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August 13, 2026
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Artificial intelligence is a working tool based on a balanced combination of algorithms and engineering. Experts and doctoral students from the HSE Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics explain how AI technologies can improve an application, device, or system, and what engineering tasks are solved in the process.
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The Dunning–Kruger effect, which describes a sharp surge in self-confidence among beginners followed by an equally rapid decline as they gain experience, can be explained by the nature of the learning process and the acquisition of new knowledge. This conclusion was reached by Andrey Vorchik of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences together with independent researcher Murat Mamyshev. They developed a mathematical model of learning and demonstrated how subjective confidence is formed and changes as knowledge accumulates, as well as how teachers can reduce the ‘valley of despair’ experienced by learners.

 

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Graph density and uncertainty of graphical model selection algorithms

P. 188–201.
Valeriy Kalyagin, Ilya Kostylev

Graphical models became a popular tool in machine learning and data analysis. Graphical Model Selection Problem is a problem to recover a specific graph structure (graphical model) from a set of data. In many cases the data are given by a sample of observations of some multivariate distribution. In this setting any reconstruction algorithm
can be evaluated by uncertainty of identification of the hidden graphical model by observations. In the present paper we study uncertainty of identification of so-called concentration graph which represents a dependence
structure for the components of multidimensional random vector. We introduce and discuss different measures of uncertainty appropriate for the concentration graph identification problem and compare on this basis different identification algorithms, including optimization (graphical lasso) algorithm and a family of known multiple hypotheses testing algorithms. Novelty of our approach is in the study of dependence of uncertainty on the graph density. Some new and interesting phenomena are observed and discussed.

Language: English
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Keywords: uncertaintyGraphical modelConcentration graphOptimal identification algorithmGraph density
Publication based on the results of:
Research on graph and network structures and its applications (2023)

In book

14th International Conference, OPTIMA 2023, Petrovac, Montenegro, September 18–22, 2023, Revised Selected Papers. Communications in Computer and Information Science (CCIS, volume 1913)
Vol. 1913. , Springer, 2023.
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