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Working paper

Towards a New Model of the US-Russian Relations: The Economic and Political Factors

The paper argues that while the current model of US-Russian relations, which the author defines as “selective cooperation against the background of strategic deterrence”, fully reflects their historic narrative and corresponds to the current preferences of the political establishments on both sides, it does not correspond to the major trends of global economy and international relations development. Kondratiev waves theory was selected to describe those trends and their impact on relations among states. According to the author, a sharp discrepancy between the current model of the US-Russia relations and what is demanded by the current Kondratiev wave trajectory results in gradual weakening of the sides and especially Russia in the International system, whose policies are in greatest breach with the Kondratiev wave conjuncture. Case study of US-Soviet relations was provided to depict the negative consequences of this discrepancy. The paper ends with arguing for a new model of the US-Russia relations and description of the one, which would be consistent with the Kondratiev waves cycles.