World Demographic Situation from the Perspective of Global Demographic Balance

Yakovets T.

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World Demographic Situation from the Perspective of Global Demographic Balance

Business Informatics. 2014. No. 4(30). P. 72–78.

Yakovets T.

In 1971 in his Nobel lecture Simon Kuznets noted that the population growth had been ceasing to be the main force

of the economic growth over the last one or two decades. Accordingly, the authors have examined the contemporary

demographic situation in the world based on information given in United Nations (UN) population prospects. This paper

describes the global demographic balance method that includes 5 age cohorts of the population of 20 countries and regions

of the world for the last period of 1950-2010 and UN Population Prospect to 2050. This method has been applied to

analyze quantitative parameters of the demographic situation in developed, least developed and in developing countries.

Developed countries, which had passed the demographic transition, will face a depopulation pattern in XXI. The age

structure of depopulation trends in these countries is given. In least developed countries the population growth has been

persisting but not at so high pace as it was in the second half of the 20th century. BRICS countries stand out from developing

countries. To assess qualitative characteristics of countries of the world the Human Development Index (HDI) has been

used. This paper outlines characteristics of this indicator given by United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).

HDI values for BRICS countries are specified, and a conclusion has been drawn that qualitative growth is needed for

economies of these countries. Outputs of world population simulation and projections by G.P. Gorshkov, B.M. Dolgopolov

and A.A. Akayev, adjusted for the biosphere ultimate capacity, are presented. A conclusion has been formulated that

Priority areas: business informatics

Language: English

Full text

Keywords: страны БРИКС возрастная структура населения индекс развития человеческого потенциала BRICS countries глобальный демографический баланс global demographic balance age population structure Human Development Index biosphere ultimate capacity демографический прогноз ООН предельная емкость биосферы UN demographic prospects

Подходы к разработке типологии малых городов в контексте актуальных для России практик стран БРИКС

Познанская С. А., Molodtsova V., Мокренский Д. Н. et al., Городские исследования и практики 2026 Т. 11 № 1 С. 30–44

This article summarizes and systematizes the best international practices in the socio-economic development of small towns in BRICS countries and their applicability to the development of small towns in Russia. A typology of small towns in BRICS countries is presented, with a particular focus on four countries: China, Brazil, India, and South Africa. Small town ...

Added: March 23, 2026

Оценка моделей LLM по степени готовности решать задачи управления в области ESG

Storchevoy M., Mylnikov L., Чернышев В. В. et al., / SSRN. Серия "Working Papers". 2025.

Внимание к охране природы принимает все большую значимость для бизнеса с одной стороны в связи с ужесточением в природоохранном законодательстве, а с другой в связи с использованием ESG рейтингов при принятии решений о коммерческой деятельности компаний. Составление рейтинга LLM систем, способных оказывать консультационные услуги в области природоохраны и ESG, позволяет осуществить выбор такой системы для ...

Added: September 18, 2025

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Попов Г. Е., Холина В. Н., Петрович М., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Экономика 2025 Т. 33 № 2 С. 304–318

Столицы и ключевые региональные центры играют важную, а иногда и определяющую, роль в экономическом развитии всех стран мира. Концентрация населения, штаб-квартир компаний, банков, с одной стороны, становится драйвером экономического развития, а с другой — порождает диспропорции, тормозящие устойчивое развитие. Масштабы экономики агломераций и мегалополисов стран БРИКС (Бразилия, Россия, Индия, Китай, ЮАР, Эфиопия, Иран, ОАЭ и ...

Added: September 3, 2025

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Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.

This paper reviews various estimands used in modern scientific and applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model framework. I first introduce the most widely utilized average treatment effects, such as ATE, ATT, and ATC. I then describe their popular extensions, including those targeting local and conditional treatment effects; causal interactions and mediation; effects ...

Added: May 6, 2025

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Терещенко Д. С., Щербаков В. С., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 4 С. 112–135

The article focuses on studying the specifics of the influence of the age structure of the population on regional inflation in the territory of the Russian Federation. The main research issue is to identify the nature of the influence (proinflationary or disinflationary) of all population groups (younger than working age, working age, older than working ...

Added: April 3, 2025

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Biryukova O. V., Тихоновский Г. А., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2025 № 1 С. 13–26

The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the ‘club’ agreements within the framework of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and examines the participation of the BRICS members in plurilateral initiatives. With increasing protectionist measures, slowing multilateral negotiations and rapid changes in global trade, plurilateral agreements are becoming increasingly important. Such agreements are concluded between a ...

