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Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9
Вып. 9.
M. :
MESI, 2012.
Academic editor: Mkhitarian V., Sirotin V., Arkhipova M., Dubrova T. A.
Editor-in-chief: Dubrova T. A.
Under the general editorship: Mkhitarian V.
Chapters
Zvezdina N., Ivanova L. V., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 84–87.
В статье приведены результаты статистического анализа динамики демографической ситуации Пермского края. Проанализированы кривые смертей для городского и сельского населения в поло-возрастном разрезе. Определены факторы, влияющие на смертность населения Пермского края и, как следствие, на формирование «корректных» тарифных ставок и резервов в страховании жизни и пенсии. ...
Added: October 19, 2012
Zvezdina N., Ромашкина И. Н., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 87–94.
В статье приведены результаты статистического анализа смертности подростков в Российской Федерации. Выявлены факторы, оказывающие наибольшее влияние на смертность подростков в стране, отдельно для юношей и девушек. Проанализированы показатели смертности в динамике, а также территориальный аспект смертности подростков в России. ...
Added: October 19, 2012
Arkhipova M., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 31–37.
Исследуется дифференциация стоимости одного квадратного метра жилья на вторичном рынке города Москвы. Для стратификации квартир по стоимости используется аппарат расщепления смеси вероятностных распределений. ...
Added: March 21, 2013
Dubrova T. A., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 68–72.
В работе проведен обзор различных подходов к сглаживанию временных рядов, сравнительный анализ устойчивости рассматриваемых процедур к наличию выбросов. Содержатся примеры практического применения обсуждаемых подходов и процедур. ...
Added: March 21, 2013
Ditkovsky K. A., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 64–68.
В статье исследуется степень влияния рынка телекоммуникационных услуг на экономику России. Рассматривается роль телекоммуникаций в условиях перехода к инновационному пути развития, модернизации экономики. ...
Added: September 13, 2013
Simonova M., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 202–206.
Степень влияния глобализации международной торговли на экономику отдельной страны автор определяет с помощью построения и анализа систематизированной группы индикаторов глобализации торговли. ...
Added: November 26, 2013
Simonova M., В кн.: Математико-статистический анализ социально-экономических процессов. Межвузовский сборник научных трудов. Выпуск 9Вып. 9.: М.: МЭСИ, 2012. С. 198–202.
Авторы обобщают результаты трансформации и пересмотра системы международных стандартов и торговых классификаторов в условиях глобализации, представлен анализ системы учета внешнеторговых операций стран ЕС. ...
Added: November 26, 2013
Kuzina L., Popov E., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2025 № 2 С. 170–191
The article examines internet users' tactics for verifying false (fake) information and the factors associated with fact-checking. Working within the framework of the theory of prosumerism and everyday tactics (Michel de Certeau), the authors of the study aim at identifying and describing the arsenal of fact-checking tactics used by the Russian internet audience, and to ...
Added: May 16, 2026
Mkrtchyan N. V., Regional Research of Russia 2026 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 170–181
The aim of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Near North of Russia (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure institutions and to analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with different provision of these institutions. The study was conducted using data ...
Added: May 16, 2026
Lerman L. M., Turaev D. V., Regular and Chaotic Dynamics 2026 Vol. 31 No. 3 P. 349–369
We show that bifurcations of four-dimensional symplectic diffeomorphisms with a quadratic homoclinic tangency to a saddle periodic orbit with real multipliers produce 2-elliptic periodic orbits if the tangency is not partially hyperbolic. We show that a normal form for the rescaled first-return maps near such tangency is given by a four-dimensional symplectic H´enonlike map and study bifurcations of the ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Yakuba V. I., Khutorskaya O. et al., Springer, 2026.
The book contains new models of bibliometric analysis based on centrality measures in network analysis, pattern analysis and stability analysis. A distinctive feature of these centrality measures is that they account for the parameters of vertices and group influence of vertices to a vertex. This reveals specific groups of publications, authors, terms, journals and affiliations ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Kuptsov P., Panyushev A., Stankevich N., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 5 Article 053138
We develop a machine-learning approach to reproduce the behavior of two versions of the van der Pol oscillator exhibiting a subcritical Andronov–Hopf bifurcation, with or without a codimension-2 Bautin point. We construct a neural-network model that functions as a recur rent map and train it on short segments of oscillator trajectories. The results show that, ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Dorovskiy A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
In this paper the structural stability of generic families of vector fields of the PC-HC class on the two-dimensional sphere is proved. A classification of these families up to moderate equivalence in neighborhoods of their large bifurcation supports is presented, based on such invariants as the configuration and the characteristic set. The realization lemma is proved. ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Lebedev V., Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 2026 Vol. 563 No. 2 Article 130787
It is known that for every continuous real-valued
function $f$ on the circle $\mathbb T=\mathbb R/2\pi\mathbb Z$ there exists a
change of variable, i.e., a self-homeomorphism $h$ of $\mathbb T$, such that
the superposition $f\circ h$ is in the Sobolev space $W_2^{1/2}(\mathbb T)$.
We obtain new results on simultaneous improvement of functions by a single
change of variable in relation ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Omelchenko E. L., Гарифзянова А. Р., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 № 2 С. 170–193
This article analyzes the situation of Muslims within the Russian penitentiary system. The empirical basis of the study is 74 biographical interviews with former prisoners conducted in three regions of Russia between 2019 and 2022. The analysis focuses on accounts by former male prisoners who identified themselves as Muslims and mentioned Islam and Muslim practices. ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Гарифзянова А. Р., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 № 2 С. 170–193
This article analyzes the situation of Muslims within the Russian penitentiary system. The empirical basis of the study is 74 biographical interviews with former prisoners conducted in three regions of Russia between 2019 and 2022. The analysis focuses on accounts by former male prisoners who identified themselves as Muslims and mentioned Islam and Muslim practices. ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Mkrtchyan N. V., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 1 С. 231–245
Objective of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Russian Near
North (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure facilities and to
analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with varying levels of provision of
these facilities. The study is based on data collected from open ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Tikhonova N. E., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2025 Т. 14 № 1 С. 81–107
Taking into account the relevance of the problem of euthanasia in the context of the
increase in severe cancer and genetic diseases, the article shows, based on the data of the Monitoring of the IS FCTAS RAS 2024 (N = 2000) and the World Values Survey (2006 and
2017–2022), that in their attitude towards euthanasia, Russians are divided ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Blokh A., Oversteegen L., Selinger N. et al., Arnold Mathematical Journal 2025 Vol. 12 No. 1 P. 1–40
We describe a model for the boundary of the connectedness locus of the parameter space of cubic symmetric polynomials. We show that there exists a monotone continuous function from the connectedness locus to the model which is a homeomorphism if the former is locally connected. ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Petrov I., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 6 С. 82–118
Системам связанных агентов и сетевому управлению посвящено большое число отечественных и зарубежных исследований. Исторически, наибольший интерес в теории управления возникал к усредняющим системам и, в частности, к задаче консенсуса. Однако сетевое взаимодействие может характеризоваться более специфическими функциями, отражающими зависимость от действий соседей по сети, что особенно явно проявляется в моделях стратегического взаимодействия на сети, которое ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Shcherbakov R., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 2 С. 216–235
The aim of this study is to identify factors related to the use of cybersecurity practices among the Russian population. The author considers factors such as socioeconomic status (gender, age, higher education, type of settlement, and financial situation) and ex-perience of exposure to digital risk (the fact of being exposed to risks and declared con-cerns ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026