• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • О некоторых социально-демографических факторах интенсивности антиправительственных демонстраций: доля молодежи в населении, урбанизация и протесты
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
June 5, 2026
Neural Network Maps as a Method for Constructing Mathematical Models
Scientists from HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and the Institute of Physics Belgrade, Serbia, are jointly exploring the application of machine learning techniques and neural networks to the study of nonlinear dynamics. Natalya Stankevich, Leading Research Fellow at the Laboratory of Topological Methods in Dynamics of the Faculty of Informatics, Mathematics, and Computer Science at HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod, spoke to the HSE News Service about this international project.
June 5, 2026
‘In the Age of Technology, It Is Interesting to Look into the Past and Think about What We Can Take from It
Polina Tabakova decided to apply for a Philology degree at HSE in Nizhny Novgorod because she grew up in Mari El and did not want to move far away from the Russian forests. In an interview for the Young Scientists of HSE University project, she spoke about the genre of the campus novel, the existential drama of Kolobok, and a blackout version of Eugene Onegin.
June 5, 2026
HSE Scientists Develop Method to Compress Large Language Models Without Losing Quality
Researchers from the AI and Digital Science Institute at the HSE Faculty of Computer Science have developed a new compression method for large language models such as GPT and LLaMA that reduces their size by 25–36% without additional training or significant loss of accuracy. This is the first approach to use mathematical transformations—specifically, rotations of model weights—to make models more amenable to compression with structured matrices. The study results have been published in ACL Findings 2025. The code is available on GitHub.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

О некоторых социально-демографических факторах интенсивности антиправительственных демонстраций: доля молодежи в населении, урбанизация и протесты

Социологическое обозрение. 2021. Т. 20. № 3. С. 98–128.
Korotayev Andrey, Sawyer Patrick, Gladyshev Maxim, Romanov Daniil, Shishkina Alisa

Demographic changes associated with the transition from traditional to modern economies underlie many modern theories of protest formation. Both the level of urbanization and the “Youth Bulge” effect have proven to be particularly reliable indicators for predicting protest events. However, given that in the course of economic development these processes often occur simultaneously, it seems logical to put forward the hypothesis that the combined effect of urbanization growth and an increase in the number of young people will be a more relevant factor for predicting protests. Our study of cross-national time series from 1950 to 2016 shows that the combined effect of these two parameters is an extremely strong predictor of anti-government protests in a single country, even more so than traditional indicators such as democratization, per capita GDP, and the level of education.

Research target: Mathematics Computer Science Social Sciences Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Language: Russian
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: экономическое развитиеeconomic developmentсоциальные движенияурбанизацияurbanizationпротестыprotestssocial movementsмолодежный бугорyouth bulge
Publication based on the results of:
Reconfiguration of the regional world order in the "Afrasian" zone of instability (2021)
Similar publications
Wave dynamics within the Whitham-Ostrovsky equation
Flamarion M. V., Pelinovsky E., Nonlinear Dynamics 2026 Vol. 114 Article 784
In this article, we investigate wave packet and solitary wave dynamics in the Whitham–Ostrovsky (WO) equation. By means of a multiple-scales expansion, we formally derive a nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) equation governing the envelope evolution.The corresponding modulational stability diagram is then obtained using the Lighthill criterion. We show that sufficiently large values of the low-frequency dispersive term render ...
Added: June 5, 2026
Научно-техническая политика: практики ведущих стран
Gershman M., Brambila F., Bredikhin S. V. et al., М.: ИСИЭЗ ВШЭ, 2026.
The monograph presents the results of a comprehensive analysis of trends in science and technology policy, as well as strategies and practices of public administration in this sphere in foreign countries, conducted by the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (ISSEK) of the National Research University Higher School of Economics. Current global trends in ...
Added: June 5, 2026
Некоммерческие организации в странах БРИКС: структура сектора и особенности развития
Klimov I., Gavrilov K., Zabolotsky A. et al., BRICS Expert Council-Russia, 2026.
This study was prepared on the initiative of the BRICS Civil Society Council with the aim of a systematic analysis of the sector of non-profit organizations (NPOs) in the countries of the association. As of February 2025, the BRICS includes ten states: Brazil, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, China, UAE, Russia, Ethiopia, South Africa. Within the framework ...
Added: June 5, 2026
The non-profit sector in the BRICS countries: current structure and development trends. Executive Summary
Klimov I., Chepeleva M., Gavrilov K. et al., Civil BRICS Council, 2026.
This research study was conducted at the initiative of the Civil BRICS Council for the purpose of performing a systemic analysis of the non-profit sector (hereinafter, the ‘NPO sector’), encompassing both non-profit organizations (NPOs) and non-governmental organizations (NGOs), in each of the constituent member countries of BRICS. Since February 2025, BRICS has consisted of 10 member states: Brazil, China, ...
Added: June 5, 2026
Развитие малых городов России: «низовые» агенты активизации социального потенциала устойчивости
Недосека Е. В., Минина В. Н., Иванов С. А., Экономическая социология 2026 Т. 27 № 1 С. 125–152
The socio-economic situation in small towns in Russia has long been at the center of the management agenda. The contradictory nature of support measures for such settlements lies in attempts to focus on the economic and managerial aspects of their efficiency. At the same time, both scientific literature and management practice pay insufficient attention to the typology of economic activity ...
Added: June 4, 2026
Объективна ли мораль? Классификация методов измерения обыденных метаэтических представлений
Mikhaleva V., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2026 Т. 35 № 1 С. 36–70
This article investigates and systematizes methods for measuring folk beliefs about the objectivity of morality. The relevance of the topic stems from the growing interest in understanding how ordinary people, without philosophical training, perceive the nature of moral norms and their objectivity. Based on an analysis of existing approaches to measuring folk metaethical claims, the ...
Added: June 4, 2026
On structural stability of 3-diffeomorphisms with the Smale solenoid attractor–repeller dynamics
Medvedev T. V., Pochinka O., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 6 Article 063107
We consider 3-diffeomorphisms with source–sink dynamics where Smale solenoids play the role of the source and the sink (NSSS-diffeomorphisms). It is known that such diffeomorphisms exist only on lens spaces. On the 3-sphere, every NSSS-diffeomorphism is associated with an exchangeable braid. An exchangeable braid with the strand number n was constructed for each n   3 in such a way ...
Added: June 4, 2026
Сопоставление стратегий стран-лидеров разработки проблем искусственного интеллекта – США и Китая – со стратегией России
Fonotov A., Kosychev A., Управление наукой: теория и практика 2026 Т. 8 № 1 С. 12–31
The study compares the national artificial intelligence (AI) strategies of the United States, China and Russia, assessing their substantive completeness and governance logics. It employs a hybrid framework that combines governance approaches (anticipatory, reflexive, experimentalist and tentative) with a content analysis of the structures of the strategies. The results show that the United States relies ...
Added: June 4, 2026
Proceedings of the 43rd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2026)
Seul: PMLR, 2026.
Added: June 4, 2026
A model exhibiting all possible types of hyperbolic chaos on the 2-torus
Kazakov A., Shilov O. M., Mints D. et al., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 6 Article 063112
We study hyperbolic chaotic dynamics for maps of a two-dimensional torus. We introduce a two-parameter family of diffeomorphisms which, as we show, demonstrates all types of hyperbolic chaotic dynamics that can appear in the two-dimensional case. In addition, we describe all the bifurcations responsible for the transitions between these chaotic regimes. ...
Added: June 4, 2026
Динамика антироссийских санкций на примере СПГ и нефти
Entina E., Nadzharov A., Мелоян Т. Х. et al., Российский совет по международным делам (РСМД) 2026
Спустя четыре года с введения недружественными странами полномасштабных санкционных ограничений против России содержательная сторона тематики международный антироссийских рестрикций представляется хорошо изученной. Отечественные и зарубежные исследовательские коллективы создали обширные базы данных ограничений, выявили стратегии ухода/присутствия иностранных компаний, изучили стратегии адаптации России, недружественных, третьих стран, идентифицировали трансформацию глобальных цепочек. В контексте этих исследований меньше внимания уделялось механизмам ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Динамика распространенности потребления табака и никотина, пассивного курения среди взрослого населения Российской Федерации: репрезентативные национальные исследования 2009-2024 гг.
Салагай О. О., Сахарова Г. М., Антонов Н. С. et al., Медицина 2026 Т. 14 № 2 С. 42–57
A global step in the fight against tobacco was the adoption of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control in 2003, which includes the organization of monitoring of the prevalence of tobacco consumption. The main condition for monitoring is its organization based on representative surveys of the population and its individual groups, as well as ...
Added: June 3, 2026
How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
«(Не)внезапное насилие»: почему демократии могут жестко подавлять протесты
Клестов Д. А., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2025 Т. 119 № 4 С. 73–106
The article examines the phenomenon of extraordinary police violence in democratic states, which manifested during several protest waves in recent years. Drawing on protests against inequality in Chile and anti-lockdown protests in the Netherlands and Australia, the author shows that even consolidated democracies may witness police resort to disproportionate force. Each case is analyzed through ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Возможности применения социологической теории интеллектуальных движений к исследованию институционализации российского движения за восстановительное правосудие
Грудников Н. С., Вестник Томского государственного университета. Философия. Социология. Политология 2025 № 88 С. 165–178
This article describes the Russian restorative justice movement using the sociological theory of intellectual movements by S. Frickel and N. Gross. By using the heuristic possibilities offered by this theory, it was possible to construct a historical and sociological reconstruction of the emergence, formation and institutionalization of the Russian restorative justice movement. This movement was ...
Added: May 7, 2026
Социологическая теория интеллектуальных движений С. Фрикеля и Н. Гросса
Грудников Н. С., Социология науки и технологий 2026 Т. 17 № 1 С. 241–255
This article examines the key tenets of the theory of scientific/intellectual movements (SIMs) developed by Scott Frickel and Neil Gross, while demonstrating its connection to the recent interdisciplinary field of Science and Technology Studies (STS). Until recently, sociology lacked a theory with a universal explanatory power for analyzing intellectual movements. The Frickel — Gross framework ...
Added: May 7, 2026
Новые возможности анализа революций: представление базы данных революций XXI века
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Весна переоценки: как меняется видение мировой экономики международными организациями
Grigoryev L. M., Современная мировая экономика 2024 Т. 2 № 1 С. 23–44
In 2024, a series of reports from international and private research institutions offered a cautious and rational analysis of the global economic situation. The complicated economic growth of 2011-2019 was followed by the turmoil of 2020-2023. In the midst of geopolitical conflicts, the global economy has entered a phase of uneven recovery. The current situation ...
Added: March 22, 2026
Рассуждая о специфике северных российских городов
Zamyatin D., Zamyatina N., Разумова И. А. et al., Этнографическое обозрение 2026 № 1 С. 35–74
В публикации обсуждаются вопросы, поднятые в  статье Ю.П.  Шабаева и  К.В.  Истомина “Пространства, символы и идентичности в городах Российского Севера”, где авторами предпринимается попытка антропологического анализа процессов урбанизации на севере России. В  дискутируемой статье авторы, опираясь на  данные официальной статистики, материалы СМИ, результаты полевых наблюдений и опросов населения в 2006–2023 гг., рассматривают культурную специфику советского и постсоветского северного города, городские образы и ...
Added: March 3, 2026
Conceptualizing student movements in Bangladesh post-2013: a qualitative and comparative case study of the Quota Reform Movement and the Road Safety Movement
Ghosh S. C., Social Identities 2023 Vol. 29 No. 6 P. 534–554
Despite the presence of mass grievances and moral indignation against the political elite and the monied class, the social movements in Bangladesh in the last decade, albeit very few, have failed to transform the increasingly authoritarian and claustrophobic political milieu. In fact, the nation has not seen that many movements, notwithstanding serious mass grievances on social, political, and economic issues. This ...
Added: February 27, 2026
Цивилизационные коды экономического роста: сравнительная модель и прогноз ВВП
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Экономическое будущее Европы
Bratersky M., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2026 № 1 С. 99–118
Since 2008, the European Union has faced serious economic difficulties. Some of the causes were external (the global financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic), while others were generated internally (for example, the 2009 debt crisis and rising production costs since 2022). Typically, the EU’s economic problems are analyzed in isolation, as a series of unrelated events. ...
Added: February 14, 2026
Природные ресурсы, этнополитические конфликты и факторы риска устойчивого развития Демократической Республики Конго
Коротаев А.В., Черноморченко И.Ю., Якубчук А. С. et al., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2025 Т. 27 № 4 С. 833–847
The study aims to identify the mechanisms through which natural resources become a factor of political destabilization in the Democratic Republic. Congo (DRC). The methodology is based on an interdisciplinary systematic approach combining political science, demographic, economic and environmental analysis, as well as case and content analysis of specific conflicts (Bateke, Conflict in East Kivu). ...
Added: January 12, 2026
Влияние гендера обвиняемых и судей на исход дел по протестам: эмпирическое исследование судебных решений по делам по ст. 20.2 КоАП РФ в Москве
Kapustina L., Педченко С. С., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 4 С. 138–162
Socio-legal studies have consistently documented the phenomenon of the “female discount”—a tendency for female defendants to receive more lenient punishments than male defendants. However, the literature on courts in authoritarian regimes suggests that decision-making patterns may differ in cases involving state interests. We analyze 15,229 court decisions under the most common parts (2, 5, 6.1, ...
Added: December 22, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit