• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Systemic Risk Transmission between Countries: Evidence from High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressions
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
October 14, 2026
At HSE University–St Petersburg, Experts Discuss How AI Changes Tourist Routes and Cultural Heritage
Neural networks are no longer simple travel assistants; now they decide what to include on the route and what to skip. Artificial intelligence changes how people perceive a place and shapes the image of tourist centres. At the II International Scientific and Practical Conference ’Information Technologies in the Preservation and Promotion of Cultural Heritage,’ researchers discussed who controls algorithmic solutions and in what ways, and whether authentic traditions get lost in them.
October 12, 2026
Road Injuries Leading Cause of Death Among Men Aged 10 to 39
Worldwide, road injuries are the leading cause of death among males aged 10–39. An international team of researchers reached this conclusion as part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, analysing data from 204 countries between 1990 and 2023. Their findings have been published in The Lancet Public Health, with HSE University Professor Vasily Vlassov listed among the collaborators.
October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Systemic Risk Transmission between Countries: Evidence from High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressions

Procedia Computer Science. 2025. No. 266. P. 447–455.
Shchepeleva M.

We investigate the transmission of systemic stress in a sample of selected advanced and emerging market economies for the period between August 2008 and June 2024. Using national SRISK indices, we estimate high-dimensional vector autoregressions and conduct Granger causality tests. We display the lead-lag linkages among the countries as a network and examine its topology. We find that Thailand, France, Singapore and the United States are the main transmitters of systemic financial risk. Thailand and Hong Kong appear the major receivers of systemic risk within the network. These results could be useful for policymakers responsible for the international coordination of macroprudential policies.

