• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
August 21, 2026
Social Integration: At the Crossroads of Knowledge and Values
The International Laboratory for Social Integration Research (ILSIR) at HSE University studies the challenges faced by vulnerable groups and explores ways to help them participate fully in everyday life. To develop effective solutions, the laboratory’s researchers combine cutting-edge methods with practical fieldwork. In this interview with the HSE News Service, Laboratory Head Elena Iarskaia-Smirnova discusses the laboratory’s work.
August 18, 2026
HSE Scholar Presents Research on Postcards in Brazil and South Korea
Timur Khusyainov, Deputy Dean of theFaculty of Humanities atHSE University–Nizhny Novgorod, took part in two international conferences—the XVI World Congress of Rural Sociology in Porto Alegre, Brazil, and the 36th Annual Conference of the Alliance of Digital Humanities Organisations (DH2026) in Daejeon, South Korea. On his way to the conferences, the researcher also visited several other places, where he presented the experience of the Pochtovoe educational project.
August 18, 2026
Physicists Discover What Happens Inside a Stable Vortex
Large vortices with characteristic spiral arms are often observed in the atmosphere and the ocean. Physicists from HSE University have explained how these structures form and why they retain their shape. The researchers found that velocities at points located along the same vortex arc remain correlated even over long distances. At the same time, this correlation weakens rapidly with increasing distance from the vortex centre. These differences help explain the formation of spiral arms and may improve models of atmospheric and oceanic currents. The findings have been published in Physical Review Fluids.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration

P. 347–364.
Korotayev A., Grinin L. E.

The events of the Arab Spring can be analyzed in two dimensions: first, with respect to internal and global causes and second, in terms of their influence on the future scenarios of the World System development. Such a view we use in this concluding chapter. We explain the amazing synchronization of social upheavals in a dozen of Arab countries based on the theory (developed by the authors) of the periodical catch-ups experienced by the political component of the World System that tends to lag behind the World System economic component. And such lags cannot constantly increase, the gaps are eventually bridged, but in not quite a smooth way. On the contrary, this catch-up will be rather complex and turbulent. Thus, it eventually becomes evident that the turbulent events in the Arab countries are also a precursor of the forthcoming strong structural transformations of the world. We have called this process the reconfiguration of the World System. This conclusion offers results of our analysis of such reconfiguration of the World System together with a few forecasts that stem from it. We also suggest an explanation why the new catch-up of the World System political component started in the Arab countries. 

Language: English
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: Ближний ВостокMiddle EastАрабская веснаМир-СистемаWorld SystemArab Spring
Publication based on the results of:
New World Order Architecture in the Middle and Near East (2018)

