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State of the future V19 and the global futures system – a review
Foresight. 2018. Vol. 20. No. 2. P. 219–220.
Calof J. L., Smith J. E.
he 19th Volume of the State of the Future (SoF) report from TheMillennium Project is something that those of us who value foresight couldwell benefit from both reading it and getting involved with this ongoing major initiative. Rather than beginning with a review of what it offers and its methodology, we are going to provide a few comments about the
report’s impact as evidenced by its endorsers. The study of the impact is important in the foresight literature and should provide an insight to those who read this regarding how valuable this report may be to decision-makers at all levels.
Anna Grebenyuk, Milshina Y., Sergey Shashnov et al., Foresight 2026 Vol. 28 No. 1 P. 45–65
Purpose
The article proposes an approach for assessing the impact of global trends on human capital and its components. This study aims to contribute to the development of new approaches for assessing the impact of a set of global trends on human capital and its individual components.
Design/methodology/approach
A special methodology was developed based on the use of ...
Added: January 29, 2026
Niyazov S., Maibakh O., Alexei Sukharev et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2026 Vol. 224 Article 124496
This research evaluates the accuracy of Delphi surveys in technology foresight with a focus on the transportation sector by determining the realization status of topics forecasted in the three Science and Technology Forecast Surveys administered by Japan's National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP) in 1992, 1997, and 2001. The analysis included 167 topics, ...
Added: January 16, 2026
Jonathan L. Calof, Futures 2025 Vol. 173 Article 103653
For several years, foresight and competitive intelligence (CI) professionals have worked together, learning from each other and adopting each other's approaches. For example, in 2024 an affiliation agreement was signed between a CI and a foresight association. This article examines this professional development and looks at the extent to which academia has done the same. ...
Added: July 18, 2025
Sokolov A., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. Ch. 3 P. 17–34.
The chapter outlines the crucial role of Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) in global economic and societal development, emphasising their contributions to creating industries, generating employment and addressing Grand Challenges. Foresight, defined as a systematic, participatory future-intelligence-gathering process, is presented as an essential tool for supporting policy-making, particularly in developing countries. The chapter explores the ...
Added: June 4, 2025
Saritas O., Kotsemir M., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. P. 115–208.
The South Africa 2030 Foresight study, utilizing big data analytics, aimed at advancing the national innovation system and enhancing knowledge generation capacity. This chapter presents outcomes from bibliometric and semantic analyses conducted by ISSEK HSE. Bibliometric analysis explored South Africa’s research competences, scientific capacity and global collaborators, revealing mature and emerging research areas. Semantic analysis ...
Added: February 14, 2025
Saritas O., Veselitskaya N., Sokolov A., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. Ch. 4 P. 35–53.
This chapter provides an overview of the Foresight methods, which were used in the South African Foresight for STI (SAForSTI) process. The SAForSTI 2030 exercise brought together a variety of qualitative and quantitative Foresight methods with innovations in their use. Over years, Foresight has embraced a spectrum of quantitative and qualitative methods from various disciplines ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Cham: Springer, 2024.
Using a new methodology for foresight studies, this book presents new findings and policy recommendations to improve living conditions and make progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Using the case of South Africa, the respective chapters show how social and economic challenges can be addressed in an inclusive and sustainable way. The book ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Chulok A., Kotsemir M. N., Radomirova Y. Y. et al., Foresight 2024 Vol. 26 No. 2 P. 365–391
Purpose. The purpose of this study is to create a methodological approach for identifying priority areas for science and technology (S&T) development and its empirical application within the city of Moscow. This research uncovers a wide range of multicultural and multidisciplinary global trends that will affect the development of major cities in an era of ...
Added: February 29, 2024
Marina Boykova, Knyazeva H., Salazkin M., Foresight and STI Governance 2023 Vol. 17 No. 4 P. 80–91
The challenges the futures studies face are particularly complex, interconnected, and contradictory, and cannot be resolved using linear approaches. Prognostic science needs tools matching the new contextual complexity, which would allow to capture a much wider range of driving forces, and their potential effects, in a non-linear perspective, to improve the accuracy of forecasts and ...
Added: January 25, 2024
Saritas O., Burmaoglu S., Ozdemir D., Futures 2022 Vol. 137 Article 102916
This study examines the recent evolution of Foresight as a well-recognized tool for long-term policy and strategy making and discusses the future directions the activity might take. The science mapping approach is used for the analysis. Drawing on big data, science mapping provides an evolutionary overview of scientific domains across time and helps to identify ...
Added: September 12, 2022
Sokolova A., Futures 2022 Vol. 135 Article 102875
One of the central objectives in foresight development is increasing its effectiveness and impact upon decision-making. This paper is focused on improving the link between foresight and science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy by overcoming the barriers that stand in the way at the very beginning of a foresight study. For this purpose, the key ...
