Сравнение прогнозной силы интегрального индекса финансовой стабильности, построенного с использованием «обучения» и в его отсутствии: пример Израиля
The paper presents an analysis of the G20 summit held under the French Presidency in Cannes on November 3rd and 4th 2011. The author assesses the summit agenda and decisions made by the leaders in the key areas of coordination, including the strategy for growth and jobs, reform of the international monetary system, actions to restore financial stability and strengthen the medium-term foundations for growth, deepening of financial sector reform, fight against corruption, investing for global growth. The paper highlights the challenge of implementing two agendas: the planned and the anti crisis one. The conclusion sums up the strengths and weaknesses of the summit and the G20 summitry, reviews the features of the G20 institutionalization, makes a forecast for the sequence of presidencies after 2015, and puts forward brief recommendations for the Russian G20 presidency in 2013. The publication is prepared within the framework of a joint project of Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) Project and International Organizations Research Institute of the NRU HSE "Increasing Effectiveness of Russia's Participation in G8, G20 and BRICS in accordance with Russian Priorities and National Interests".
Monograph by S. Khasyanova «Upgrading Banking Regulation and Supervision in Russia in the line with International Standards» is devoted to the study of the development of banking regulation and supervision in Russia on the basis of international principles and standards. The process of implementation of international principles and standards of banking regulation in the Russian Federation and the following consequences are analyzed in the context of financial stability. Particular attention is paid to macroeconomic regulation and development of prudential regulations and requirements for banks, taking into account banking sector peculiarities. The regulation of systemic risk, identification of systemically important banks and applied to them a particular regulatory regime were investigated. The Deposit Insurance System and its role in enhancing the stability of banks as well as its directions of improvement are also considered in the study. The book is intended for professionals in the field of finance and banking, teachers and students of universities’ economic and financial departments.
Authorities of the state regulation, creditors and investors are interested in getting reliable information about the banking sector activities. The procedure of bank financial soundness and accountability evaluation is carried out by supervision authorities as well as by international and national rating agencies. The analysis of the methodologies of bank accountability evaluation and forecasting in Russia shows the following results. The Bank of Russia makes decisions on banks financial soundness based on financial coefficients of different groups; the calculations are grounded on the official bank statements. Apart from financial indicators, rating agencies evaluate qualitative parameters of the bank activities. The common problem of the bank financial accountability analysis in Russia is the lack of use of the forecasting methods predicting the financial statement of banks and the probability of default. As a result, the problem-free banks corresponding to the demands of the supervision authorities on standards were considered to be problematic during the crisis. The aim of this research is the dynamic analysis of the main indicators of the Russian banks activities at the different stages of the economic cycle in order to identify the indicators of the early bankruptcy prediction and the opportunity to forecast the changes in the bank financial statement.
The paper explores a suitability of higher education quality measurement from student's point of view, and analyses results of interviewing of students from engineering specialties in Perm universities. Nonlinear Principal Components Analysis (NLPCA) in interpretation of Gifi system was used as the tool for data processing. It takes into account a dissimilar statistical nature of questionnaire indicators. The method can be very promising for various socio-economic researches.
The monograph deals with the issues of macroprudential policy that is organically linked to the system of international banking regulation. The author looks into interrelationship between macro- and micro-prudential regulatory mechanisms, explores the role of macroprudential regulation in minimization of systemic risks, as well as the extent to which the effectiveness of macroprudential tools and techniques will help ensure stress resilience of the banking sector. The author also delves into the most disputable topics on the tradeoff between macroprudential regulation and monetary policy. Without doubt the monograph is a landmark book that expands the most complex topic of macroprudential policy in the post-crisis recovery, as well as the specifics of macroprudential regulation in the post-crisis banking regulation paradigm shift.