?
Реконфигурация Мир-Системы и усиление рисков политической нестабильности
Гл. 1. С. 4–19.
In book
Т. 6. , М.: Учитель, 2015.
Korotayev A., Хайруллин Т. Р., Shelkovnikov A., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2025 № 1 С. 195–207
The article analyzes the Saudi-Emirati alliance formed after the events of the Arab Spring as a reaction to the strengthening of the Turkish-Qatari alliance. The common point of contact in the process of rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE was the fear and suspicion of the transnational organization Muslim Brotherhood supported by Qatar and ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev, Jameelah M. Musieva, Iberoamérica 2026 No. 1 P. 22–47
The main objective of this article is to analyze the transformation of the world order in the context of the transition to a multipolar system, in which the BRICS+ alliance (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) would play a key role. This article addresses the problem of leadership in the absence of an absolute ...
Added: April 13, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Goryushina E., Миллер А. И., Efremenko D. et al., Владикавказ: ВНЦ РАН; Цопанова А. Ю., 2025.
В материалах сборника рассматриваются теоретико-методологические и историко-антропологические исследования в области «политики памя- ти», как в пространстве мировой политики, так и на примере отдельного региона — Кавказа. Материалы сборника помогают понять, как «политика памяти» влияет на современные социально-политические процессы, проте- кающие в мире.
Издание предназначено для научных работников, преподавателей, аспирантов, студентов, а также для всех читателей, интересующихся ...
Added: March 24, 2026
Grigoryev L. M., Buryak E., Golyashev A., Вопросы экономики 2014 Т. 2014 № 9 С. 30–52
Социально-экономический кризис на Украине длится уже давно, что привело к открытому социально-политическому конфликту. Цели постсоветской трансформации не получили одобрения населения Украины, у граждан постоянно возникало чувство разочарования, пропадали доверие к власти и вера в будущее страны. Роль денежных переводов трудовых мигрантов нередко занижают, хотя личное потребление и стабильность в стране во многом связаны именно с ...
Added: March 5, 2026
Ганин А. В., Славянский мир в третьем тысячелетии 2024 Т. 19 № 1-2 С. 42–53
The article is dedicated to the biography of Colonel N.F. Sokolovsky, a mysterious historical fi gure who played a signifi cant role in the Russian Civil War. In 1919, Sokolovsky was a military expert serving in the Kiev Provincial Military Commissariat and the People’s Commissariat for Military Affairs of the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. At ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Лебедев С. В., Novik N., Suslov D., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2026 № 129 С. 185–206
The article examines the economic logic of US President Donald Trump’s foreign policy and its impact on the transformation of transatlantic relations, the collective security system, and Russia’s strategic positioning in the context of the redefinition of US global priorities. The authors proceed from the hypothesis that D. Trump’s foreign policy course does not represent ...
Added: February 14, 2026
Royce D. P., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 1 P. 15–41
Drawing on official public communications, memoirs, and declassified/leaked documents, this article contends that Cosmopolitan-Liberalism, and a desire to contain/weaken Russia, drove the U.S. to expand NATO into the Baltics, Ukraine, and Georgia (BUG). This Cosmopolitan-Liberal Anti-Russian BUG Expansion was latent from the moment that the USSR collapsed, was officially adopted on 18 October 1993, and ...
Added: January 5, 2026
Гринин Л.Е., Коротаев А.В., Век глобализации 2025 № 4 С. 188–202
Although the world is being divided into zones in this regard, contradictions between developed and developing countries have increased, and globalization is rolling back, nevertheless, the common goals that were prioritized by most countries of the World System until recently have not gone away. In the worst case, their implementation will be delayed for some ...
Added: November 27, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Медведев И. А., Ufimtsev A. et al., Социологическое обозрение 2025 Т. 24 № 1 С. 71–105
One of the most important trends noted by researchers in the revolutionary events of recent decades is the rapid increase in the share of unarmed revolutionary uprisings and, accordingly, a decrease in the share of armed revolutionary insurgencies. The study of this trend is of great importance. This work continues previous research on unarmed revolutionary ...
Added: November 13, 2025
Л.Е. Гринин, А.В. Коротаев, Полис. Политические исследования 2025 № 6 С. 160–172
In 2001, after the publication of the article by J. According to Goldstone's “Towards the fourth generation of revolutionary theory”, a lot of new things have appeared in the approaches of researchers of revolutions in the 1990s, which means that we can talk about the formation of a new - fourth – generation of researchers, ...
Added: October 24, 2025
Romanova T. A., Балтийский регион 2025 Т. 17 № 3 С. 4–22
The start of the Special Military Operation (SMO) created a conceptual vacuum in the European Union’s policy toward Russia. By classifying Moscow as a strategic threat, Brussels curtailed all contacts with it, instead prioritizing sanctions and support for Ukraine. The aim of this article is to examine how decolonization, understood as a socio-political category, has ...