In book

Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives
Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Tausch A. Dordrecht: Springer, 2019.
Similar publications
Стенограмма семинара Ассоциации японоведов «Новый ближневосточный кризис и Япония», 14 мая 2026 года, МГИМО — Университет
Киреева А. А., Добринская О. А., Chizhevskaya M. et al., Японские исследования 2026 № 2 С. 157–181
The Middle East (ME) region is vitally important to Japan, as it accounts for 90% of Japan's oil imports. For many years, Japan has sought to build friendly relations with all countries in the region, often having to balance its own interests with its strategic alignment with the United States, its only military and political ally. The seminar ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Иран и его соседи
Gromova A., М.: КноРус, 2023.
Учебное пособие по лингвострановедению предназначено для востоковедов, изучающих персидский язык в рамках различных специализаций: регионоведение, филология, история и политология, экономическое развитие стран Ближнего и Среднего Востока. Пособие знакомит с реалиями современной иранской жизни и национальными новостными ресурсами, широко использует материалы Интернета. Книга оставляет известную свободу в выборе материала для занятий в зависимости от уровня владения ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Саудовская Аравия и Объединенные Арабские Эмираты: тактическое или стратегическое партнерство?
Korotayev A., Хайруллин Т. Р., Shelkovnikov A., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2025 № 1 С. 195–207
The article analyzes the Saudi-Emirati alliance formed after the events of the Arab Spring as a reaction to the strengthening of the Turkish-Qatari alliance. The common point of contact in the process of rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the UAE was the fear and suspicion of the transnational organization Muslim Brotherhood supported by Qatar and ...
Added: April 20, 2026
BRICS+ y la arquitectura del nuevo orden mundial
Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev, Jameelah M. Musieva, Iberoamérica 2026 No. 1 P. 22–47
The main objective of this article is to analyze the transformation of the world order in the context of the transition to a multipolar system, in which the BRICS+ alliance (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) would play a key role. This article addresses the problem of leadership in the absence of an absolute ...
Added: April 13, 2026
Новые возможности анализа революций: представление базы данных революций XXI века
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Объединяющий и разобщающий потенциал идеологических доктрин в системах межгосударственных отношений
Грачев М. Н., Лебедев С. В., Вестник РГГУ. Серия «Политология. История. Международные отношения» 2025 № 6 С. 183–200
The article analyses the impact of ideology on the establishment of the foreign policy alliances. The article uses the concept of “underbalancing”, initially developed by M. Haas, and reveals the mechanisms the ruling elite of one or another state uses to identify one or another ideology as friend or foe. The new theoretical material is used ...
Added: March 16, 2026
Digital Nomadism as a Global Phenomenon after Covid-19: Institutional and Socio-Economic Drivers Influencing Migration Experience
Bilqis L. C., Shishkina A., Journal of Globalization Studies 2025 Vol. 16 No. 2 P. 169–179
This article is devoted to the study of the phenomenon of digital nomadism in the period after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has accelerated the trend on transformation of many aspects of life, including labor market, due to digitalization. The authors discuss the significance of this phenomenon in the context of the intensified ...
Added: February 25, 2026
Турция и США: контуры взаимодействия в период второго президентства Д. Трампа
Islamov D., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2025 № 12 Статья 11
Donald Trump’s second presidency has revitalized the discussion of Turkish-American relations. Against this backdrop, Türkiye’s academic and analytical community has increased its attention to the study of the characteristics and contradictions in relations between Ankara and Washington. In this regard, the aim of the study is to identify the main discourses put forward by Turkish ...
Added: January 23, 2026
"Европейский поворот" в военном экспорте Франции
Chikhachev A., Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН 2021 № 2 С. 85–92
This article analyzes a new trend in the arms export policy of modern France - an increasing share of European countries in the geographical structure of sales. Based on statistics and examples, regional priorities of French export before Emmanuel Macron’s presidency are identified; the reasons for the turn towards Europe at present stage and its ...
Added: January 7, 2026
О сложности процесса мирного перехода к многополярности и возможной стратегии России
Gaman-Golutvina O. V., Российский Совет по международным делам 2025 № 17.06.2025
What is happening in world politics receives various interpretations in Russian and foreign academic discourse. Researchers are wondering what the outcome of this movement will be. Is the accumulation of new quality in the international system transformed into its radical renewal, or is it able to absorb changing realities, adapting to them and adapting the ...
Added: December 11, 2025
Ближний Восток в условиях продовольственного кризиса (на примерах Иордании, Йемена, ОАЭ)
Pryanikova A., Вестник РГГУ. Серия «Политология. История. Международные отношения» 2025 № 2 С. 102–113
This article examines the specifics of the impact of the global food crisis on the Middle East region using the examples of three Middle Eastern states: Jordan, Yemen and United Arab Emirates. The author considers the general situation of the region in terms of food availability since the beginning of the food crisis (in 2022), ...
Added: December 4, 2025
Выявление особенностей развития капитализма в будущем в африканских странах и отличие этого развития от будущего капитализма в странах Запада
Гринин Л.Е., Коротаев А.В., Век глобализации 2025 № 4 С. 188–202
Although the world is being divided into zones in this regard, contradictions between developed and developing countries have increased, and globalization is rolling back, nevertheless, the common goals that were prioritized by most countries of the World System until recently have not gone away. In the worst case, their implementation will be delayed for some ...
Added: November 27, 2025
Влияние раскола элит на успех невооруженных революционных выступлений начала XXI века
Ижогин А. А., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2025 Т. 37 № 3 С. 177–213
Existing data on elite splits suggest their significance for revolutionary success, as well as the significance of the defection of primarily security elites to the side of the revolutionary opposition for the success of a revolutionary uprising. The authors, relying on modern political science concepts and qualitative comparative analysis (QCA), tested the corresponding hypotheses. The ...
Added: November 1, 2025
Пятое поколение исследователей революционных событий и революции XXI века
Л.Е. Гринин, А.В. Коротаев, Полис. Политические исследования 2025 № 6 С. 160–172
In 2001, after the publication of the article by J. According to Goldstone's “Towards the fourth generation of revolutionary theory”, a lot of new things have appeared in the approaches of researchers of revolutions in the 1990s, which means that we can talk about the formation of a new - fourth – generation of researchers, ...
Added: October 24, 2025
Армия и военные традиции на Ближнем Востоке
Цховребова Д. Э., СПб.: Арт-Экспресс, 2025.
В сборник вошли статьи участников 2-й Всероссийской научной конференции молодых ближневосточников «Армия и военные традиции на Ближнем Востоке». Тематика статей отражает исследования, связанные с военными традициями, историей армии в Средние века, ролью армии в политике, государстве и обществе на Ближнем Востоке в новое и новейшее время. ...
Added: October 11, 2025
IMPROVING THE EFFICIENCY OF BUDGETING IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISE: THE CASE OF RUSSIA, ITALY, AND THE MIDDLE EAST
Majeed A. H., Fiume R., Vasyunina M. et al., Emerging Science Journal 2023 Vol. 7 No. 1 P. 177–189
The study improved budgeting efficiency at industrial enterprises with evidence from Russia, Italy, and the Middle East. In the era of contemporary globalization and technological advancement, a budgeting system holds paramount significance in the effective management of the financial operations and activities, enhancing the overall efficiency of the firm's cash management, mitigating the risk of ...
Added: September 29, 2025
«Борьба за пространства» началась: Турция в Восточном Средиземноморье
Kuliyeva N., Международная жизнь 2025 № 10 С. 70–79
Турция, в особенности в период президентства Р.Т.Эрдогана, проявляет выраженную активность в вопросах усиления своего регионального и международного влияния. Эта линия направлена на получение вполне определенных материальных, финансовых «дивидендов», в том числе и в виде контроля за полезными ископаемыми вне рамок «очевидной», признаваемой другими сторонами турецкой юрисдикции.  Наиболее четко этот курс проявляется в отношении Ливии. Подписание в ...
Added: September 15, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit