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Russia's Population until 2025
Ch. 4. P. 86–105.
This chapter discusses the features of the development of the Russian population and the results of population projections to 2025
In book
Petrov N., Makarenko B., Denisenko M. B., Greene S., Rogov K., Zubarevich N., Grozovsky B., Hale H., Lipman M., Gel'man V., Sakwa R., Graham T., Lukyanov F. L.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2013.
Zakharova S., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 4 С. 207–230
This article presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between Russians' reproductive intentions and the division of household chores, along with their satisfaction with it. The study draws on theoretical approaches linking fertility to the participation of men and women in domestic labor, and builds upon the methodology proposed in a study by Riederer and ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Lebedev O. B., Beskhielnov M. I., OPTIMIZATION BY THE SWARM OF TRANSFORMING CHROMOSOMES METHOD 2024 Vol. 34 No. 3 P. 652–658
A new strategy for finding effective solutions based on modification and hybridization of the canonical representations of the particle swarm algorithm is proposed. A paradigm of a swarm of transforming chromosomes is described, making it possible to represent solutions in the affine space of chromosomes with integer parameter values. The mechanisms of chromosome transformation in ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Zakharov S. V., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 429–447
This article examines changes in the quantum and structural characteristics of period and cohort fertility in Russia in the context of pro-natalist demographic policy pursued since 2006. The study assesses the significance of recent decades’ shifts for total fertility, the age profile of mothers, and their distribution by number of children born. The analysis draws ...
Added: July 7, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Kazenin K., Sergei Zakharov, Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article e70241
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease.
In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Cherviakova A. A., Makarentseva A. O., Biryukova S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 1 С. 123–141
Novel measures in Russian family and demographic policy include support for women who have given birth while pursuing vocational education. This is driven by the government’s concerns about the postponement of motherhood, and by a desire to reduce the risks of economic vulnerability for this group of women with children. In this paper we examine ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Фаузер В. В., Smirnov A., Арктика: экология и экономика 2018 № 3 С. 3–22
The article reviews the World Arctic and its constituent parts: Russian, North American and West European. The subject of the study is the peculiarities of population settlement and the development of the economy of Arctic administrative-territorial entities. The purpose of the article is to present the World Arctic from diff erent angles — the availability ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Smirnov A., Арктика и Север 2020 № 40 С. 270–290
The article presents an estimate of the Arctic population in 1900–2019 by country and macroregion, obtained using official statistics of eight Arctic States. Analysis of spatial and temporal data revealed the main patterns of the Arctic population formation. Calculations show the world’s Arctic population increased from 1.3 million in 1900 to 6.1 million in 1989, ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Smirnov A., Арктика и Север 2023 № 53 С. 260–272
The article considers “digital twins” of the population as a tool for socio-demographic research and territorial management. The experience of creating digital twins of the population and interactive websites devoted to demographic issues is systematized. A methodology for creating a digital twin of the Arctic population is proposed, based on three methodological principles: consideration of ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Фаузер В. В., Smirnov A., Фаузер Г. Н., Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка 2023 № 1 С. 64–79
Over the past decades, the population of the North of Russia has decreased by more than a quarter. The leading cause is migration outflow, with natural population movement also contributing to the overall population decline. Comparing the data of the last two censuses will make it possible to understand the full depth of the transformational ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Панарина И. А., Народонаселение 2025 Т. 28 № 4 С. 54–67
The article considers life expectancy of the population of the regions of Russian North in 1993–2023. Despite the large contribution of the northern territories to the economy, some of them remain among the most lagging in mortality rates. Using the Russian Fertility and Mortality database, the authors calculated the losses in life expectancy in the ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Лыткина У. В., Чупрова Е. А., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 194–211
The North of Russia comprises cities and districts that differ in fertility and reproductive behavior; this fact makes the territory an interesting object for demographic research. The paper considers fertility in the North of Russia at the regional and municipal levels, both in conditional and in real generations. Such an approach helps to identify spatial ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Арктика: экология и экономика 2025 Т. 15 № 1 С. 131–142
The article examines the duration of residence in municipalities of the Russian Arctic. This is an adaptation of the life expectancy indicator, which takes into account the migration outflow in addition to mortality. The indicator helps to assess the contribution of migration and mortality to the reduction of the demographic potential of the Arctic territories. ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Vakulenko E., Evgrafova R., I. A. Trofimenko, Population Research and Policy Review 2026 Vol. 45 Article 19
This research focuses on analyzing the relationship between credit obligations, including mortgages, housing conditions, and the probability of having a child in the family in Russia. The research novelty lies in a complex approach towards analyzing the association between mortgages and reproductive behavior. A longitudinal household survey covering the period 2007–2022 was used. We estimated ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Демографическое обозрение 2025 Т. 12 № 4 С. 100–122
Formal demographic analysis, including the construction of life tables, standardization of indicators, decomposition of changes, and modeling of demographic processes, requires complex calculations and data manipulation. Despite the advances in methods, many of them have not yet been implemented as ready-to-use, convenient tools in modern statistical environments. To address this issue, we present the demor ...
Added: December 30, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Халтурина Д. А., Рыбальченко С. И. et al., Общественное здоровье 2025 Т. 5 № 4 С. 7–26
Introduction. A key factor that substantially reduces life expectancy in Russia is high mortality at working ages. The main risk factors are behavioral: tobacco and alcohol consumption, low levels of physical activity and unhealthy diet. All these factors are amenable to modification. The purpose of the study: to conduct a comprehensive analysis of mortality trends ...
Added: December 16, 2025
Yumaguzin V., Vinnik M. V., Здравоохранение Российской Федерации 2025 Т. 69 № 6 С. 530–537
Introduction. High mortality from certain unspecified causes of death leads to a degradation of mortality statistics for causes, which is especially noticeable in a number of Russian regions.
Purpose. To assess the quality of mortality statistics in the regions of Russia through the prism of the frequency usage of codes from unspecified causes of death.
Materials and methods. Standardized mortality ...
Added: December 16, 2025
Kossova T. V., Олейник А. А., Sheluntcova M., ЭКО 2025 Т. 55 № 6 С. 118–135
The paper estimates the effect of public healthcare expenditures on population
health in Russia, Germany and Japan. One indicator of health is the overall mortality rate. It
is determined that the sensitivity of the overall mortality rate to a one percent change in wellbeing
and lifestyle factors is higher than to a one percent change in health care ...
Added: December 1, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025