• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • Демографический прогноз для Киргизии до 2050 года
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2028
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
September 15, 2026
Immunity to Chaos: How Personal Resources Help Us Cope with the Challenges of a Turbulent World
International conflicts, crises and digital overload—the modern world puts our minds to the test every day. Traditional psychology often focuses on the consequences: anxiety, depression, and psychosomatic disorders. But what if we looked at the problem differently—through the lens of the resources that prevent us from breaking down? Psychological immunity is precisely this set of resources. Alena Zolotareva and her group, Psychological Immunity as a Resource for Positive Functioning, are developing an integrative model of this phenomenon, adapting diagnostic tools and preparing for large-scale empirical research. Why do psychologists need to collaborate with medical professionals, and how could their research transform preventive care in clinics and corporations?
September 11, 2026
How to Assess Students Knowledge in the Age of AI
A researcher at HSE University has proposed a flowchart to help lecturers decide how to assess students who use artificial intelligence. It shows where the use of AI should be restricted and where it can be incorporated into the learning process. The article has been published in IT Professional.
September 9, 2026
‘Balkan Hospitality Opens Doors: Studying Dialects on the Verge of Extinction
You cannot study spoken dialects from books. Instead, you need to go to a village, seek out its elders, and earn the trust of local residents before you can record hours of spontaneous stories. This is how Natalia Muravleva, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Humanities, conducts her research. Her internship in Serbia continued her long-standing study of dialects spoken by Macedonian settlers. In this interview, she discusses how diaspora cultural centres help researchers reach informants, why native speakers need to be interviewed only in their own language (otherwise, as she puts it, they may 'break'), and how a single field season helped her finalise her monograph. She also shares warm memories of autumn in Belgrade and of colleagues with whom grammar can be discussed in three languages at once.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Демографический прогноз для Киргизии до 2050 года

С. 214–244.
Denisenko M. B., Vasin S. A.
Language: Russian
Full text
Keywords: рождаемостьсмертностьmigrationмиграционный приростmortalityКиргизияfertilityKyrgyzstanдемографический прогнозpopulation projectioncohort-component methodкогортно-компонентный метод