Added: April 3, 2025

Cultural characteristics of Digital Ecosystem Product Teams and Operational Efficiency

Ovanesova Y., Moshiashvili M. M., Типсина Н. О., / Series "Working Papers". 2021.

The purpose of this article is to analyze and evaluate the cultural characteristics of the digital ecosystem product teams leaders and operational efficiency. Using binary choice models (the main conclusions were made on the basis of logit regressions), has been found a significant negative relationship between the probability of achieving business goals by a team ...

Added: February 17, 2025

Intra-BRICS Research Collaboration: Status and Prospects

Sokolov A., Shashnov S. A., Kotsemir M. N., , in: The Innovation Competitiveness of BRICS Countries.: Springer, 2025. Ch. 3 P. 41–65.

The chapter addresses the scale and the effectiveness of international research cooperation of BRICS countries through analysis of key statistics of their publication activities. The special focus is made on the identification of areas of intra-BRICS research collaboration, which have the largest potential for further development. For this purpose, an approach has been proposed that ...

Added: February 14, 2025

Versions of least-squares k-means algorithm for interval data

Mirkin B., Parinov A., Halynchyk M. et al., / Series WP7 "Математические методы анализа решений в экономике, бизнесе и политике". 2024.

Recently, k-means clustering has been extended to the so-called interval data. In contrast to conventional data case, the interval data feature values are intervals rather than single reals. This paper further explores the least-squares criterion for k-means clustering to tackle the issue of initialization, that is, finding a proper set of initial cluster centers at ...

Added: November 26, 2024

НАЛОГООБЛОЖЕНИЕ ЦИФРОВЫХ УСЛУГ В СТРАНАХ БРИКС:СРАВНИТЕЛЬНО-ПРАВОВОЙ АНАЛИЗ

Пономарева К. А., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 14. Право 2023 Т. 14 № 3 С. 804–823

Развитие цифровой экономики обусловливает необходимость разработки новых подходов к налогообложению как на международном, так и на национальном уровне. В отсутствие консенсуса в отношении налоговых проектов международных организаций многие страны начали вводить цифровые налоги в одностороннем порядке. Национальные цифровые налоги можно разделить на три группы: на доход, на добавленную стоимость (НДС) для электронных услуг и гибридные. ...

Added: July 27, 2024

Fiscal Mechanism for Stimulating Domestic Production in Some BRICS and European Countries

Vladimir V. Olkhovik, Afanasev R., Juchnevicius E. et al., Financial journal 2023 Vol. 15 No. 6 P. 123–135

The issue of stimulating domestic production is multifaceted and has a long history of study. At present, it is particularly relevant due to the introduction of restrictive measures, including the termination of supplies of a number of foreign goods to the Russian Federation. As one of the possible measures to increase the production of goods ...

Added: January 19, 2024

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Kopnova E., Rodionova L., Иванова М. А., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 4 С. 152–187

Factors related to the family status of the population in Russia are investigated on the basis of data from the Russian Monitoring of the economic Situation and Health of the population of the HSE for 2021. A multinomial logit model of multiple choice was used. The connections of the main demographic, socio-cultural, socio-economic and individual ...

Added: December 16, 2023

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Антонов А. И., Nazarova I. B., Карпова В. М. et al., Народонаселение 2023 Т. 26 № 3 С. 131–143

Population aging is a demographic trend characteristic of most world countries, it requires attention from various social institutions. The situation of the growing number of older people around the world increases the relevance of studying this issue. The article aggregates data from different sources that determine the boundaries of the onset of old age based on various theoretical and ...

Added: December 12, 2023

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Stepanov I. A., Makarov I. A., Anna Shuranova et al., , in: COVID-19 and Climate Change in BRICS Nations: Beyond the Paris Agreement and Agenda 2030.: Routledge, 2024. Ch. 4 P. 49–79.

The chapter depicts BRICS countries’ climate policies in three dimensions. Firstly, it summarizes key aims, priorities, and directions of national and foreign GHG emissions reduction policies. Secondly, it features main institutions and instruments underling these policies and presents the mechanisms through which primary interest groups’ preferences are formed, coordinated, and incorporated into decision-making. Thirdly, building ...

