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Факторы, влияющие на вероятность вторых и последующих рождений в России
С. 212–213.
Biryukova S., Nurimanova I.
The paper presents brief results of research devoted to the factors of high parity fertilty in Russia. The analysis is based in the 2004, 2007 and 2011 Russian GGS data.
Publication based on the results of:
In book
М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2015.
Kazenin K., Sergei Zakharov, Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article e70241
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease.
In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Cherviakova A. A., Makarentseva A. O., Biryukova S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 1 С. 123–141
Novel measures in Russian family and demographic policy include support for women who have given birth while pursuing vocational education. This is driven by the government’s concerns about the postponement of motherhood, and by a desire to reduce the risks of economic vulnerability for this group of women with children. In this paper we examine ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Smirnov A., Лыткина У. В., Чупрова Е. А., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 194–211
The North of Russia comprises cities and districts that differ in fertility and reproductive behavior; this fact makes the territory an interesting object for demographic research. The paper considers fertility in the North of Russia at the regional and municipal levels, both in conditional and in real generations. Such an approach helps to identify spatial ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Vakulenko E., Evgrafova R., I. A. Trofimenko, Population Research and Policy Review 2026 Vol. 45 Article 19
This research focuses on analyzing the relationship between credit obligations, including mortgages, housing conditions, and the probability of having a child in the family in Russia. The research novelty lies in a complex approach towards analyzing the association between mortgages and reproductive behavior. A longitudinal household survey covering the period 2007–2022 was used. We estimated ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Демографическое обозрение 2025 Т. 12 № 4 С. 100–122
Formal demographic analysis, including the construction of life tables, standardization of indicators, decomposition of changes, and modeling of demographic processes, requires complex calculations and data manipulation. Despite the advances in methods, many of them have not yet been implemented as ready-to-use, convenient tools in modern statistical environments. To address this issue, we present the demor ...
Added: December 30, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025
Vlassov V., BMJ Evidence-Based Medicine 2025 Vol. 30 P. A10–A11
World wide reduction of fertility below the threshold of substitution lead to the shrinkage of the populations, ageing of populations and multiple undesired consequences including the collapse of the pension systems. Countries with the large and underpopulated territory (Russia) and/or quick ageing and population reduction (China) share the pessimistic vision of the instability and vulnerability. ...
Added: September 22, 2025
Azarnert L. V., Journal of Demographic Economics 2025 Vol. 91 No. 4 P. 683–700
I study the effect of educational policy in the host economy on human capital accumulation and growth. The analysis is performed in a two-country growth model with endogenous fertility. I show that a provision of additional free educational services for immigrant children can increase the attractiveness of migration for lower-skilled individuals, which can outweigh the ...
Added: August 4, 2025
Larionov A., Studies on Russian Economic Development 2025 Vol. 36 No. 4 P. 585–592
This study identifies factors that affect the target reproductive behavior of the Russian population. As a benchmark of target reproductive behavior, we used the expressed commitment to having three or more children. An econometric assessment of the factors that determine target reproductive behavior of the Russian population is provided with a breakdown into men and ...
Added: July 26, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Journal of Globalization Studies 2025 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 47–60
Population aging is expected to affect large parts of the world in the coming decades, leading to profound changes in various social, economic and financial institutions and infrastructure networks. Raising the old-age retirement
(pension) age has been the most common response of the affected countries to this challenge, but it has proven neither sufficient nor popular ...
Added: July 8, 2025
Andreev E. M., Churilova E., Rodina O. et al., Демографическое обозрение 2025 Т. 12 № 2 С. 87–107
The decline of the total fertility rate observed in Russia since the second half of the 2010s has caused great concern among policy makers and public opinion, and resulted in proposals for measures to increase fertility through its rejuvenation. This paper, based on official fertility statistics with the use of the 2020 Census data and ...
Added: June 30, 2025
Vakulenko E., Evgrafova R., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 6 С. 137–153
This study investigates the relationship between reproductive intentions and mortgage debt among the Russian population. Using data from the “Person, family, society” telephone survey conducted in Spring 2020, we estimate binary choice probit models employing instrumental variables (IV) to address potential endogeneity between the variables under consideration. An instrument for mortgage status was constructed using ...
Added: April 28, 2025
Denisenko M. B., Kvasha E. A., Mkrtchyan N. V. et al., В кн.: Население постсоветских стран: тенденции, прогнозы, межпоколенческие трансферты.: М.: Прометей, 2024. Гл. 1.3 С. 93–126.
The results of the 2023 expert survey of demographers on 4 scenarios of the country's macroeconomic development on trends fertility, mortality and migration are analyzed. The results of the population forecast are presented, based on scenarios of changes in fertility, mortality and migration, developed based on the results of this expert survey. ...
Added: March 5, 2025
Kazenin K., Zakharov S. V., Billingsley S., / Series SRRD_2024: 51 "Stockholm Research Reports in Demography". 2024. No. 51.
The paper considers the impact of the Maternal Capital policy, the pronatalist measure introduced in Russia in 2007, upon fertility of Russia’s ethnic minorities. Russia’s Maternal Capital policy increased total fertility rates after its start, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon ...
Added: January 29, 2025
Казенин К. И., Mitrofanova E., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2024 Т. 6 С. 275–296
The paper examines the results of a quantitative survey of attitudes towards childbearing among people living in those parts of Russia, which were characterized by a more noticeable increase in the birth rate than in the country as a whole, as well as a younger age of motherhood in the 2010s. These are the Northern ...
Added: January 12, 2025
Kazenin K., Mitrofanova E., Демографическое обозрение 2024 Т. 11 № 4 С. 189–213
The paper compares fertility parameters of two ethnic groups of Russia: Kabardians of the Republic of Kabardino-Balkaria (North Caucasus) and Russians of that region and the neighboring Stavropol region. This comparison allows an assessment of the specific aspects of inter-ethnic fertility differences that may persist among ethnic groups which have reached the final stages of ...
Added: January 12, 2025
Ростовская Т. К., Васильева Е. Н., Никольский В. С., Высшее образование в России 2024 Т. 33 № 7 С. 15–31
The research relevance of the of the Institute of student families is growing in the Russian Federation. Firstly, a student family is an object of social protection since the conditions of its functioning are associated with a number of problems. Therefore, resources are needed to form or restore well-being. Secondly, due to the decrease in ...
Added: October 1, 2024
Fertility, Marriage Age, and Contraceptive use in Central Asia and North Africa: A Comparative Study
Yassir Ali Mohammed, Woman in Russian Society 2024 No. 2 P. 55–74
Цель данной работы - сравнить показатели рождаемости, первого возраста вступления в брак, использования контрацепции в странах Центральной Азии и Северной Африки: Кыргызстане, Таджикистане, Узбекистане и Казахстане. Египет, Алжир, Тунис и Марокко соответственно.
Результаты показывают, что рождаемость в Марокко и Кыргызстане различна, в Марокко самый высокий возраст вступления в первый брак, а в Кыргызстане - самый низкий. ...
Added: June 25, 2024