In book

Демографическое развитие постсоветского пространства: сборник статей и аналитических материалов
Демографическое развитие постсоветского пространства: сборник статей и аналитических материалов
М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2018.
Similar publications
Репродуктивные намерения и разделение обязанностей в семье: эмпирическая оценка связи на российских данных
Zakharova S., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 4 С. 207–230
This article presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between Russians' reproductive intentions and the division of household chores, along with their satisfaction with it. The study draws on theoretical approaches linking fertility to the participation of men and women in domestic labor, and builds upon the methodology proposed in a study by Riederer and ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Дифференциация рождаемости в России в зависимости от уровня образования женщин
Chertenkov K., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 4 С. 80–89
В статье рассматривается дифференциация итоговой рождаемости в зависимости от уровня образования женщин. Используются данные Всероссийских переписей населения 2010 и 2020 гг., а также Всесоюзной переписи населения 1989 г. Применяются методы когортного анализа, включающие расчет среднего числа рожденных детей, доли бездетных и доли матерей, родивших трех и более детей, для реальных женских поколений 1930–1981 годов рождения. ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Долгосрочная трансформация модели рождаемости в России и демографическая политика в 2006–2024 гг
Zakharov S. V., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 429–447
This article examines changes in the quantum and structural characteristics of period and cohort fertility in Russia in the context of pro-natalist demographic policy pursued since 2006. The study assesses the significance of recent decades’ shifts for total fertility, the age profile of mothers, and their distribution by number of children born. The analysis draws ...
Added: July 7, 2026
New Russian Migrants in Armenia and Georgia: Challenges and Opportunities
Barsukova S., Denisova-Schmidt E., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Vol. 35 No. 1 P. 106–139
The Russo-Ukrainian military conflict has forced many people in both countries to leave their homes. Based on original data sets collected in the capitals of Armenia and Georgia in November and December 2023, including in-depth interviews with migrants and domestic experts as well as participant observation, this paper focuses on the recent migration wave from ...
Added: June 15, 2026
Спорные проблемы истории закрепощения и миграций в России конца XVI – первой половины XVII в.
Аракчеев В. А., Российская история 2024 № 1 С. 31–48
The article is a critical analysis of K.Y. Yerusalimsky's hypothesis and a polemic with him on the problems of enserfment and migration in Russia in the late XVI–first half of the XVII century. It is shown that the complex structure of Russian society predetermined nonlinear forms of enserfment of peasants. The understanding of such phenomena ...
Added: June 11, 2026
How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Limits to Tolerance: The Politicization of Liberal Values
Van de Wall B., Political Theory 2026
The defense of gay rights and other liberal values by some right-wing populists is often perceived as an opportunistic strategy to justify anti-Muslim policies. But this explanation for co-optation of liberal values by parties that are considered to be in conflict with liberalism circumvents a proper analysis of the phenomenon. I will therefore investigate this ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Миграция населения в регионах Ближнего Севера России во взаимосвязи с обеспеченностью населенных пунктов социальной инфраструктурой
Mkrtchyan N. V., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 1 С. 231–245
Objective of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Russian Near North (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure facilities and to analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with varying levels of provision of these facilities. The study is based on data collected from open ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Demographic Momentum and Fertility Responses to Pronatalist Policies: The Case of Ethnic Minorities in Russia
Kazenin K., Sergei Zakharov, Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article e70241
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Аллородительство как фактор сохранения высокой рождаемости в Тропической Африке
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Тенденции региональной дифференциации рождаемости при втором демографическом переходе в некоторых странах
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease. In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Forecasting the Birth Rate in Russia Based on Google Trends Search Query Statistics
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Рождение ребенка в возрасте получения профессионального образования в биографии россиянок 1995–1996 г.р.: факторы и следствия
Cherviakova A. A., Makarentseva A. O., Biryukova S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 1 С. 123–141
Novel measures in Russian family and demographic policy include support for women who have given birth while pursuing vocational education. This is driven by the government’s concerns about the postponement of motherhood, and by a desire to reduce the risks of economic vulnerability for this group of women with children. In this paper we examine ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Миграции населения российской Арктики: модели, маршруты, результаты
Фаузер В. В., Smirnov A., Арктика: экология и экономика 2020 № 4 С. 4–18
Population migration continues to be the main factor affecting the population dynamics in the Russian Arctic. The article discusses the theoretical provisions that reveal the essence of population migration, presents the main migration theories that explain the mobility of the population in the Arctic conditions. The object of the study is 75 urban and municipal ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Влияние пандемии на демографические процессы в Российской Арктике
Smirnov A., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2021 Т. 12 № 6 С. 258–274
Russia has achieved a high level of Internet connectivity and the use of digital technologies; this helps to accumulate and systematize huge amounts of population data. Modern challenges, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, require a more prompt and detailed analysis of the demographic situation. Understanding the information collected by digital platforms and services can improve ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Прогнозирование миграционных процессов методами цифровой демографии
Smirnov A., Экономика региона 2022 Т. 18 № 1 С. 133–145
The nature and intensity of migration processes are constantly changing. Demographic statistics are not suitable for obtaining up-to-date information and making timely decisions in the field of demographic and social policy. Thus, digital demography is becoming increasingly important, as this area of population research uses new methods and data sources resulting from the Internet expansion ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Цифровые следы населения как источник данных о миграционных потоках в российской Арктике
Smirnov A., Демографическое обозрение 2022 Т. 9 № 2 С. 42–64
The digitalization of the economy and public life has expanded the possibilities of studying the population using digital traces – information that accumulates in the digital environment. Using digital traces, the article explores the migration of the population of the Russian Arctic, a huge macro-region that has experienced a significant outflow of population over the ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Продолжительность жизни населения Севера России и потери от отдельных причин смерти
Smirnov A., Панарина И. А., Народонаселение 2025 Т. 28 № 4 С. 54–67
The article considers life expectancy of the population of the regions of Russian North in 1993–2023. Despite the large contribution of the northern territories to the economy, some of them remain among the most lagging in mortality rates. Using the Russian Fertility and Mortality database, the authors calculated the losses in life expectancy in the ...
Added: March 18, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit