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Россия и мир: 2025. Экономика и внешняя политика. Ежегодный прогноз.
M. :
IMEMO RAN, 2024.
Адно Ю. Н., Афонцев С. А., Белков Ю. А., Богданов К. В., Бреславцева А. А., Вахрушин И. В., Войтоловская А. Р., Галаш П. С., Гронский А. Д., Гужев И. А., Давыдов А. А., Дауров Р. Д., Десятски Е. А., Дмитриев С. С., Добрева Е. И., Жуков С. В., Журавлева В. Ю., Загашвили В. С., Звягельская И. Д., Ибрагимов И. Э., Кадырмамбетов Т. М., Kanaev E., Кислицын С. В., Миронов Н. А., Кобринская И. Я., Кожанов Н. А., Копытин И. А., Кудрявцев А. К., Кузьмина Е. М., Куприянов А. В., Лазовский С. О., Леонтьева Е. Л., Ломанов А. В., Лукашин Ю. П., Макаревич Г. Г., Малышева Д. Б., Мачавариани Г. И., Мишин И. О., Никитина Е. Н., Павлова М. С., Подколзина И. А., Пожилова Н. А., Поливач А. П., Попов В. В., Прохоренко И. Л., Резникова О. Б., Самарская Л. М., Свистунова И. А., Соловьев Э. Г., Сурков Н. Ю., Сухов Н. В., Татузов В. Ю., Тимофеев П. П., Тюкаева Т. И., Федоровский А. Н., Филина А. А., Фрумкин Б. Е., Харитонова Е. М., Хорольская М. В., Худякова Л. С., Черкашин М. И., Четверикова А. С., Швыдко В. Г.
Leading author: А. А. Дынкин, В. Г. Барановский
Editor-in-chief: И. Я. Кобринская, Г. И. Мачавариани
The report "Russia and the World: 2025" is the twenty-third in a series of annual publications of IMEMO. The report consists of three parts: global trends, economy and foreign policy. The main focus is on issues of key importance for ensuring stable economic and political development of Russia in the immediate (2025) and longer term. The report is based on decades long IMEMO experience in forecast research. The main external challenges for Russia and options to respond them are analyzed.
Chapters
Kanaev E., Куприянов А. В., Леонтьева Е. Л. et al., В кн.: Россия и мир: 2025. Экономика и внешняя политика. Ежегодный прогноз.: М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2024. С. 185–196.
The chapter presents a forecast on the trends in Indo-Pacific Asia in 2025. ...
Added: December 29, 2024
Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 9 С. 4–15
This article, using materials from the Russian Foreign Ministry archive, analyzes the origins, dynamics, and outcomes of the 1956 Suez Crisis. It emphasizes the crucial importance of the Soviet Union's harsh demarche against Great Britain and France, which forced London and Paris to cease their aggression against Egypt. It examines the approaches of various states ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98
The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Balakina Y. V., Коммуникации. Медиа. Дизайн 2026 Т. 11 № 3 С. 24–44
This article explores the role of multimodal media texts (MMT) in political communication. MMT are seen as a blend of cultural and symbolic forms, manifested through various semiotic modes such as text, image, sound, and their combinations in the media space. The goal is to elucidate how these texts construct social reality and their functions ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Sheynov T. G., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 416–431
The article offers a reflection on the Russian translation of Introduction into Politics by the German-American philosopher Hannah Arendt, published by Vladimir Dal’ Publishers in 2025 under its original title What is Politics?. The book presents excerpts from Arendt’s legacy that pertain to her work on the unfinished project Introduction into Politics from the 1950s. ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Korotayev A., Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2026 Vol. 17 No. 2 P. 1–38
This paper examines the striking mathematical correspondence between two independently derived hyperbolic equations describing global evolutionary dynamics: Panov's time series of "biospheric revolutions" spanning 4 billion years of biological and cultural evolution, and von Foerster's famous "Doomsday" equation for world population growth (1960). Both phenomena are governed by equations of the form y = C/(2027 ...
Added: September 29, 2026
Dregulo A., Издательство Санкт-Петербургского государственного экономического университета, 2026.
В монографии представлен междисциплинарный анализ современных вызовов перехода городских агломераций к климатически нейтральному и энергоэффективному развитию. В работе рассмотрены теоретические подходы к определению городских агломераций, международных стратегий устойчивого развития, проведен анализ климатических рисков, энергопотребления и секторальных выбросов парниковых газов в Российской Федерации, стран Европейского союза и др. В России, несмотря на рост энергопотребления и выбросов ...
Added: September 29, 2026
Shishkina A., Issaev L., Journal of Globalization Studies 2026 Vol. 17 No. 1 P. 145–156
This article is aimed at discussing the global and regional aspects of Islamic modernization. The study discusses the transformation of ideas about the role of women in the public space by the case study on the North Caucasus. The attitudes of traditional society, the influence of Soviet power, the role of Islamization, both early and ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Diskin E., Закон 2026 № 1 С. 92–123
In the January Legal Chronicle our authors comment on several significant legal events that happened at the end of 2025: decisions of the Constitutional Court No. 31-P on the payment of dividends on preferred shares, No. 41-P on VAT, No. 46-P on the fate of seized property in bankruptcy cases; discussion in the EU Council ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Gribkova D. E., Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления 2026 № 3 С. 151–176
Global challenges, economic security risks, sociodemographic and environmental processes, and accelerating technological development are creating a fundamentally new context for Public Administration that demands knowledge-based decision-making. The growing interest in proactive and predictive governance has led to the active use of science and technology foresight. However, the governance of scientific and technological development still faces ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Dubravskiy P., Электоральная политика 2024 № 2 С. 2
The paper explores the phenomenon of populism in Latin America as represented by two prominent political figures: Nayib Bukele, President of El Salvador, and Javier Milei, President of Argentina. Both leaders embody different approaches to populism, using charismatic leadership and radical rhetoric to mobilize the population and challenge political elites. The paper analyzes the methods ...