Research target: Economics and Management
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: network topologymacroprudential policySystemic risk systemic riskmacroprudential policyhigh-dimensional VARhigh-dimensional VARnetwork topology
Publication based on the results of:
Decision-Making in Socio-Economic, Political and Financial Spheres (2025)
Similar publications
Предел долга (государственный долг развитых стран — XXI век)
Бородаева В. А., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 10 С. 5–27
The paper offers a new perspective on the limit of government debt. It surveys the broad historical picture of the dynamics and character of government debt in the leading economies: the ratios of debt and debt service to GDP have risen to levels close to their half-century highs. In the regime that has taken shape ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Межрегиональные дисбалансы экономического роста в Китае
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2026 № 3 С. 197–223
Abstract. Long-standing differences in development levels between China’s coastal and inland provinces intensified during the 1980s–1990s, at the early stages of market reforms. In response, from the late 1990s the Сentral government began implementing major development initiatives such as the “Go West”, the “Revitalization of the Northeast,” and the “Rise of Central China,” while in ...
Added: October 15, 2026
A survey on selection of supply strategies in material requirements planning based on the assessments of safety stock levels
Lukinskiy V., Lukinsky V., Sokolov B. et al., Annual Reviews in Control 2026 No. 62 P. 1–15
Enterprises planning material requirements must account for multiple sources of uncertainty. Considering the impact of yield uncertainty is of prime importance to decision-makers. To mitigate the effects of random yield on the continuity of manufacturing operations, we propose establishing a reserve stock to prevent shortages due to defective items within safety stock levels. If no ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Лидеры АПК в ЭКГ- рейтинге ответственного бизнеса в России
Vukovic N., Krivokhizhin O., Антонова В. Д., АПК: Экономика, управление 2026 № 8 С. 89–95
One of the key roles is given to the agro-industrial complex in the global agenda of sustainable development. The leaders of the sustainable development of the agro-industrial complex identify the main trends and set standards for responsible business conduct in the industry. This article is devoted to the analysis of the leaders of responsible business ...
Added: October 14, 2026
Varieties of regional innovation systems around the world and catch-up by latecomers
Kim J., Lee K., Industrial and Corporate Change 2026 Vol. 35 No. 5 P. 1122–1152
This study represents one of the first attempts to develop a global typology of regional innovation systems (RIS) across both advanced and catching-up economies, identifying distinct pathways for regional technological catch-up. Utilizing United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) patent citation data from 33 regions worldwide over the period 2000–2017, we construct several RIS indicators, ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Knowledge management in future communities enhances smart city initiatives: path and mediation
Xu S., Yu H., Ren T. et al., Journal of Knowledge Management 2025 Vol. 29 No. 10 P. 3410–3436
Purpose This study aims to investigate the role of knowledge management in enhancing urban innovation within the context of smart cities, with a particular emphasis on the function of future communities as foundational units of knowledge-driven development. It aims to distinguish the respective contributions of knowledge acquisition and knowledge sharing as input mechanisms, while examining the ...
Added: October 13, 2026
Потребительские практики китайского среднего класса в контексте конфуцианских ценностей
Veselova L. S., Азия и Африка сегодня 2026 № 9 С. 38–48
The article examines the consumer practices of China’s middle class in the context of the transformation of Confucian values under the influence of market reforms, urbanization, the expansion of the domestic market, and the state ideology of contemporary China. The focus is on how traditional norms of family responsibility retain their normative significance while being ...
Added: October 12, 2026
Влияние санкционных шоков на техническую эффективность сельскохозяйственных предприятий: опыт молочного животноводства региона
Nikulina Y., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия EC "Economics". 2026. № 1.
This paper estimates the impact of the international sanctions of 2014 and 2022, as well as the food embargo, on the technical efficiency of agricultural enterprises. The assessment was carried out using panel data from agricultural enterprises specializing in dairy production in the Leningrad Region for the period 2010–2023, employing stochastic frontier analysis. It is ...
Added: October 11, 2026
Economic Globalization and Environmental Outcomes in Heterogeneous Panels: Composition, Technique, and Distributional Evidence from Shanghai Cooperation Organization Economies
Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences 2026
This study reassesses whether economic globalization is compatible with carbon mitigation across nine Shanghai Cooperation Organization economies over 1997 to 2024. A sequenced panel design is applied: pre-estimation diagnostics establish cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, and mixed integration orders; fixed effects with Driscoll and Kraay standard errors provides the preferred conditional mean estimate; Hansen threshold regression, ...
Added: October 11, 2026
Торговые ограничения как инструмент международного давления (на примере импортных поставок в Россию)
Biryukova O. V., США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура 2026 Т. 10 С. 37–50
The article examines the theoretical and practical aspects of the application of trade restrictions as a tool of international pressure using the case of import supplies to Russia. Special attention is paid to legal conflicts within the World Trade Organization (WTO) related to the application of national security exceptions (Article XXI of the GATT), and ...
Added: October 10, 2026
Управление проектами: учебник
М.: НИЦ Инфра-М, 2026.
This textbook synthesizes modern concepts and approaches in the field of project management and is designed for use in project management courses. The material is based on the recommendations of the International Project Management Association (IPMA) and international standards ISO 21500 and ISO 21502. It meets the requirements of the latest generation of federal state educational ...
Added: October 10, 2026
Человеко-машинная система анализа и улучшения качества условий проживания населения
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Distressed firms and loan guarantee programmes during the COVID-19 crisis
Bessonova E., Popova S., Fedulova M., Emerging Markets Review 2026 Vol. 75 Article 101564
To mitigate the shocks caused by the pandemic-related restrictions, many governments implemented extensive support measures for companies facing sharp declines in revenues. In Russia, loan guarantee programmes allowed many firms to apply for loans during the pandemic. As a result, the number of small loans soared. Participation in the loan guarantee programmes helped firms in ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Non-discriminatory storefront of digital platforms and ecosystems: Consumer experience and regulatory frameworks
Kuzminov Y., Koshel A., Kruchinskaia E., Russian Journal of Economics 2026 No. 12(3) P. 311–334
The expansion of digital platforms and ecosystems is reshaping consumption and the structure of modern markets. In the Russian context, a representative survey conducted by the authors indicates frequent online purchasing driven primarily by time savings, broader assortment and price accessibility. Platforms thus generate consumer benefits, including non-monetary gains that are not fully captured by ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Decision support system for improving the quality of life of the population
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Цифровые платформы в России: состояние, экономические эффекты и перспективы развития
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ. В основу обзора положены ежеквартальные опросы более 5 тыс. человек в возрасте от 16 лет и старше. Такие опросы Федеральная служба государственной статистики (Росстат) проводит во всех субъектах ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Modern models of international competitiveness of Big Tech corporations: internal drivers versus external shocks
Rastvortseva S., Tyushkevich Y., Salushkina Z. S., Journal of regional and international competitiveness 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 38–49
This paper examines the contemporary models of international competitiveness adopted by Big Tech corporations between 2010 and 2025. The study aims to identify the internal drivers underpinning the resilience of technological giants and to assess their capacity to withstand external shocks, including sanctions, geo-economic fragmentation, and regulatory shifts. To achieve this objective, the authors employ ...
Added: October 5, 2026
De Gruyter Handbook of Eurasian Societies
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives. This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMS‑HSE). Вып. 16
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Comparative Analysis of Stablecoin Architectural Features in Fragmented Regulatory Environments
Vlasov A., Egorov A., Karminsky A. M., FINTECH 2026 Vol. 5 No. 1 Article 21
Amidst the escalating geopolitical fragmentation of the global financial system, divergent stablecoin architectures are emerging. This study employs Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and introduces a formalized ‘Geopolitical Stablecoin’ (GPSC) model to conduct a systematic comparison of three representative cases: A quasi-sovereign asset within a coordinated closed-loop system, a commercial asset with global open-market circulation, and a ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Меры поддержки как дополнительный фактор биржевой стоимости отечественных банков
Банникова В. А., Виноградова О. С., Penikas H. I., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 9 С. 103–125
События 2022—2023 гг. сформировали условия для изучения квазиестественного эксперимента с целью оценить влияние мер поддержки Банка России на биржевую стоимость акций банков. Общий фон внешних событий воздействовал на всех участников фондового рынка. Однако по отношению к банкам было осуществлено дополнительное воздействие, которого не было для иных компаний, — это меры поддержки банков, принятые в 2022 ...
Added: September 9, 2025
О ключевых аспектах оценки эффективности макропруденциальной политики
Lapteva E., Pilnik N., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика 2025 Т. 41 № 3 С. 340–363
The article systematizes, synthesizes, and compares the results of studies aimed at modeling and assessing the effectiveness of macroprudential policy both at the level of individual countries and in a cross-country context. It provides an interdisciplinary review that integrates empirical findings with theoretical frameworks of macroprudential regulation, offering a novel analytical perspective on its effectiveness ...
Added: June 30, 2025
Predicting Systemic Risk in the Russian Financial Sector with Boosting Techniques
Shchepeleva M., Procedia Computer Science 2024 Vol. 242 P. 51–56
We test the predictive performance of different ensemble methods for forecasting systemic risk in Russia for the period 2008-2024. In contrast to the existing research on machine learning ensemble techniques, we find that conventional random forest works better for the Russian data. Based on this model, we additionally conduct variable importance analysis. We identify that ...
Added: June 17, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit