
В настоящей работе предложена теоретико-игровая модель, объясняющая феномен, согласно которому переход к демократии в краткосрочном и среднесрочном периоде не всегда приводит к формированию институтов открытого доступа. Под институтами открытого доступа понимаются те институты, которые уравнивают в правах участников экономических рынков и снижают уровни барьеров входа на рынки. Согласно модели влияние политических институтов на барьеры входа ...
Added: October 15, 2015