Added: October 3, 2025
К прогнозированию вероятности невооруженной революционной дестабилизации методами машинного обучения
Медведев И. А., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 2 С. 108–141
The authors provide a broad overview of the main applications for machine learning methods in political sociology. They describe history of the transition from simple regression models to complex machine learning models. The reasons for and benefits of this transition are discussed. The authors identify the main uses of machine learning models in related disciplines and ...
Added: August 1, 2025
Trenin D., Коммерсантъ Власть 2025
Вербальные шараханья нынешнего американского президента — это фирменный стиль Дональда Трампа. Их нужно отслеживать, но не переоценивать: ни в более благоприятную, ни в менее благоприятную для нас сторону. Надо также понимать, что Трамп не «царь» Америки и что «революция Трампа», о которой говорили в начале года, похоже, сменилась эволюцией самого Трампа в сторону сближения с ...
Added: July 23, 2025
Nisnevich Y. A., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2025 № 2 С. 110–129
Th is article explores the world of authoritarian rule in the institutional paradigm. It structures the world of authoritarian rule on the basis of religion highlighting clusters of Muslim, Christian and Buddhist states, as well as a cluster of states in which followers of any religion do not constitute an absolute majority and a commu ...
Added: May 22, 2025
Vladimir B., Современная Европа 2025 № 2(130) С. 65–78
Thе article examines the specifics of the EU countries’ practices of insuring foreign investment from political risks through the lens of international development agenda. It consecutively identifies the institutional aspects of relevant activities, objectives and conditions of foreign investment insurance or guarantees, scale and geographical scope of coverage, as well as the trends that have ...
Added: May 14, 2025
Krivushin I., Glaser M., Journal of Eurasian Studies 2025 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 3–19
The article begins with a definition of some contesting views about the reality of Russian support for the “Special military operation” (SMO), hypotheses, and research approach. Then we present the substantive arguments about the attitude of Russian residents to the SMO and the reliability of public opinion polls results. After this we provide suggestive analyzes ...
Added: March 3, 2025
Nisnevich Y. A., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2025 № 1 С. 79–92
Th e article is devoted to the study of the world of authoritarian rule in the institutional paradigm. Th e structuring of this world according to a number of features is presented. Th e fi rst part of the article examines the structuring of the authoritarian world according to religion. It distinguishes clusters of Muslim, ...
Added: February 16, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Экономическая социология 2025 Т. 26 № 1 С. 52–89
The article tests several hypotheses about the impact of wealth and income inequality, as well as inequality in human capital, on the risks of armed and unarmed revolutions. Using the revolutionary destabilization database from the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis (CSRA) at HSE University, along with data collected by Mark Beissinger, the study analyzes ...
Added: January 29, 2025
Trenin D., Профиль 2024
Есть правило: в мирное время готовиться к войне, а в военное время – думать об организации мира. Сейчас, пока конфликт на Украине не завершен, наши мысли – о победе. Она, мы уверены, придет. Но пора уже сейчас начать размышлять о последующем за ней мире. Перефразируя известное высказывание Сталина, можно утверждать: бандеры приходят и уходят, а ...
Added: December 21, 2024
Royce D. P., Россия в глобальной политике 2024 Т. 22 № 3 С. 210–234
Экспансию НАТО на Западе часто представляют как ответ на угрозу российской агрессии, либо характеризуют как проблему курицы и яйца, когда невозможно отделить причину от следствия. Обе точки зрения неверны. В случае с Украиной – самой важной из всех целей блока – стремление Соединённых Штатов к расширению альянса возникло практически сразу после провозглашения независимости Украины, когда ...
Added: December 17, 2024
Vladimir B., США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура 2024 № 11 С. 93–110
The paper tracks the trajectory of transformation in the U.S. model of insuring development investments against political risks. First it outlines a novel normative context for providing political risk insurance (PRI), which took shape in the United States in 2018. Then, it compares the numerical parameters of insurance activities by the U.S. International Development Finance ...
Added: November 13, 2024
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Век глобализации 2024 № 4 С. 20–34
The article formulates the author's vision and some forecasts regarding: 1) the prospects for the development of the African continent in the future due to its rapid development and increasing role in the World System; 2) the geopolitical rivalry of the leading powers in Africa in the present and in the future; 3) the directions ...
Added: November 8, 2024
Издательство "Учитель", 2021.
Revolutions have always played a significant role in the life of societies, but this role has become especially important since the XVI century. In other words, since the early Modern period, the role of revolutions as a driving force of progress has increased dramatically. However, in the following centuries, their role in the transformation of ...
Added: October 8, 2024