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Working paper

Выборы в Государственную Думу 2007 г.: значимость идеологических предпочтений россиян

What was the main factor behind the pro-Kremlin United Russia winning the December 2007 State Duma election with 64% of the seats? The party’s centrist ideology, association with Vladimir Putin, as well as media bias, administrative pressure, and vote-rigging have all been suggested as the primary cause behind the party’s success. This work tackles the question by estimating a multinomial logit model of voter choice based on survey data from May 2007. The paper finds the approval of President Putin tends to be the single most important factor affecting the voter’s choice in favor of United Russia. The personal ideological preferences was a major factor affecting the vote, so the party’s centrist position improved its electoral performance. The opponents’ appeal to older voters also was a contributing factor. Voter’s income, education, and the rural/urban status were found to have little effect on the vote.