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Дело Lliuya v. RWE в Германии и перспективы признания зарубежными судами гражданско-правовой климатической ответственности эмитентов парниковых газов
The article discusses a landmark case in recent strategic climate litigation — the lawsuit brought by Peruvian national Saúl Luciano Lliuya against the German energy giant RWE AG. In declining to find that the defendant was under an obligation to partially cover, in proportion to its share in global GHG emissions, the cost of measures to protect the plaintiff’s real estate property from climate change risks, the appellate court, nonetheless, made a number of statements which prompted commentators to characterise the case as a turning point in climate litigation. One example is the court’s stark departure from the conventional principles of tortious causation to hold that both the but-for test and the foreseeability requirement were satisfied, despite the defendant’s small share in the global GHG emissions. Based on an analysis of the appellate court’s reasoning alongside the jurisprudence of other national courts, this article contends that analogous tort claims remain unlikely to succeed. Establishing causation in concreto continues to present a high evidentiary hurdle, while the scale of aggregate liability — arising from the sheer volume of potential claims — will likely remain a deterrent for the judiciary.