Applying digital technologies in technology roadmapping to overcome individual biased assessments

Technovation. 2022. Vol. 110. Article 102364.

Nazarenko A., Vishnevskiy K., Meissner D., Daim T.

Using digital technologies for technology roadmapping has the advantage of significantly extending the range of information sources used for the roadmap. Thus, a more solid evidence-based foundation for the integrated roadmap is provided, and the risk of biased individual judgements limited. The main challenge of extending the information base lies in processing information and integrating into aggregate indicators for the final roadmap. The revised methodology was pilot tested for a roadmap on the development of artificial intelligence technologies and their applications in a large Russian company. The roadmap is being already used by a large state-owned Russian corporation for strategic and investment decision making and project management including investment priority-setting, identification of technological forks and strategic alternatives, revelation of areas of presence and lack of competence, risk assessment, identification of potential consortia and the potential tasks for them, project expertise, and proactive project search.

Keywords: искусственный интеллект, technology roadmap, market roadmap, технологические дорожные карты, цифровые технологии, artificial intelligence, integrated roadmap, technology assessment, оценка технологий, digital technologies, интегральные дорожные карты, рыночные дорожные карты

Publication based on the results of: The new science, technology, and innovation agenda to address the grand challenges (2022)