Added: September 27, 2026
Dubravskiy P., Электоральная политика 2025 № 1 С. 1
The paper examines the key factors behind Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Special attention is given to sociopolitical shifts in American society, the effectiveness of the Republican campaign, the use of digital political technologies, and strategic outreach to key voter groups in swing states. The research data for the study includes ...
Added: September 27, 2026
Soloshcheva M., Российское китаеведение 2026 Vol. 14 No. 1 P. 6–23
This article examines the conceptualization of Chinese soft power and the implementation
of the PRC’s soft power strategy in Africa. First introduced into academic
discourse by American political scientist Joseph Nye in 1990, the concept was subsequently
adopted and critically re-evaluated by Chinese political theorists, most notably
Wang Huning, Yan Xuetong, Yang Shengping and Zhang Guozuo. The term has ...
Added: September 27, 2026
Micah Y.B. Zing, Alisa R. Shishkina, Международная аналитика 2026 Vol. 2 No. 17 P. 126–138
The article focuses on the Western mainstream media (WMM) discourse on Russia-Africa relations and how Russo-Western information confrontation affects the diplomatic dialogue between Russia and African states. Historically, the Soviet Union fostered a friendly relationship with the continent, characterised by solidarity and mutual respect. The collapse of the Soviet Union, the WMM discourse on Russian-African ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Maksimenko A., Дейнека О. С., Загладина А. Р., Гуманитарные, социально-экономические и общественные науки 2026 № 9
The aim of the study was to develop and psychometrically validate the Amoral Creativity Questionnaire and to assess its relationships with dark personality traits and corrupt intentions. The sample comprised 722 respondents (mean age 38.5 years, 56.1% female) residing in Russia. To assess convergent validity, measures of machiavellianism, subclinical psychopathy, covert narcissism, psychological superiority, social ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Galyapina V. N., Lebedeva N., Социологические исследования 2026 Т. 6 С. 85–99
This article is devoted to individual values and social fears as predictors of the psychological health of Russians. The study included 2056 respondents and was conducted in 2022. The analysis using structural equation modeling while controlling for socio- demographic characteristics showed that the value of Self- Direction generally reduces social fears, while the value of ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Diskin E., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 No. 3 P. 142–167
This article examines whether digital sovereignty can be sustained through domestic policy alone. Drawing on securitization theory, geoeconomics, the concept of weaponized interdependence, and regime complex theory, the article analyzes four cases: the U.S., the EU, China, and Russia. These actors confront different limitations on their control over the digital environment: insufficient regulation in the ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Maksimenko A., Дейнека О. С., Человеческий капитал 2026 Т. 213 № 9 С. 178–189
Currently, there is still a deficit of subtle measurement instruments that can be used to address the tasks of preventing corrupt behavior. The aim of the study was to adapt the Corrupt Intention Scale (CIS) to a Russian sample and to assess its psychometric properties. The study involved 531 respondents aged 18 to 77 years ...
Added: September 23, 2026
Alimpeev D., Knutov A., Ломако Анастасия Андреевна et al., ИНФРА-М, 2026.
Книга содержит уникальное по широте охвата и крайне подробное описание 18 наиболее популярных и значимых механизмов контрольно-надзорной деятельности, применяемых в зарубежной практике государственного управления: от способов регулирования государственного контроля и государственного рейтингования бизнеса до проверочных листов и использования беспилотных летательных аппаратов.
По каждому механизму проводится анализ моделей его применения в различных странах мира. Выводы иллюстрируются более ...
Added: September 23, 2026
Kantor V., Философические письма. Русско-европейский диалог 2026 Т. 9 № 2 С. 11–37
This article paints a portrait of Maximilian Aleksandrovich Voloshin (1877–1932), one of the greatest creative figures of the Silver Age, equal in power to the geniuses of the Renaissance. A poet, art historian, and author of works on Surikov, Saryan, and Konchalovsky, poems about Russia, Archpriest Avvakum, Cain, and Our Lady of Vladimir, and articles ...
Added: September 23, 2026
Zhukova O., Вопросы философии (Российская Федерация) 2026 № 8 С. 51–64
The article is a critical and philosophical analysis of a new book by the Russian philosopher and political scientist Aleksei A. Kara-Murza. His fundamental work “Selected Works on Russian Philosophy, Politics and Culture” (2024) contains articles in the field of philosophy of Russian history, completed by the author over the course of ten years. Essays, ...
Added: September 17, 2026
Губский А. Д., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2025 № 12
The article is devoted to the current state of security cooperation between the USA and Guyana. The study examines the strategic interests of the parties and the main directions of bilateral military-political cooperation, which has noticeably intensified after the discovery of oil fields on the shelf of the Cooperative Republic. The results obtained indicate the ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Novik N., Galimullin E. Z., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 9 С. 100–112
The article offers a comparative analysis of the Transarctic Transport Corridor (TTC) and the International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) as elements of Russia’s evolving response to systemic shifts in the international order. Drawing on the theory of regional security complexes and the conceptual framework of connectivity, the study examines how both corridors function within a ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Tikhomirova A., Chowdhury M. A., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Vol. 35 No. 4 P. 98–117
Cooperation between Russia and China in the field of education has expanded significantly.
In 2026, the number of Russian students studying in China reached 21,000. However, empirical
evidence shows that students face many difficulties adapting to the new environment. Given
the growing popularity of Chinese universities among Russian students, the present study
aimed to identify the factors and mechanisms ...
Added: September 11, 2026