• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • Future of Energy Consumption and Forecasting
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
August 11, 2026
‘The Peak of Stupidity and ‘The Valley of Despair: HSE Economists Propose an Explanation for the Dunning–Kruger Effect
The Dunning–Kruger effect, which describes a sharp surge in self-confidence among beginners followed by an equally rapid decline as they gain experience, can be explained by the nature of the learning process and the acquisition of new knowledge. This conclusion was reached by Andrey Vorchik of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences together with independent researcher Murat Mamyshev. They developed a mathematical model of learning and demonstrated how subjective confidence is formed and changes as knowledge accumulates, as well as how teachers can reduce the ‘valley of despair’ experienced by learners.
July 24, 2026
‘I Like Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
Andrey Vorchik studies happiness, delivers popular science lectures, and believes that science should address social issues as well. In an interview for the Young Scientists of HSE University project, he spoke about how emotions influence decision-making, the Bermuda Triangle formed by the bathroom, refrigerator, and bed, and the ideal formula for education.
July 24, 2026
'Physics Is What the World Is Literally Built On'
Physicist Nina Dzhanayeva, recipient of a Vladimir Potanin Foundation scholarship, focuses her research on nanophotonics. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses nanowells, scientific intuition, and how physics can help in making frangipane cream puffs.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Future of Energy Consumption and Forecasting

P. 45–54.
Liliana Proskuryakova

The chapter outlines future trends in energy consumption and future avenues of energy forecasting. Energy consumers are playing an increasingly important role in shaping energy systems that will depend on the development of a vast range energy issues. The list of these issues is presented along with an outlook of energy consumption by region, by country, and by fuel. Most energy forecasts suggest several alternative futures that are described in the form of scenarios. Other methods and approaches are also described, including statistical analysis, econometric and mathematical tools, and big data analysis. Of all methods, special attention is devoted to energy modelling and energy foresight.

Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: изменение климатаclimate changeenergy trendsтренды в энергетикеEnergy foresightEnergy indicatorsEnergy modelsфорсайт в энергетикепоказатели ТЭКмодели развития энергетики
Publication based on the results of:
Identification of technology priorities in the time of world disorder (2024)

In book

Encyclopedia of Renewable Energy, Sustainability, and the Environment. Volume 1
Vol. 1. , Elsevier, 2024.
Similar publications
Tortious Liability for Climate Change Inaction: Recent Trends across Jurisdictions
Rovnov Y., European Energy and Environmental Law Review 2026 Vol. 35 No. 2 P. 75–92
The article tracks a change of approach taken by national courts within and across legal systems to assessing climate actions in tort. The polycentric nature of climate policy, which had proven fatal to plaintiffs’ earlier cases in common law jurisdictions, has rarely struck judges in continental Europe as a particularly effective defence. Nonetheless, to civil ...
Added: August 3, 2026
A machine learning dataset on winter roads of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia for the forestry and infrastructural projects
Ekaterina S. Podolskaia, Sinitsina A., European Journal of Forest Engineering 2026 Vol. 12 No. 1 P. 7–22
Machine learning in transport modeling has become a trend in science and industry. In this paper, we observe its main directions and focus on a dataset of seasonal road creation. Seasonality as a parameter in transport modeling has a significant impact on transport scenarios but is underestimated worldwide and in Russia, despite modern data challenges. ...
Added: June 24, 2026
Дело Lliuya v. RWE в Германии и перспективы признания зарубежными судами гражданско-правовой климатической ответственности эмитентов парниковых газов
Rovnov Y., Кудинская В. В., Закон 2026 № 6 С. 179–193
The article discusses a landmark case in recent strategic climate litigation — the lawsuit brought by Peruvian national Saúl Luciano Lliuya against the German energy giant RWE AG. In declining to find that the defendant was under an obligation to partially cover, in proportion to its share in global GHG emissions, the cost of measures ...
Added: June 23, 2026
Climate Change, National Security and Geopolitics: Strategies and Responses of Five Major Powers
NY: Routledge, 2026.
This book is a comprehensive study on how the national security sectors of China, India, Japan, Russia, and the United States have engaged the idea of climate change as an existential threat. Climate Change, National Security and Geopolitics examines the respective ways in which the five states have framed the issue of climate change in ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Методология внедрения элементов зеленой инфраструктуры в градостроительные решения для управления дождевой водой
Andreeva E., Городские исследования и практики 2025 Т. Том 10 № 2 С. 109–133
Изменение климата и рост урбанизации создают новые вызовы для устойчивого развития городов. Конкурентоспособность городов напрямую зависит от того, как городская политика отвечает на вызовы, связанные с изменением климата. Интенсивные дожди становятся причиной затопленных улиц, домов, особенно в городах с устаревшей ливневой канализацией и низкой долей проницаемых поверхностей. В ответ на вызовы, связанные с изменением климата и ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Soil Temperature, Organic-Carbon Storage, and Water-Holding Ability Should Be Accounted for the Empirical Soil Respiration Model Selection in Two Forest Ecosystems
Sergey Kivalov, Lopes de Gerenyu V., Khoroshaev D. et al., Forests 2023 Vol. 14 No. 8 Article 1568
Soil respiration (SR) is a main component of the carbon cycle in terrestrial ecosystems, and being strongly affected by changes in the environment, it is a good indicator of the ecosystem’s ability to cope with climate change. This research aims to find better empirical SR models using 25-year-long SR monitoring in two forest ecosystems formed on sandy Entic ...
Added: April 24, 2026
European Union and Certain Member States — Certain Measures Concerning Palm Oil and Oil Palm Crop-Based Biofuels (Malaysia); European Union — Certain Measures Concerning Palm Oil and Oil Palm Crop-Based Biofuels (Indonesia), Panel Report
Yury Rovnov, American Journal of International Law 2026 Vol. 120 No. 2 P. 371–379
This is a case note of two WTO panel reports in recent Palm Oil disputes. After providing an overview of the panel findings under Article 2.1 of the TBT Agreement, the note discusses what appears to be a modified legal standard for non-discrimination applied by the panel under this provision and the continued use of ...
Added: April 23, 2026
The Impact of Climate Change and Glacier Degradation on the Water Regime in the High-Mountain Part of the Terek River Basin
Pavlyukevich Ekaterina D., Krylenko I., Motovilov Y. et al., Water Resources 2025 Vol. 52 No. 2 P. S159–S171
A set of hydrometeorological models, has been used to assess the likely changes in Terek River runoff in the 21st century, taking into account climate and glaciation changes in the basin. It has been shown that runoff changes will range from –2 to +5% under the RCP 2.6 scenario and from –8 to +14% under ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Влияние температуры на сезонное развитие древесных растений в Центральном Сихотэ-Алине при изменении климата
Иванов А. В., Марченко А. А., Бондарчук С. Н. et al., Лесоведение 2025 № 4 С. 515–524
For the first time, a variability analysis of phenological dates of woody plant development in connection with climate change was conducted for the conditions of Primorsky Krai. The study is based on a continuous (from 1987 to 2022) series of phenological observations for five tree species from the Nature Chronicle of the Sikhote-Alin Reserve. According ...
Added: February 27, 2026
Quantitative pollen-based reconstructions of climate characteristics and forest coverage for Northern Central Siberia: evaluation of different techniques
Andreev R., Novenko E., Quaternary International 2025 No. 739 Article 109879
The paper presents the application of four quantitative methods for pollen-based palaeoclimatic reconstruction (the Best Modern Analogue technique (MAT), weighted averaging (WA) and weighted averaging partial least squares (WAPLS) transfer functions and Random Forest algorithm (RF)) to derive temperatures, precipitation and total woody coverage (in 5, 10, 20 and 50 km radii) for the poorly ...
Added: February 16, 2026
Proglacial successions of springtail assemblages (Collembola) along retreating glaciers in Kabardino-Balkaria, Greater Caucasus, Russia
Antipova M., Irina S. Bushueva, Babenko A., Nature conservation research. Zapovednaâ nauka 2026 Vol. 11 No. 1 P. 71–92
Since the end of the Little Ice Age, glacier retreat has been recorded globally, with its rates steadily increasing. Glacier forelands serve as convenient areas for studying the patterns of biotic community formation during primary succession. Collembola (hereinafter – springtails) typically play key roles in primary successions, being among the first colonists of territories newly ...
Added: February 12, 2026
The representation of the climate crisis in Croatian online news media
Šarić L., Trnavac R., Frontiers in Communication 2026 Vol. 11 Article 1754352
This study analyzes agency and news values across verbal and visual modalities in Croatian online news on the climate crisis, examining how climate change is portrayed. We explore newsworthiness, visual framing, and metaphor, linking agency to broader concerns about responsibility. In addition, the analysis traces how different types of agency shape news values in both metaphorical and nonmetaphorical micro-contexts. To ...
Added: January 27, 2026
Climate change exposure and corporate strategic aggressiveness: Evidence from Chinese listed companies
Zhao F., Wang J., Chen Q., Economic Analysis and Policy 2025 Vol. 88 P. 26–53
This paper examines the strategic implications of corporate climate change exposure in the context of Chinese listed firms. Drawing on MD&A textual disclosures from 2007 to 2021, we construct a firm-level index of climate exposure and find that greater engagement with climate issues leads to more aggressive strategic behavior. This relationship is robust to a ...
Added: January 15, 2026
Консультативное заключение Международного трибунала по морскому праву об обязательствах государств в связи с изменением климата: комментарий
Rovnov Y., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 14. Право 2025 Т. 16 № 4 С. 1071–1087
This article comments on the advisory opinion issued by the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea (ITLOS) on May 21, 2024 on a request submitted by the Commission of Small Island States on Climate Change and International Law (COSIS). Seeking to strike a balance between conflicting views of participants in the proceedings, ITLOS ...
Added: December 30, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit