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Intervention and Impact: Outcomes, Action and Evaluation
P. 237–254.
In book
Miles I. D., Saritas O., Sokolov A. Netherlands: Springer, 2016.
Gribkova D. E., В кн.: Совершенствование публичного управления: вопросы теории и практики.: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2025. С. 67–78.
In conditions of deep uncertainty with weak signals and wildcard events, it is becoming increasingly challenging to establish priorities for science and technology development. This context creates new demands on public administration and the governance of science, such as adherence to the principles of cooperation, receptivity to change, flexibility and scientific validity. These criteria correspond ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Anna Grebenyuk, Milshina Y., Sergey Shashnov et al., Foresight 2026 Vol. 28 No. 1 P. 45–65
Purpose
The article proposes an approach for assessing the impact of global trends on human capital and its components. This study aims to contribute to the development of new approaches for assessing the impact of a set of global trends on human capital and its individual components.
Design/methodology/approach
A special methodology was developed based on the use of ...
Added: January 29, 2026
Niyazov S., Maibakh O., Alexei Sukharev et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2026 Vol. 224 Article 124496
This research evaluates the accuracy of Delphi surveys in technology foresight with a focus on the transportation sector by determining the realization status of topics forecasted in the three Science and Technology Forecast Surveys administered by Japan's National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP) in 1992, 1997, and 2001. The analysis included 167 topics, ...
Added: January 16, 2026
Yatskin D., Maibakh O., Sokolov A., Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2025.
Исследование Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний (ИСИЭЗ) НИУ ВШЭ посвящено развитию информационных технологий в России в среднесрочной перспективе (до 2028 года). Фокус сделан
на четырех сценариях, в условиях которых изучено развитие семи основных технологических направлений: искусственный интеллект, интернет вещей, кибербезопасность, высокопроизводительные вычисления, пользовательский опыт, производственные технологии и робототехника, а также информационные системы и приложения. Определены ...
Added: October 13, 2025
Шашков А. Ю., Veselitskaya N., Карташова Л. В., Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 112–128
The article identifies the main measures and administrative mechanisms for implementing technological forecasting
in state technological policy, including public procurement of innovation. the creation of special economic zones, free trade agreements, the formation of knowledge networks, the training and development of human resources, national strategies, and support for innovative companies. The paper examines how these measures ...
Added: September 15, 2025
Jonathan L. Calof, Futures 2025 Vol. 173 Article 103653
For several years, foresight and competitive intelligence (CI) professionals have worked together, learning from each other and adopting each other's approaches. For example, in 2024 an affiliation agreement was signed between a CI and a foresight association. This article examines this professional development and looks at the extent to which academia has done the same. ...
Added: July 18, 2025
Sokolov A., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. Ch. 3 P. 17–34.
The chapter outlines the crucial role of Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) in global economic and societal development, emphasising their contributions to creating industries, generating employment and addressing Grand Challenges. Foresight, defined as a systematic, participatory future-intelligence-gathering process, is presented as an essential tool for supporting policy-making, particularly in developing countries. The chapter explores the ...
Added: June 4, 2025
Saritas O., Kotsemir M., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. P. 115–208.
The South Africa 2030 Foresight study, utilizing big data analytics, aimed at advancing the national innovation system and enhancing knowledge generation capacity. This chapter presents outcomes from bibliometric and semantic analyses conducted by ISSEK HSE. Bibliometric analysis explored South Africa’s research competences, scientific capacity and global collaborators, revealing mature and emerging research areas. Semantic analysis ...
Added: February 14, 2025
Saritas O., Veselitskaya N., Sokolov A., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. Ch. 4 P. 35–53.
This chapter provides an overview of the Foresight methods, which were used in the South African Foresight for STI (SAForSTI) process. The SAForSTI 2030 exercise brought together a variety of qualitative and quantitative Foresight methods with innovations in their use. Over years, Foresight has embraced a spectrum of quantitative and qualitative methods from various disciplines ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Cham: Springer, 2024.
Using a new methodology for foresight studies, this book presents new findings and policy recommendations to improve living conditions and make progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Using the case of South Africa, the respective chapters show how social and economic challenges can be addressed in an inclusive and sustainable way. The book ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Chulok A., Kotsemir M. N., Radomirova Y. Y. et al., Foresight 2024 Vol. 26 No. 2 P. 365–391
Purpose. The purpose of this study is to create a methodological approach for identifying priority areas for science and technology (S&T) development and its empirical application within the city of Moscow. This research uncovers a wide range of multicultural and multidisciplinary global trends that will affect the development of major cities in an era of ...
Added: February 29, 2024
Marina Boykova, Knyazeva H., Salazkin M., Foresight and STI Governance 2023 Vol. 17 No. 4 P. 80–91
The challenges the futures studies face are particularly complex, interconnected, and contradictory, and cannot be resolved using linear approaches. Prognostic science needs tools matching the new contextual complexity, which would allow to capture a much wider range of driving forces, and their potential effects, in a non-linear perspective, to improve the accuracy of forecasts and ...
Added: January 25, 2024
Gurkov I. B., Morley M., / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2022. No. 65.
World Investment Report 2020 by UNCTAD identified several possible trajectories of development for many industries, namely re-shoring, regionalization, diversification, and replication. We argue that those trajectories of development may result in changes to prevailing corporate parenting styles and may also lead to the emergence of less common parenting styles. We present a typology of corporate ...
Added: September 21, 2022
Saritas O., Burmaoglu S., Ozdemir D., Futures 2022 Vol. 137 Article 102916
This study examines the recent evolution of Foresight as a well-recognized tool for long-term policy and strategy making and discusses the future directions the activity might take. The science mapping approach is used for the analysis. Drawing on big data, science mapping provides an evolutionary overview of scientific domains across time and helps to identify ...
Added: September 12, 2022
Sokolova A., Futures 2022 Vol. 135 Article 102875
One of the central objectives in foresight development is increasing its effectiveness and impact upon decision-making. This paper is focused on improving the link between foresight and science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy by overcoming the barriers that stand in the way at the very beginning of a foresight study. For this purpose, the key ...
Added: May 24, 2022
Proskuryakova L. N., Journal of Environmental Management 2022 Vol. 316 Article 115169
The article contributes to the research discussion around the human-natural and social-ecological systems by identification of a comprehensive list of global trends related to integrated interaction between environmental systems and human development, including climate change, pollution, new quality of economic growth, and challenges for education and healthcare. The foresight study behind it encompasses a combination ...
Added: May 13, 2022
Chulok A., Российский журнал менеджмента 2021 Т. 19 № 2 С. 151–176
This article presents the results of a comprehensive research of foreign and Russian studies in the field of corporate foresight, identifies their key research questions, conducts a structural analysis of cases, gives a classification and summarizes characteristics of domestic projects using foresight methods since the 90s of the past century. The search for an effective ...
Added: March 20, 2022
Miles I., Saritas O., Sokolov A., Rio de Janeiro: EDITORA FIOCRUZ, 2021.
This book sets out to draw out the key lessons from the experience of the last few decades. It will focus particularly on Foresight dealing with Science, Technology and Innovation (ForSTI—Foresight for STI). The meaning of these terms will need to be spelled out in more detail, but at this point we shall note that the STI field ...
Added: March 18, 2022
Ditkovsky K. A., Fridlyanova S., Gokhberg L. et al., M.: National Research University Higher School of Economics, 2022.
This pocket data book contains main S&T and innovation indicators for the Russian Federation. The publication includes the most recent statistical data on R&D input and output, as well as international comparisons. The data book includes information of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation, Russian ...
Added: January 17, 2022
Gokhberg L., Ditkovsky K. A., Kotsemir M. N. et al., М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2022.
This pocket data book contains main S&T and innovation indicators for the Russian Federation. The publication includes the most recent statistical data on R&D input and output, as well as international comparisons. The data book includes information of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation, Russian Federal Service ...
Added: November 26, 2021
Repositioning People in Creative Futures: A Method to Create Sound Advice with Exploratory Scenarios
Velasco G., Popper R., Miles I. D., Foresight and STI Governance 2021 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 25–38
Foresight scenarios are not only useful presentational devices to show that many aspects of the future are open. Scenarios are means for generating advice that helps policymakers initiate actions in the present or near future that will be of long-term significance. Despite the influence that such advice may have on policy decisions, the Foresight literature ...
Added: November 2, 2021
Calof J. L., Foresight 2020 Vol. 20 No. 5/6 P. 563–577
Purpose
Given the importance of competitive intelligence (CI) to the economic performance of firms, understanding whether CI practice is impacted by firm size or by their awareness of CI maybe important when creating programs designed to improve firms’ CI performance. This paper aims to address this by examining the extent to which the CI practices of ...
Added: November 1, 2021