Added: May 24, 2022
Proskuryakova L. N., Journal of Environmental Management 2022 Vol. 316 Article 115169
The article contributes to the research discussion around the human-natural and social-ecological systems by identification of a comprehensive list of global trends related to integrated interaction between environmental systems and human development, including climate change, pollution, new quality of economic growth, and challenges for education and healthcare. The foresight study behind it encompasses a combination ...
Added: May 13, 2022
Chulok A., Российский журнал менеджмента 2021 Т. 19 № 2 С. 151–176
This article presents the results of a comprehensive research of foreign and Russian studies in the field of corporate foresight, identifies their key research questions, conducts a structural analysis of cases, gives a classification and summarizes characteristics of domestic projects using foresight methods since the 90s of the past century. The search for an effective ...
Added: March 20, 2022
Miles I., Saritas O., Sokolov A., Rio de Janeiro: EDITORA FIOCRUZ, 2021.
This book sets out to draw out the key lessons from the experience of the last few decades. It will focus particularly on Foresight dealing with Science, Technology and Innovation (ForSTI—Foresight for STI). The meaning of these terms will need to be spelled out in more detail, but at this point we shall note that the STI field ...
Added: March 18, 2022
Calof J. L., Foresight 2020 Vol. 20 No. 5/6 P. 563–577
Purpose
Given the importance of competitive intelligence (CI) to the economic performance of firms, understanding whether CI practice is impacted by firm size or by their awareness of CI maybe important when creating programs designed to improve firms’ CI performance. This paper aims to address this by examining the extent to which the CI practices of ...
Added: November 1, 2021
Aleksandr Chulok, , in: Bio#Futures. Foreseeing and Exploring the Bioeconomy.: Cham: Springer, 2021. Ch. 25 P. 563–580.
Blended Foresight approach for global bio trends ...
Added: June 22, 2021
Proskuryakova L. N., Kyzyngasheva E., Starodubtseva A., Smart Energy 2021 Vol. 3 Article 100025
The global electric power industry is under pressure due to economic downturn, decreasing demand, lowering energy prices, and growing non-payments. National electric power industries face similar challenges. These challenges pose threats to many other sectors of economy due to ongoing digital transformation. The paper focuses on the Russian electric power industry future development trajectories, as ...
Added: June 7, 2021
Switzerland: Springer, 2020.
This book introduces a 'Big History' perspective to understand the acceleration of social, technological and economic trends towards a near-term singularity, marking a radical turning point in the evolution of our planet. It traces the emergence of accelerating innovation rates through global history and highlights major historical transformations throughout the evolution of life, humans, and civilization. ...
Added: January 27, 2020
Turovets J., Vishnevskiy K., Tokareva M. S. et al., , in: 2nd International Scientific Conference on Digital Transformation on Manufacturing, Infrastructure and Service, DTMIS 2018.: Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP), 2019. Ch. 012062 P. 1–6.
The technological foresight plays a significant role in promotion of the emerging technologies. The paper investigates technological prospects of priorities implementation indicated in the ‘Strategy for the Scientific and Technological Development of the Russian Federation’. More precisely, we examine the advanced digital and intelligent production technologies deployment by applying foresight methods and new solutions such ...
Added: June 20, 2019
Sánchez-Torres J. M., Miles I. D., European Journal of Futures Research 2017 Vol. 5 No. 15 P. 1–18
During the last three decades, many governments have incorporated Information and Communication Technologies in their internal and external processes, a phenomenon widely known as electronic government (e-Government). Rationales for e-Government include increasing public services’ efficiency, speed, transparency, accountability, etc., and enhancing relations between government and stakeholders (citizens, businesses, third sector organisations).
e-Government programmes are largescale innovation projects; and Future-oriented ...
Added: October 31, 2018
Meissner D., Rudnik P. B., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 457–472
Purpose – Foresight is frequently used to establish science and technology investment priorities and develop corresponding technology and innovation support programmes. In the light of technology and innovation policy, many individual Foresight studies are undertaken which are separate and little linked with the broader policy scope and ambition. This paper aims to look at an ...
Added: October 5, 2017
Saritas O., Dranev Y., Chulok A.A., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 473–490
Purpose
Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration, and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. This new fast-changing landscape requires approaches and tools, which may help to practice adaptive ...
Added: September 12, 2017
Saritas O., Kuzminov I., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 218–250
Purpose – This paper aims to analyse the mainstream and emerging global challenges and trends in the global agriculture sector. The analysis leads to a discussion on the present state of the Russian agroindustry and possible future strategies for adaptation in the context of the rapidly changing global environment.
Design/methodology/approach – The design of this study is based on the ...
Added: June 23, 2017