CAPM-Like Model and the Special Form of the Utility Function
The variance and semivariance are traditional measures of asset returns volatility since Markowitz proposed the market portfolio theory. Well known models for expected asset returns were developed under assumptions of mean-variance or mean-semivariance investor’s behavior. But numerous papers provided arguments against these models because of unrealistic assumptions and controversial empiric evidence. More complicated models with downside risk measures experienced difficulties with applications. The new model based on the special form of the investor’s utility function is proposed in this paper.
This paper contains the research of neuroeconomics results such as formulation and analysis of Ultimatum game (see Alan G. Sanfey, 2003) and neuromarketing (see Patrick Renvoisé, 2005). As a result the rational behavior of consumer during the decision-making of consume object prejudiced. In particular the axiom of reflexiveness of the rational utility theory was disproved. That axiom maintains that the fixed set of goods is not worse that itself. A conclusion that consumer choice based on the utility criterion depends not only on the set of goods but on the consume environment was made. The hypothesis of irrational behavior allowed to formalize floating utility criterion and correlation between the basket of products utility and consume environment during the consumer decision-making. Based on floating utility criterion the problem of optimal consumer’s budget distribution in conditions of integral utility maximization on limited time interval and consideration of the predicted environment factors value posed. Then the problem of intertemporal consumer choise for floating criterion was posed. The solution analysis of that problems had allowed to draw a conclusion of a significant influence of the predicted environment factors value exactness on an optimal solution and a dependence of that exactness on a consumer satisfaction.
We develop a model of asset pricing and hedging for interconnected financial markets with frictions – transaction costs and portfolio constraints. The model is based on a control theory for random fields on a directed graph. Market dynamics are described by using von Neumann – Gale dynamical systems first considered in connection with the modelling of economic growth [13,24]. The main results are hedging criteria stated in terms of risk-acceptable portfolios and consistent price systems, extending the classical superreplication criteria formulated in terms of equivalent martingale measures.
The paper suggests a new --- to the best of the author's knowledge --- characterization of Pareto-optimal decisions for the case of two-dimensional utility space which is not supposed to be convex. The main idea is to use the angle distances between the bisector of the first quadrant and points of utility space. A necessary and sufficient condition for Pareto optimality in the form of an equation is derived. The first-order necessary condition for optimality in the form of a pair of equations is also obtained.
Overvaluation on financial markets, high price volatility and quite rapid reduction of emerging markets towards an investment behavior field in terms of predictive estimation and forecast of further market changes. Hereby decision-making basis is a personal investment understanding and, due to favorable business climate, could build up the growth of irrational exuberance and speculative bubbles on financial markets.
This study models Market Certainty Index as a measure of asset overpricing and market overvaluation in terms of a speculative bubble concept. The results also provide insights of how to enhance the facility of overpriced assets studies at non-transparent economies or emerging markets.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.