Added: September 3, 2023

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Валиахметов Р. М., Зарипов А. Я., Туракаев М. С., Новые исследования Тувы 2022 № 3 С. 170–185

Статья посвящена исследованию проблем и особенностей в развитии человеческого потенциала национальных республик Российской Федерации, на примере Дагестана и Тувы. Наблюдения и выводы основаны на анализе статистических данных и экспертных оценок представителей обеих республик, полученных в 2020–2021 гг. Установлено, что в своем развитии республики имеют схожие черты, прежде всего в экономической, социальной и демографической сферах (низкий ...

Added: August 4, 2023

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Scherbakova E. M., Демоскоп Weekly 2022 № 965-966

На основе данных Отдела населения ООН о перспективах мирового населения пересмотра 2022 г. рассматриваются тенденции изменения и возможные перспективы численности населения стран группы БРИКС, его возрастного состава, рождаемости и смертности. Показано, что процесс старения население идет во всех странах БРИКС, но степень старения существенно различается. ...

Added: June 19, 2023

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Валиахметов Р. М., Туракаев М. С., Abylkalikov S., Новые исследования Тувы 2023 № 2 С. 111–124

The article presents a comparative analysis of the issues related to the development of human potential in two republics in Russia today — in the Republic of Kalmykia and the Republic of Tuva. The republics have relatively similar rankings in terms of human development index. The conclusions of the research are based on an analysis ...

Added: June 13, 2023

Fairness of Machine Learning Algorithms in Demography

Emmanuel I. C., Mitrofanova E., / Series 4064475 "ArXiv Preprint". 2022.

The paper is devoted to the study of the model fairness and process fairness of the Russian demographic dataset by making predictions of divorce of the 1st marriage, religiosity, 1st employment and completion of education. Our goal was to make classifiers more equitable by reducing their reliance on sensitive features while increasing or at least ...

Added: May 31, 2022

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Pilnov G., Natalenko A., Лукша О. П., Инновации 2017 № 12

In the context of the article the open innovation accelerator (OIA) is as an organization that helps its clients profit from open innovation by connecting external partners (or solution providers) to all stages of an innovative project. In the article we consider: • tools that help companies manage targeted, inbound and outbound knowledge flows and the place of OIA among ...

Added: September 17, 2021

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Gorbunova M., Masek P., Komarov M. M. et al., Computer Science and Information Systems 2022 Vol. 19 No. 1 P. 65–85

Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) is making the first steps toward becoming a solution for the growing number of various decentralized systems world-wide. Unlike pure Blockchain, DLT finds many uses across different industries, including eHealth, finance, supply chain monitoring, and the Internet of Things (IoT). One of the vital DLT features is the ability to provide ...

Added: September 15, 2021

Image Classification for the Automatic Feature Extraction in Human Worn Fashion Data

Rohrmanstorfer S., Komarov M. M., Mödritscher F., Mathematics 2021 No. 9 Article 624

With the always increasing amount of image data, it has become a necessity to automatically look for and process information in these images. As fashion is captured in images, the fashion sector provides the perfect foundation to be supported by the integration of a service or application that is built on an image classification model. ...

Added: September 14, 2021

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Semiletov I., Sensors 2021 Vol. 21 No. 12 Article 3979

The Arctic seas are now of particular interest due to their prospects in terms of hydrocarbon extraction, development of marine transport routes, etc. Thus, various geohazards, including those related to seismicity, require detailed studies, especially by instrumental methods. This paper is devoted to the ocean-bottom seismographs (OBS) based on broadband molecular–electronic transfer (MET) sensors and ...

Added: September 14, 2021

Developing an innovator’s thinking in engineering education

Solodikhina A., Solodikhina M. V., Education and Information Technologies 2022 Vol. 27 No. 2 P. 2569–2584

Engineering education must be changed following the change in the labor market. The cult of innovation has led to a demand for innovators who have both the mindset of an inventor who can see a problem and find a way to solve it, and the mindset of an entrepreneur who is ready to bring that ...

Added: September 12, 2021

Methodological Approach to Use of Web Content by Small Business

Dneprovskaya N., Shevtsova I., Scientific and Technical Information Processing 2021 Vol. 48 No. 2 P. 78–86

Digitization encourages accumulation of web content, an important resource of economic activity. Despite high level of development of technology of work with web content, the need for significant expenses restricts its use by small businesses. Web content characterized by absence of structure, diversity of sources, and high speed of data flow, is included in the ...

Added: September 11, 2021